SCATTER DIAGRAMS IN NUMERICAL FORMAT Revised version: April 2005 This file provides the numerical values of points plotted in a set of online scatter diagrams and described more fully in an online report (Ruosteenoja et al., 2003). It is organised by: 1. Region (32 altogether - see report) 2. Time slice (2010-2039, 2040-2069 and 2070-2099) 3. Season (Dec-Feb, Mar-May, Jun-Aug and Sep-Nov) 4. Variable (absolute temperature and percentage precipitation change relative to 1961-1990) 5. Coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation model (CCSRNIES, CSIRO, ECHAM4, HADCM3, NCAR PCM, CGCM2, GFDL-R30) 6. SRES emissions scenario (A2, B2, A1FI, B1) Asterisks (*) indicate that estimates have been pattern-scaled Reference: Ruosteenoja, K., Carter, T.R., Jylhä, K. and Tuomenvirta, H. 2003. Future climate in world regions: an intercomparison of model-based projections for the new IPCC emissions scenarios. The Finnish Environment 644, Finnish Environment Institute, Helsinki, 83 pp. The scatter diagrams and report can be found at: http://www.ipcc-data.org/sres/scatter_plots/scatterplots_home.html REGION 1 ========= TIME SLICE 2010-2039 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.9539 3.5903 2.5491 2.3594 6.42 7.56 5.24 6.32 CSIRO 2.5246 3.1694 2.7266* 2.7058 11.02 13.73 11.90* 11.82 ECHAM4 3.6104 3.6489 3.9714* 3.1381* 24.40 23.60 26.83* 20.30* HADCM3 2.3965 2.1334 2.6121* 1.8561* 9.50 9.86 10.36* 8.58* NCAR PCM 2.4822 2.9727 2.7304* 2.5565* 9.42 10.05 10.36* 8.64* CGCM2 2.3056 2.2690 3.76 5.47 GFDL-R30 2.3862 1.6343 11.19 8.84 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.7627 2.3008 1.3931 1.4399 7.47 9.92 5.41 7.52 CSIRO 1.8933 2.2710 2.0447* 2.2758 11.76 16.74 12.70* 17.54 ECHAM4 2.9562 2.9840 3.2518* 2.5662* 18.96 18.89 20.86* 16.24* HADCM3 1.6854 1.8959 1.8370* 1.6494* 9.76 10.31 10.64* 8.97* NCAR PCM 1.9692 2.1309 2.1662* 1.8326* 9.89 9.20 10.88* 7.92* CGCM2 1.6753 1.5274 5.27 2.36 GFDL-R30 1.9635 1.8200 7.96 7.36 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.2713 1.9513 1.0702 1.6854 6.59 9.41 2.85 4.58 CSIRO 2.5187 2.8571 2.7202* 2.7337 12.92 15.40 13.95* 16.46 ECHAM4 1.7693 1.9698 1.9462* 1.6940* 7.75 7.48 8.52* 6.43* HADCM3 1.3438 1.6184 1.4648* 1.4080* 7.44 8.68 8.11* 7.55* NCAR PCM 0.6582 0.6850 0.7240* 0.5891* 5.26 5.00 5.78* 4.30* CGCM2 2.0556 2.0079 6.89 10.55 GFDL-R30 0.9691 0.9183 6.02 5.87 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.2642 4.6456 2.3434 3.3534 10.75 12.51 6.34 8.53 CSIRO 2.6976 3.1851 2.9134* 2.9850 7.32 9.33 7.91* 10.31 ECHAM4 3.1362 3.3068 3.4498* 2.8439* 16.75 14.78 18.42* 12.71* HADCM3 2.1254 2.1743 2.3167* 1.8916* 5.22 8.66 5.69* 7.54* NCAR PCM 2.2457 2.6445 2.4703* 2.2743* 8.21 10.31 9.03* 8.86* CGCM2 2.2387 2.2705 2.30 2.59 GFDL-R30 2.8824 2.1573 9.77 8.37 TIME SLICE 2040-2069 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 7.3700 8.7554 8.6092 5.8850 18.02 19.91 18.19 17.59 CSIRO 4.8013 4.7048 6.0496* 4.5066 23.14 24.19 29.16* 22.82 ECHAM4 5.9258 6.3063 7.6443* 5.3604* 42.84 45.95 55.27* 39.06* HADCM3 4.7714 3.9906 6.1074* 3.4319* 22.91 17.91 29.32* 15.40* NCAR PCM 5.2824 4.2233 6.8143* 3.5898* 24.09 18.14 31.07* 15.42* CGCM2 5.1888 3.8805 5.79 6.09 GFDL-R30 4.6026 3.4346 23.07 16.38 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.3636 4.7034 4.6507 3.6628 18.85 21.96 19.34 18.24 CSIRO 3.8525 3.6830 4.8542* 3.4007 28.58 25.03 36.02* 26.59 ECHAM4 4.3375 4.2023 5.5953* 3.5719* 28.60 32.40 36.90* 27.54* HADCM3 3.6259 2.7746 4.6411* 2.3861* 16.15 13.99 20.68* 12.03* NCAR PCM 3.2146 2.7843 4.1468* 2.3666* 15.94 14.00 20.56* 11.90* CGCM2 3.6458 2.8678 7.82 7.52 GFDL-R30 3.6404 2.9945 16.40 12.98 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.3778 3.8612 3.6802 3.1870 14.29 19.15 15.16 17.48 CSIRO 4.3039 4.0348 5.4229* 3.8757 25.46 28.69 32.08* 26.57 ECHAM4 3.1455 3.2346 4.0577* 2.7495* 9.46 15.97 12.21* 13.58* HADCM3 2.7988 2.4990 3.5824* 2.1492* 16.33 15.68 20.90* 13.48* NCAR PCM 1.0544 0.9954 1.3601* 0.8461* 8.41 8.09 10.85* 6.87* CGCM2 4.0103 3.1463 15.99 11.99 GFDL-R30 1.8197 1.6401 11.17 5.16 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 8.0289 9.4271 8.9045 6.9109 25.40 28.21 27.87 24.26 CSIRO 4.6212 4.3973 5.8227* 4.2935 17.85 16.36 22.49* 14.90 ECHAM4 5.5599 5.5533 7.1723* 4.7203* 31.21 29.73 40.26* 25.27* HADCM3 4.3927 3.8183 5.6227* 3.2837* 18.54 14.26 23.73* 12.27* NCAR PCM 3.8454 3.3098 4.9605* 2.8134* 19.09 16.91 24.62* 14.37* CGCM2 4.1630 3.6938 5.75 5.04 GFDL-R30 4.9740 3.7722 15.59 13.95 TIME SLICE 2070-2099 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 16.8566 14.1327 17.8578 12.8446 46.15 35.68 50.56 30.73 CSIRO 7.7761 6.4130 9.7201* 5.8165 40.11 35.74 50.14* 29.09 ECHAM4 10.1502 8.4059 12.7892* 6.8088* 73.72 57.41 92.88* 46.50* HADCM3 7.9330 6.2776 9.9162* 5.0848* 43.76 29.68 54.71* 24.04* NCAR PCM 8.5352 6.0461 10.6689* 4.8369* 40.06 29.34 50.07* 23.47* CGCM2 7.9775 5.7294 11.20 8.11 GFDL-R30 8.0505 5.1192 41.06 25.82 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 9.4866 6.9211 10.5257 6.2613 35.70 27.35 36.62 26.63 CSIRO 6.3124 5.0310 7.8905* 4.4946 50.95 39.79 63.69* 34.23 ECHAM4 6.8238 5.4321 8.5980* 4.4000* 50.08 35.71 63.10* 28.92* HADCM3 5.8761 4.5121 7.3451* 3.6548* 32.57 23.88 40.72* 19.34* NCAR PCM 5.1270 3.7705 6.4088* 3.0164* 25.14 21.47 31.43* 17.18* CGCM2 5.4255 3.9472 15.79 9.34 GFDL-R30 5.8315 4.1773 28.38 18.95 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 6.6359 5.5888 7.2822 5.1109 27.51 21.95 26.85 25.14 CSIRO 6.6184 5.2032 8.2730* 4.9287 41.18 34.63 51.47* 29.20 ECHAM4 4.8091 4.2385 6.0595* 3.4332* 17.31 11.00 21.81* 8.91* HADCM3 4.6344 3.4753 5.7930* 2.8150* 21.31 18.39 26.64* 14.89* NCAR PCM 1.7983 1.3426 2.2479* 1.0741* 13.48 9.03 16.85* 7.22* CGCM2 5.9637 4.2697 23.74 16.59 GFDL-R30 2.5337 2.1654 15.37 4.91 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 13.5468 11.9279 14.2575 11.6188 48.74 37.28 50.49 36.79 CSIRO 6.8410 5.5824 8.5513* 5.3311 32.67 24.28 40.83* 21.87 ECHAM4 8.9701 7.3898 11.3023* 5.9857* 50.34 40.19 63.43* 32.56* HADCM3 6.9420 5.1432 8.6775* 4.1660* 37.86 27.36 47.33* 22.16* NCAR PCM 6.0419 4.5828 7.5523* 3.6662* 27.57 18.20 34.47* 14.56* CGCM2 6.2183 4.9577 12.86 8.27 GFDL-R30 7.2646 4.9608 24.04 19.56 REGION 2 ========= TIME SLICE 2010-2039 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.0709 3.9296 2.4102 2.4989 7.36 9.51 6.52 4.31 CSIRO 3.9996 4.9584 4.3196* 4.2874 10.08 11.72 10.88* 12.09 ECHAM4 3.9241 3.9582 4.3165* 3.4041* 21.19 17.84 23.31* 15.34* HADCM3 2.8505 2.8427 3.1070* 2.4731* 3.66 3.48 3.99* 3.03* NCAR PCM 3.5773 4.3850 3.9350* 3.7711* 18.98 18.97 20.88* 16.31* CGCM2 4.0792 3.7476 1.14 2.82 GFDL-R30 3.0312 2.2222 7.53 6.83 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.4672 1.6237 0.9864 1.1558 3.51 5.19 1.63 3.46 CSIRO 2.5421 3.0722 2.7455* 2.7075 14.25 12.07 15.39* 11.44 ECHAM4 2.8572 2.8444 3.1429* 2.4462* 18.50 15.93 20.35* 13.70* HADCM3 1.4516 1.6401 1.5822* 1.4269* 7.25 8.73 7.90* 7.60* NCAR PCM 1.8498 2.0458 2.0348* 1.7594* 6.07 8.94 6.68* 7.69* CGCM2 1.9743 1.9469 8.00 4.56 GFDL-R30 2.1566 2.0252 5.98 4.02 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.7663 1.2195 0.6736 0.8824 4.90 9.15 2.97 5.48 CSIRO 1.0830 1.2210 1.1696* 1.0838 12.35 18.59 13.34* 13.44 ECHAM4 0.7048 0.6583 0.7753* 0.5661* 2.93 5.16 3.22* 4.44* HADCM3 0.2694 0.2975 0.2936* 0.2588* -0.36 1.36 -0.39* 1.18* NCAR PCM 0.4560 0.5123 0.5016* 0.4406* 0.40 3.62 0.44* 3.12* CGCM2 0.6536 0.6853 5.14 6.80 GFDL-R30 0.5154 0.4248 6.39 3.65 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.1626 5.8451 2.2351 3.9153 8.76 13.19 4.52 8.12 CSIRO 3.4716 4.0395 3.7494* 3.4690 12.26 14.28 13.24* 15.04 ECHAM4 3.6680 3.7664 4.0348* 3.2391* 15.66 16.12 17.23* 13.87* HADCM3 3.1524 3.2771 3.4362* 2.8511* 6.88 7.19 7.50* 6.25* NCAR PCM 2.9669 3.3548 3.2636* 2.8851* 8.33 12.16 9.16* 10.46* CGCM2 4.0795 4.0943 0.19 -0.99 GFDL-R30 3.7628 2.7845 9.72 6.89 TIME SLICE 2040-2069 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 9.0662 11.9697 10.4641 7.3755 20.86 27.05 22.17 20.65 CSIRO 7.8388 7.3985 9.8769* 7.0179 22.45 21.70 28.29* 21.61 ECHAM4 6.6754 6.4523 8.6112* 5.4845* 31.01 30.12 40.00* 25.60* HADCM3 6.7372 5.4789 8.6237* 4.7119* 18.58 12.88 23.78* 11.08* NCAR PCM 6.6586 5.6996 8.5895* 4.8447* 29.41 26.66 37.94* 22.66* CGCM2 8.6751 6.5743 2.26 3.98 GFDL-R30 6.2206 4.4717 18.03 11.56 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.4819 3.8037 3.6427 2.9440 10.93 11.65 8.56 8.94 CSIRO 4.8012 4.5581 6.0496* 4.1786 22.12 18.93 27.87* 20.55 ECHAM4 4.2177 3.8813 5.4408* 3.2991* 25.75 23.95 33.22* 20.35* HADCM3 3.3021 2.6221 4.2267* 2.2550* 13.94 18.10 17.84* 15.57* NCAR PCM 3.6163 3.2145 4.6650* 2.7323* 10.90 11.34 14.07* 9.64* CGCM2 4.3958 3.3509 7.32 5.17 GFDL-R30 4.5632 3.2442 14.32 6.45 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.3952 2.9117 2.6595 2.0720 10.77 14.79 12.85 16.15 CSIRO 1.7906 1.6734 2.2561* 1.5849 25.17 22.71 31.71* 25.77 ECHAM4 1.0053 1.0757 1.2969* 0.9143* 7.65 12.08 9.87* 10.26* HADCM3 0.6723 0.5366 0.8605* 0.4614* 7.75 5.01 9.92* 4.31* NCAR PCM 0.7990 0.7580 1.0306* 0.6443* 6.90 7.40 8.90* 6.29* CGCM2 1.3886 1.0578 11.94 11.30 GFDL-R30 1.0442 0.8425 14.96 11.25 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 10.4309 12.6413 10.6811 8.2844 26.08 33.22 26.07 23.23 CSIRO 6.3945 5.9619 8.0570* 5.7928 21.46 20.98 27.04* 18.50 ECHAM4 6.0836 6.4009 7.8479* 5.4407* 28.17 29.46 36.34* 25.04* HADCM3 6.1670 5.4384 7.8938* 4.6770* 14.27 10.11 18.27* 8.69* NCAR PCM 4.5738 4.0314 5.9002* 3.4267* 15.50 15.81 19.99* 13.44* CGCM2 6.9542 5.9597 2.01 1.43 GFDL-R30 6.6873 5.1936 14.51 13.24 TIME SLICE 2070-2099 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 20.5191 18.1633 21.5313 16.8022 52.92 42.82 56.37 40.91 CSIRO 12.4906 10.3026 15.6132* 9.3530 37.75 31.89 47.18* 30.58 ECHAM4 10.9467 9.1838 13.7928* 7.4389* 52.09 40.01 65.64* 32.41* HADCM3 12.1708 9.1302 15.2135* 7.3955* 34.59 24.41 43.24* 19.77* NCAR PCM 10.8765 7.9781 13.5956* 6.3824* 50.00 36.39 62.50* 29.12* CGCM2 14.2386 9.7033 6.72 3.64 GFDL-R30 11.0222 7.0455 34.07 21.79 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 7.5695 5.6191 8.4623 5.1830 21.49 14.82 21.22 14.72 CSIRO 7.3116 6.2068 9.1396* 5.6557 31.76 27.14 39.70* 26.97 ECHAM4 6.2349 5.2281 7.8559* 4.2348* 43.81 31.34 55.21* 25.39* HADCM3 5.9565 4.4642 7.4456* 3.6160* 31.84 23.92 39.80* 19.37* NCAR PCM 5.5418 4.0649 6.9273* 3.2519* 19.41 16.08 24.27* 12.86* CGCM2 7.1632 5.0284 13.52 9.08 GFDL-R30 7.2548 5.0434 19.96 13.26 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 5.0055 4.0818 5.6064 3.8249 23.55 17.97 21.17 21.69 CSIRO 2.7252 2.2454 3.4065* 2.1256 40.72 32.42 50.90* 34.14 ECHAM4 1.8256 1.5566 2.3002* 1.2609* 19.34 13.77 24.37* 11.15* HADCM3 1.4638 1.0465 1.8297* 0.8477* 11.24 7.59 14.05* 6.15* NCAR PCM 1.3438 1.0850 1.6797* 0.8680* 8.93 5.00 11.16* 4.00* CGCM2 2.3761 1.5428 21.64 16.41 GFDL-R30 1.7834 1.2649 19.30 13.35 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 15.4533 14.3898 16.0638 14.1011 46.38 38.96 49.12 39.13 CSIRO 9.2354 8.1436 11.5442* 7.7537 30.81 27.26 38.51* 25.86 ECHAM4 9.5537 8.4612 12.0376* 6.8536* 45.83 35.83 57.74* 29.02* HADCM3 9.3926 7.7703 11.7407* 6.2940* 27.28 20.78 34.10* 16.83* NCAR PCM 7.8441 5.8134 9.8051* 4.6507* 27.65 16.12 34.57* 12.90* CGCM2 8.9253 7.4721 7.29 3.15 GFDL-R30 9.7646 6.8295 25.86 17.27 REGION 3 ========= TIME SLICE 2010-2039 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.1523 1.0879 1.0963 0.8787 1.97 1.80 1.70 1.68 CSIRO 1.1450 1.1286 1.2366* 0.8613 6.86 5.77 7.40* 2.43 ECHAM4 1.4102 1.5141 1.5513* 1.3021* 11.15 13.03 12.27* 11.21* HADCM3 0.7895 1.0030 0.8606* 0.8726* 3.70 3.23 4.03* 2.81* NCAR PCM 1.2579 1.1256 1.3837* 0.9680* 5.82 4.39 6.40* 3.78* CGCM2 1.5391 1.4971 2.06 2.46 GFDL-R30 1.1436 1.0900 1.41 5.41 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.9552 1.0308 0.8489 0.5453 1.99 2.04 1.32 -0.03 CSIRO 1.0527 1.2184 1.1369* 1.1189 10.86 11.80 11.72* 8.70 ECHAM4 1.8666 1.6844 2.0532* 1.4486* 12.43 10.02 13.68* 8.62* HADCM3 1.1498 0.9385 1.2533* 0.8165* 5.97 5.96 6.51* 5.19* NCAR PCM 1.9186 2.2196 2.1105* 1.9088* 10.83 12.07 11.91* 10.38* CGCM2 1.9907 2.0680 4.22 5.47 GFDL-R30 0.7521 1.5090 5.09 8.87 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.2316 1.3690 1.1611 1.0486 2.58 3.41 1.74 2.79 CSIRO 0.9995 1.0858 1.0794* 1.0574 8.66 11.34 9.35* 10.86 ECHAM4 1.3670 1.4405 1.5037* 1.2388* 10.89 8.90 11.97* 7.66* HADCM3 1.3908 1.1738 1.5160* 1.0212* 8.44 8.98 9.20* 7.81* NCAR PCM 1.9601 2.1578 2.1561* 1.8557* 10.02 12.56 11.02* 10.80* CGCM2 1.9973 1.9890 3.51 4.30 GFDL-R30 1.2496 1.1720 10.87 7.71 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.8236 0.7689 0.8382 0.7965 1.62 2.88 2.66 2.58 CSIRO 1.0202 1.0946 1.1018* 1.0504 3.42 7.45 3.69* 5.40 ECHAM4 1.6781 1.8197 1.8459* 1.5649* 13.77 15.44 15.15* 13.28* HADCM3 0.9198 1.0060 1.0025* 0.8753* 4.29 2.92 4.68* 2.54* NCAR PCM 1.6002 1.8703 1.7602* 1.6084* 7.79 7.35 8.57* 6.32* CGCM2 1.4290 1.7609 3.66 3.40 GFDL-R30 0.8116 1.1164 6.51 6.95 TIME SLICE 2040-2069 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.2031 1.7684 2.4541 1.6215 4.52 4.10 4.81 3.77 CSIRO 2.0274 2.0396 2.5545* 1.6638 8.91 12.37 11.23* 6.74 ECHAM4 2.2329 1.9214 2.8805* 1.6332* 14.53 14.79 18.74* 12.57* HADCM3 1.9928 1.7323 2.5508* 1.4898* 3.60 4.57 4.60* 3.93* NCAR PCM 1.9861 1.7229 2.5621* 1.4644* 7.37 7.28 9.51* 6.19* CGCM2 2.7784 2.3702 4.10 4.02 GFDL-R30 2.0052 1.7865 5.35 6.69 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.1322 1.7891 2.5690 1.5504 5.73 5.41 7.14 3.61 CSIRO 2.1833 2.1130 2.7510* 1.8482 16.76 15.56 21.11* 15.18 ECHAM4 2.6426 2.2611 3.4090* 1.9219* 14.07 11.23 18.15* 9.54* HADCM3 2.1719 1.9478 2.7800* 1.6751* 10.76 9.62 13.78* 8.27* NCAR PCM 3.0215 2.8260 3.8977* 2.4021* 16.96 16.64 21.88* 14.14* CGCM2 3.7354 2.7688 9.12 6.62 GFDL-R30 2.0016 2.1841 13.66 11.89 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.5174 2.0727 2.6496 1.8513 7.19 6.47 7.95 5.02 CSIRO 2.0757 2.0401 2.6153* 2.0311 16.44 18.11 20.72* 19.79 ECHAM4 1.9523 1.6694 2.5185* 1.4190* 11.69 6.97 15.08* 5.93* HADCM3 3.0159 1.9234 3.8603* 1.6541* 14.57 7.71 18.65* 6.63* NCAR PCM 3.0792 3.0771 3.9722* 2.6156* 16.05 17.18 20.71* 14.60* CGCM2 3.7745 3.2210 8.73 7.88 GFDL-R30 1.6946 1.8434 14.12 11.95 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.8408 1.5350 2.1269 1.3308 5.16 5.65 7.38 4.52 CSIRO 1.8145 1.8741 2.2862* 1.7637 9.37 13.47 11.81* 8.71 ECHAM4 2.4520 2.0341 3.1631* 1.7290* 13.43 11.87 17.33* 10.09* HADCM3 1.9944 1.2967 2.5529* 1.1151* 9.76 3.99 12.49* 3.44* NCAR PCM 2.5605 2.0433 3.3030* 1.7368* 9.02 8.66 11.64* 7.36* CGCM2 2.9609 2.6608 7.11 6.22 GFDL-R30 1.5832 1.7648 9.89 11.77 TIME SLICE 2070-2099 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.7708 2.5597 4.5606 2.3992 8.08 5.21 10.73 5.91 CSIRO 3.6322 2.7433 4.5402* 2.4038 19.77 16.06 24.71* 14.73 ECHAM4 4.2076 2.9170 5.3016* 2.3628* 31.68 20.04 39.91* 16.24* HADCM3 3.6737 3.2349 4.5922* 2.6203* 8.68 7.98 10.84* 6.46* NCAR PCM 2.8306 2.5164 3.5382* 2.0131* 9.40 8.34 11.75* 6.68* CGCM2 4.4397 3.3279 5.94 5.17 GFDL-R30 3.2503 2.1888 8.81 8.56 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.9503 2.8142 4.8591 2.5809 12.99 8.01 16.30 7.96 CSIRO 4.0679 3.1088 5.0849* 2.7990 30.70 25.66 38.38* 23.79 ECHAM4 4.8967 3.7340 6.1699* 3.0245* 33.26 26.83 41.90* 21.73* HADCM3 4.1142 2.8643 5.1427* 2.3201* 22.68 15.71 28.35* 12.72* NCAR PCM 4.1288 3.4373 5.1611* 2.7498* 24.42 18.76 30.52* 15.01* CGCM2 5.9998 4.5414 14.92 10.67 GFDL-R30 3.3530 2.5404 20.19 15.21 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.1556 3.0552 4.8774 2.8614 13.08 9.69 15.41 8.34 CSIRO 3.9539 2.8073 4.9423* 2.6802 34.95 27.94 43.69* 27.05 ECHAM4 3.7839 2.9343 4.7677* 2.3768* 25.77 18.91 32.46* 15.32* HADCM3 3.7969 3.1925 4.7461* 2.5859* 21.63 19.35 27.03* 15.68* NCAR PCM 4.2645 3.2733 5.3306* 2.6187* 27.11 19.42 33.89* 15.53* CGCM2 6.2964 4.5891 15.27 9.98 GFDL-R30 3.1098 2.0656 20.87 13.37 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.4081 2.4279 3.6721 2.1553 10.81 7.56 11.81 7.44 CSIRO 3.6254 2.7312 4.5317* 2.6426 25.98 19.21 32.47* 18.84 ECHAM4 3.8943 2.8580 4.9068* 2.3150* 23.99 20.76 30.23* 16.81* HADCM3 3.2103 2.4380 4.0129* 1.9748* 16.67 12.24 20.84* 9.92* NCAR PCM 3.5188 2.9841 4.3985* 2.3873* 12.92 14.97 16.15* 11.98* CGCM2 4.9407 3.7567 12.29 8.62 GFDL-R30 2.6594 1.8143 15.03 10.87 REGION 4 ========= TIME SLICE 2010-2039 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.3466 0.3933 0.3390 0.3101 1.24 1.93 2.85 1.92 CSIRO 0.6984 0.8138 0.7543* 0.6785 3.94 2.90 4.25* 5.27 ECHAM4 0.1597 0.1695 0.1757* 0.1457* 4.90 4.60 5.39* 3.96* HADCM3 0.2790 0.2575 0.3041* 0.2240* 7.67 5.91 8.36* 5.14* NCAR PCM 0.9529 0.9580 1.0482* 0.8239* 8.95 10.60 9.84* 9.11* CGCM2 0.9377 0.9180 3.51 3.41 GFDL-R30 0.4029 0.6086 5.88 6.08 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.5458 0.5841 0.4237 0.3949 1.43 2.06 2.69 2.40 CSIRO 0.8980 1.0451 0.9699* 0.8705 4.37 5.08 4.72* 3.70 ECHAM4 0.5999 0.4600 0.6599* 0.3956* 4.92 4.52 5.41* 3.89* HADCM3 0.5465 0.5779 0.5957* 0.5028* 5.96 5.18 6.49* 4.50* NCAR PCM 1.8118 1.8254 1.9929* 1.5698* 4.67 4.99 5.14* 4.29* CGCM2 1.5265 1.4421 3.15 2.79 GFDL-R30 0.7429 1.1436 5.51 4.13 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.4125 0.5472 0.3515 0.3595 0.78 2.08 1.91 1.69 CSIRO 1.4025 1.5481 1.5147* 1.3851 3.07 3.72 3.31* 3.46 ECHAM4 0.7487 0.5340 0.8235* 0.4592* 3.90 3.61 4.29* 3.11* HADCM3 1.0095 1.0525 1.1003* 0.9157* 2.63 3.65 2.87* 3.17* NCAR PCM 2.3380 2.3649 2.5718* 2.0338* 5.65 5.02 6.22* 4.32* CGCM2 2.0407 1.9833 2.87 2.87 GFDL-R30 0.8932 1.2139 2.81 4.61 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.2660 0.3876 0.2697 0.2892 1.05 0.83 1.60 0.77 CSIRO 0.8945 1.0684 0.9661* 0.9627 6.39 6.01 6.90* 4.67 ECHAM4 0.5229 0.4641 0.5752* 0.3991* 3.38 2.62 3.72* 2.25* HADCM3 0.8033 0.6951 0.8756* 0.6048* 4.07 3.71 4.44* 3.23* NCAR PCM 1.2729 1.3266 1.4002* 1.1408* 3.22 4.45 3.54* 3.83* CGCM2 1.2370 1.3022 3.29 2.54 GFDL-R30 0.7633 0.8631 3.86 5.02 TIME SLICE 2040-2069 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.7413 0.6656 0.8570 0.5499 2.07 3.20 3.79 3.21 CSIRO 1.3057 1.4115 1.6452* 1.1777 6.89 6.49 8.68* 7.05 ECHAM4 0.1987 0.1725 0.2563* 0.1466* 7.92 7.33 10.21* 6.23* HADCM3 0.6991 0.4532 0.8949* 0.3898* 8.91 5.84 11.40* 5.02* NCAR PCM 1.2289 1.1785 1.5853* 1.0017* 8.38 8.31 10.81* 7.07* CGCM2 2.0003 1.5898 6.17 5.15 GFDL-R30 0.8513 0.9179 11.10 8.42 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.0592 0.9836 1.2818 0.7368 4.93 4.52 5.96 4.12 CSIRO 1.6092 1.7404 2.0275* 1.4579 8.97 8.33 11.30* 6.82 ECHAM4 0.5927 0.4423 0.7646* 0.3759* 8.29 8.07 10.70* 6.86* HADCM3 1.3345 0.9756 1.7082* 0.8390* 11.03 7.89 14.12* 6.79* NCAR PCM 2.3532 2.3068 3.0356* 1.9608* 6.53 6.10 8.42* 5.18* CGCM2 2.9757 2.3846 6.17 6.48 GFDL-R30 1.6304 1.8537 8.10 7.73 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.9615 0.9077 1.0495 0.6626 3.29 4.19 3.87 2.37 CSIRO 2.4946 2.6268 3.1432* 2.3386 6.62 6.65 8.35* 5.58 ECHAM4 0.5700 0.4417 0.7353* 0.3755* 7.07 7.20 9.12* 6.12* HADCM3 2.2856 1.6384 2.9255* 1.4090* 7.82 7.34 10.00* 6.31* NCAR PCM 2.8792 2.9012 3.7141* 2.4660* 6.51 6.28 8.40* 5.34* CGCM2 4.1344 3.3222 6.89 4.25 GFDL-R30 1.7956 1.9054 8.67 7.37 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.6624 0.6170 0.7774 0.5229 3.74 4.10 4.27 1.74 CSIRO 1.8326 1.9245 2.3091* 1.6349 8.92 7.60 11.24* 10.33 ECHAM4 0.5580 0.4772 0.7198* 0.4056* 6.25 5.62 8.06* 4.78* HADCM3 1.7174 1.1491 2.1983* 0.9882* 8.08 6.07 10.34* 5.22* NCAR PCM 1.5400 1.5657 1.9866* 1.3308* 4.98 6.07 6.42* 5.16* CGCM2 2.9604 2.3408 4.94 3.43 GFDL-R30 1.3253 1.4433 10.59 7.17 TIME SLICE 2070-2099 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.0990 0.8865 1.2835 0.8203 5.03 5.44 6.41 5.05 CSIRO 2.6663 1.9885 3.3329* 1.8661 13.37 9.13 16.71* 9.07 ECHAM4 0.7942 0.5535 1.0007* 0.4483* 12.80 10.76 16.12* 8.72* HADCM3 1.1010 0.8459 1.3762* 0.6851* 12.26 4.39 15.33* 3.55* NCAR PCM 1.7016 1.5414 2.1270* 1.2331* 11.59 6.69 14.49* 5.36* CGCM2 3.3672 2.5453 9.93 7.01 GFDL-R30 1.4527 1.0832 18.37 12.61 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.7713 1.3455 2.1820 1.1868 6.89 6.48 10.60 5.28 CSIRO 3.1867 2.3455 3.9834* 2.2151 16.63 12.11 20.78* 10.53 ECHAM4 1.8493 1.1968 2.3302* 0.9694* 15.01 10.04 18.92* 8.13* HADCM3 2.1510 1.5665 2.6888* 1.2689* 15.47 11.27 19.34* 9.13* NCAR PCM 3.1489 2.9248 3.9361* 2.3398* 10.03 8.12 12.54* 6.50* CGCM2 4.6551 3.6798 13.04 8.09 GFDL-R30 2.6633 2.1154 14.07 11.59 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.3177 1.1546 1.5045 0.8877 5.18 5.41 6.05 3.95 CSIRO 4.6625 3.5625 5.8281* 3.4406 13.98 10.60 17.47* 9.24 ECHAM4 2.3079 1.2993 2.9080* 1.0525* 15.31 9.31 19.29* 7.54* HADCM3 3.5117 2.4986 4.3897* 2.0239* 14.68 9.50 18.35* 7.70* NCAR PCM 3.7824 3.2500 4.7280* 2.6000* 10.09 8.33 12.61* 6.66* CGCM2 6.5558 5.0767 9.99 7.30 GFDL-R30 2.9135 2.0868 14.89 11.72 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.9032 0.8213 0.9734 0.7517 5.44 3.77 7.11 3.71 CSIRO 3.6923 2.7453 4.6153* 2.5856 15.99 12.28 19.99* 10.35 ECHAM4 1.6045 1.0265 2.0217* 0.8314* 14.03 9.07 17.67* 7.35* HADCM3 2.5760 1.8110 3.2200* 1.4669* 13.50 6.75 16.87* 5.47* NCAR PCM 2.0314 1.8629 2.5392* 1.4903* 8.08 5.91 10.10* 4.73* CGCM2 4.9937 3.8001 8.15 4.89 GFDL-R30 2.0249 1.5071 14.01 10.68 REGION 5 ========= TIME SLICE 2010-2039 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.4598 1.9462 1.4214 1.0403 -0.57 6.75 4.75 6.15 CSIRO 1.8034 3.1992 1.9477* 2.5326 7.95 11.63 8.58* 7.27 ECHAM4 2.9468 2.9595 3.2414* 2.5452* 18.22 13.38 20.04* 11.50* HADCM3 1.3871 0.6277 1.5120* 0.5461* 7.19 9.37 7.83* 8.15* NCAR PCM 1.5745 3.2151 1.7319* 2.7650* 1.02 7.44 1.12* 6.40* CGCM2 0.8424 1.3361 -1.63 1.03 GFDL-R30 1.9340 1.2178 7.07 5.32 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.6296 2.2414 1.4753 1.7856 7.93 13.30 11.10 11.08 CSIRO 1.4488 2.8031 1.5647* 2.5806 8.38 14.87 9.05* 13.47 ECHAM4 2.4515 2.3163 2.6967* 1.9920* 8.79 1.61 9.67* 1.39* HADCM3 0.5247 0.9811 0.5719* 0.8536* 2.38 3.16 2.60* 2.75* NCAR PCM 1.0339 1.3252 1.1373* 1.1397* 7.18 9.79 7.90* 8.42* CGCM2 1.1383 1.1332 5.35 4.33 GFDL-R30 1.5063 1.1060 10.05 3.36 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.6299 1.4469 0.4021 1.1368 -3.03 2.93 -5.06 -0.28 CSIRO 1.9235 2.2669 2.0773* 2.2786 7.69 9.26 8.31* 10.78 ECHAM4 1.3545 1.5594 1.4900* 1.3411* 4.37 7.93 4.81* 6.82* HADCM3 1.1745 1.4654 1.2802* 1.2749* 6.87 5.76 7.49* 5.01* NCAR PCM 0.4717 0.6177 0.5189* 0.5312* 3.65 6.80 4.02* 5.85* CGCM2 1.4637 1.4810 3.85 3.16 GFDL-R30 1.2292 1.4852 3.04 1.57 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.2843 2.3316 0.5131 1.6416 6.63 10.71 4.66 6.24 CSIRO 2.5344 2.7545 2.7371* 2.7529 7.40 11.23 8.00* 11.07 ECHAM4 1.3835 1.9554 1.5218* 1.6817* 7.23 7.24 7.95* 6.22* HADCM3 1.2705 1.3113 1.3849* 1.1409* 11.34 10.99 12.36* 9.56* NCAR PCM 1.3642 1.7578 1.5006* 1.5117* 9.14 9.67 10.06* 8.32* CGCM2 1.2150 1.1772 4.36 2.82 GFDL-R30 2.3849 0.9415 6.72 4.51 TIME SLICE 2040-2069 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 5.1711 5.8562 5.3929 3.3921 18.95 24.41 16.80 18.32 CSIRO 4.0219 3.5116 5.0676* 3.7875 14.16 20.97 17.84* 16.94 ECHAM4 5.8603 5.9095 7.5598* 5.0230* 23.33 20.83 30.10* 17.71* HADCM3 2.2774 1.6360 2.9150* 1.4069* 13.47 24.13 17.25* 20.75* NCAR PCM 3.9489 3.6494 5.0940* 3.1020* 9.12 15.83 11.76* 13.46* CGCM2 4.5883 2.8881 1.47 0.23 GFDL-R30 3.2416 4.0065 16.60 11.43 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.4619 5.1122 4.6432 3.2202 28.31 33.32 27.37 25.59 CSIRO 3.8978 4.5414 4.9113* 4.0360 19.48 24.54 24.54* 22.78 ECHAM4 3.4648 3.0870 4.4696* 2.6240* 9.24 8.56 11.93* 7.28* HADCM3 1.7454 0.9470 2.2341* 0.8144* 16.85 10.63 21.56* 9.15* NCAR PCM 2.1364 1.7483 2.7559* 1.4860* 16.18 17.57 20.87* 14.93* CGCM2 3.6148 2.5933 9.96 6.75 GFDL-R30 2.6662 2.2873 19.66 7.79 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.1700 3.0011 2.5019 2.0490 -0.96 2.79 -0.48 -1.42 CSIRO 3.4115 3.3979 4.2985* 3.2612 12.72 13.45 16.03* 13.38 ECHAM4 2.3490 2.8661 3.0302* 2.4362* 12.07 9.67 15.58* 8.22* HADCM3 2.7285 2.1113 3.4925* 1.8157* 11.12 10.79 14.23* 9.28* NCAR PCM 1.2625 0.8733 1.6286* 0.7423* 9.69 9.65 12.50* 8.20* CGCM2 2.9591 2.3505 6.98 4.84 GFDL-R30 2.2371 2.3159 8.16 9.06 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.9924 4.6577 4.7962 3.4214 22.13 19.40 21.39 18.07 CSIRO 3.4541 3.9707 4.3521* 3.6327 14.00 16.35 17.64* 13.76 ECHAM4 3.3397 3.7551 4.3082* 3.1919* 12.83 15.86 16.56* 13.48* HADCM3 2.6950 2.1745 3.4496* 1.8700* 17.54 13.05 22.45* 11.22* NCAR PCM 2.8690 2.0396 3.7011* 1.7337* 18.47 12.71 23.83* 10.81* CGCM2 1.9690 1.7182 8.55 6.30 GFDL-R30 3.9482 2.4799 17.32 7.86 TIME SLICE 2070-2099 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 11.8123 9.0870 12.9751 8.2753 42.80 23.22 46.21 24.78 CSIRO 6.9038 6.3471 8.6298* 4.4016 32.68 33.28 40.85* 17.66 ECHAM4 8.8815 8.2091 11.1907* 6.6494* 32.46 33.46 40.90* 27.10* HADCM3 4.4471 3.6351 5.5589* 2.9444* 30.30 28.27 37.87* 22.90* NCAR PCM 7.6062 4.9943 9.5078* 3.9954* 23.95 20.69 29.93* 16.55* CGCM2 7.1980 5.0233 2.44 5.14 GFDL-R30 5.7079 4.8276 20.05 12.01 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 10.3140 7.8779 11.8074 7.0863 53.18 44.34 59.57 42.20 CSIRO 7.3447 5.9193 9.1809* 4.5333 41.76 33.36 52.20* 24.24 ECHAM4 5.5100 4.4000 6.9426* 3.5640* 16.09 5.77 20.27* 4.67* HADCM3 3.6692 2.6961 4.5865* 2.1839* 20.19 17.90 25.23* 14.50* NCAR PCM 3.8652 1.7668 4.8315* 1.4134* 23.09 18.77 28.86* 15.01* CGCM2 5.6265 4.0318 12.91 10.31 GFDL-R30 4.8196 3.5015 30.53 17.48 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 5.5374 4.6369 6.0609 3.9779 5.67 11.10 9.04 6.38 CSIRO 5.1788 4.3628 6.4735* 3.9124 26.35 21.46 32.93* 19.14 ECHAM4 4.1392 3.6842 5.2154* 2.9842* 13.13 12.60 16.54* 10.21* HADCM3 4.6725 3.2410 5.8406* 2.6252* 18.45 17.63 23.07* 14.28* NCAR PCM 1.9308 1.3734 2.4135* 1.0987* 16.79 10.59 20.98* 8.47* CGCM2 4.4436 3.2755 12.45 7.75 GFDL-R30 3.4831 2.6380 11.26 10.64 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 8.5212 7.2099 8.9667 6.8046 39.73 29.74 38.93 26.10 CSIRO 5.9362 4.7621 7.4202* 4.4967 29.18 20.28 36.48* 17.93 ECHAM4 6.2058 5.0268 7.8193* 4.0717* 24.53 14.78 30.90* 11.97* HADCM3 4.4645 3.2629 5.5806* 2.6430* 31.73 22.01 39.66* 17.83* NCAR PCM 4.0784 2.9355 5.0980* 2.3484* 21.40 15.41 26.75* 12.33* CGCM2 2.9240 2.4515 9.17 6.58 GFDL-R30 5.6256 3.8211 22.85 13.81 REGION 6 ========= TIME SLICE 2010-2039 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.4358 2.9607 1.1386 1.1682 5.67 10.37 5.35 5.48 CSIRO 2.5038 2.7674 2.7041* 2.6403 12.01 10.59 12.97* 10.85 ECHAM4 2.7233 3.3266 2.9956* 2.8608* 7.52 12.04 8.27* 10.36* HADCM3 1.2879 1.5582 1.4038* 1.3556* 5.85 11.13 6.38* 9.69* NCAR PCM 2.3768 2.8468 2.6145* 2.4482* 6.05 8.23 6.66* 7.08* CGCM2 2.5065 2.5613 1.52 3.13 GFDL-R30 2.2530 1.4480 9.33 6.93 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.6934 2.5725 1.5540 1.3042 9.37 14.48 8.17 8.07 CSIRO 2.4915 2.6691 2.6908* 2.5053 16.67 17.01 18.00* 16.49 ECHAM4 2.0525 1.7518 2.2577* 1.5066* 0.81 3.85 0.89* 3.31* HADCM3 1.1422 1.3826 1.2450* 1.2028* 7.14 2.63 7.79* 2.29* NCAR PCM 2.2426 2.0924 2.4668* 1.7995* 4.16 4.83 4.58* 4.15* CGCM2 1.5033 1.2453 1.31 -2.30 GFDL-R30 0.5358 1.0130 3.76 3.98 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.4158 2.1368 1.1870 1.0781 1.34 5.11 -0.65 -0.07 CSIRO 1.9666 2.2483 2.1240* 2.1099 5.12 6.81 5.53* 7.29 ECHAM4 1.7287 1.6959 1.9015* 1.4585* -1.64 1.00 -1.80* 0.86* HADCM3 1.2912 1.5391 1.4074* 1.3390* 4.47 7.02 4.87* 6.11* NCAR PCM 0.7351 0.8766 0.8086* 0.7539* 2.03 5.20 2.23* 4.47* CGCM2 2.2922 2.2527 8.11 3.50 GFDL-R30 1.3170 1.5300 1.77 -0.93 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.8863 2.7332 1.2019 1.5868 3.42 6.97 3.30 4.24 CSIRO 1.7604 2.2136 1.9012* 1.7911 3.38 0.91 3.65* 1.35 ECHAM4 1.7955 2.0129 1.9750* 1.7311* 6.52 3.93 7.18* 3.38* HADCM3 1.5088 1.5612 1.6446* 1.3583* 6.48 6.88 7.06* 5.99* NCAR PCM 1.0473 1.3859 1.1520* 1.1918* 4.89 4.20 5.38* 3.61* CGCM2 1.2815 1.4349 0.78 -0.24 GFDL-R30 1.7445 1.4408 1.86 1.29 TIME SLICE 2040-2069 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 5.5837 5.8326 6.6206 4.1654 17.12 14.82 16.17 16.07 CSIRO 4.6501 4.2283 5.8591* 4.0829 18.96 21.34 23.89* 20.01 ECHAM4 5.6013 6.8472 7.2256* 5.8201* 15.41 19.14 19.88* 16.27* HADCM3 3.1548 2.5775 4.0381* 2.2167* 14.80 10.41 18.95* 8.95* NCAR PCM 4.4965 4.2376 5.8005* 3.6019* 13.66 13.81 17.63* 11.73* CGCM2 5.0336 4.3192 2.38 4.42 GFDL-R30 3.7500 3.4438 16.09 7.85 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.5987 4.5962 4.4824 3.8985 24.37 24.14 22.04 24.30 CSIRO 4.1942 3.6877 5.2847* 3.7398 25.72 20.96 32.40* 21.57 ECHAM4 2.7449 3.3391 3.5410* 2.8383* 9.45 8.23 12.19* 6.99* HADCM3 2.4776 2.0880 3.1713* 1.7957* 6.54 9.17 8.37* 7.89* NCAR PCM 2.9686 2.7581 3.8295* 2.3443* 7.37 8.95 9.51* 7.61* CGCM2 2.8371 2.1845 5.96 6.29 GFDL-R30 1.9260 2.2872 10.38 9.58 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.0375 3.5482 3.4510 3.1271 3.70 9.92 7.12 6.99 CSIRO 3.4911 3.3006 4.3988* 3.3315 12.06 9.02 15.19* 10.07 ECHAM4 2.8683 3.0227 3.7001* 2.5693* 0.63 0.75 0.81* 0.64* HADCM3 2.9545 2.6371 3.7818* 2.2679* 8.51 10.58 10.90* 9.10* NCAR PCM 1.4686 1.4132 1.8945* 1.2012* 4.78 6.28 6.16* 5.34* CGCM2 4.0649 2.9788 7.61 8.24 GFDL-R30 2.6003 2.5001 0.72 -2.86 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.8152 5.1044 4.9278 4.0721 10.56 12.51 12.97 9.16 CSIRO 3.1157 3.1378 3.9257* 3.1414 7.52 8.02 9.48* 6.19 ECHAM4 3.4309 3.6138 4.4259* 3.0717* 9.33 8.62 12.04* 7.32* HADCM3 2.9704 2.5362 3.8021* 2.1812* 12.69 11.19 16.24* 9.62* NCAR PCM 2.1958 2.2345 2.8325* 1.8993* 5.11 7.99 6.59* 6.79* CGCM2 2.3808 2.0576 2.89 3.04 GFDL-R30 3.0056 2.5570 4.32 6.27 TIME SLICE 2070-2099 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 14.5751 12.1991 16.3079 10.1935 36.65 24.87 38.64 21.28 CSIRO 7.6155 5.9572 9.5193* 5.8453 34.46 23.93 43.07* 28.26 ECHAM4 9.5406 7.9679 12.0211* 6.4540* 33.61 23.81 42.35* 19.29* HADCM3 5.8117 4.2682 7.2646* 3.4573* 23.43 20.95 29.29* 16.97* NCAR PCM 7.5520 5.8652 9.4399* 4.6922* 23.84 20.76 29.80* 16.61* CGCM2 7.7349 5.6366 4.40 4.27 GFDL-R30 5.9907 4.9873 23.34 15.68 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 9.2959 6.7057 10.5281 6.5584 38.15 27.27 37.64 30.28 CSIRO 7.8355 5.5670 9.7944* 5.4145 43.88 32.48 54.85* 30.11 ECHAM4 5.4413 4.4685 6.8560* 3.6195* 11.88 10.79 14.97* 8.74* HADCM3 4.5347 3.1131 5.6683* 2.5216* 14.31 6.66 17.88* 5.40* NCAR PCM 4.9204 3.8636 6.1505* 3.0909* 14.02 14.92 17.53* 11.94* CGCM2 4.8085 3.3514 11.87 6.45 GFDL-R30 3.3825 2.8373 18.56 12.80 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 6.3582 5.1946 7.1578 4.8012 16.79 11.26 12.93 14.01 CSIRO 5.6412 4.4735 7.0515* 4.1093 11.78 8.69 14.73* 9.65 ECHAM4 4.6072 3.6185 5.8051* 2.9310* 0.17 5.55 0.22* 4.50* HADCM3 5.0770 3.7719 6.3462* 3.0552* 11.06 13.19 13.83* 10.68* NCAR PCM 2.4109 1.7668 3.0137* 1.4135* 9.99 6.28 12.49* 5.03* CGCM2 5.8390 4.4752 12.98 11.53 GFDL-R30 3.8062 2.7522 3.02 1.76 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 9.8542 8.4645 10.5681 7.4293 24.14 21.87 19.57 20.03 CSIRO 5.4203 4.1625 6.7754* 3.9181 12.09 5.27 15.11* 7.81 ECHAM4 5.6135 4.3210 7.0730* 3.5000* 16.37 12.42 20.62* 10.06* HADCM3 5.1758 3.5664 6.4698* 2.8888* 17.96 18.18 22.45* 14.73* NCAR PCM 3.6486 2.9029 4.5607* 2.3223* 15.06 12.68 18.83* 10.14* CGCM2 3.5775 2.7253 11.08 4.40 GFDL-R30 4.5534 3.6299 8.72 6.09 REGION 7 ========= TIME SLICE 2010-2039 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.8771 1.1978 0.1565 0.9536 3.55 -0.10 -4.22 -1.98 CSIRO 1.6174 2.2810 1.7468* 2.0478 6.39 5.57 6.90* 9.56 ECHAM4 1.6804 1.6907 1.8484* 1.4540* 1.42 9.59 1.56* 8.25* HADCM3 0.7700 1.2116 0.8393* 1.0541* 2.78 2.11 3.03* 1.84* NCAR PCM 0.3180 1.4316 0.3498* 1.2312* 2.29 -0.30 2.52* -0.26* CGCM2 1.2869 1.4037 7.77 7.65 GFDL-R30 1.4383 1.2763 12.37 5.94 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.5118 1.8203 1.0134 1.3227 -1.00 -1.09 -6.10 -4.53 CSIRO 0.9987 1.8717 1.0786* 1.4882 2.42 1.75 2.61* 4.45 ECHAM4 1.6850 1.5057 1.8535* 1.2949* 3.38 1.77 3.72* 1.53* HADCM3 0.9040 1.3500 0.9853* 1.1745* -0.04 -2.65 -0.05* -2.31* NCAR PCM 0.5484 0.7748 0.6033* 0.6663* 2.93 4.22 3.22* 3.63* CGCM2 1.5753 1.3574 2.01 -0.69 GFDL-R30 1.6658 1.2809 2.00 6.34 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.0841 2.5465 1.5332 1.7349 -8.37 -5.76 -9.37 -6.23 CSIRO 1.3541 1.8852 1.4625* 1.6078 -1.51 -2.31 -1.63* -0.46 ECHAM4 2.1019 2.0022 2.3121* 1.7219* -7.10 -2.18 -7.81* -1.87* HADCM3 1.7553 2.1313 1.9133* 1.8542* -4.04 -7.86 -4.40* -6.83* NCAR PCM 0.8597 1.1794 0.9456* 1.0142* 1.30 -0.65 1.43* -0.56* CGCM2 1.6702 1.6543 -6.72 -4.80 GFDL-R30 1.2695 1.4303 2.92 -0.29 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.5759 2.0902 1.0472 1.2951 -6.70 -7.39 -9.41 -7.67 CSIRO 1.4822 1.5149 1.6008* 1.4731 -1.48 -1.91 -1.60* -1.17 ECHAM4 1.6584 1.6330 1.8243* 1.4044* 0.45 2.88 0.49* 2.48* HADCM3 1.5511 1.6294 1.6908* 1.4175* 1.20 0.99 1.31* 0.86* NCAR PCM 0.4799 1.2960 0.5279* 1.1146* -4.23 -4.35 -4.65* -3.74* CGCM2 1.1556 0.9133 -0.70 -0.49 GFDL-R30 1.2557 1.2489 2.53 4.07 TIME SLICE 2040-2069 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.5668 3.7242 4.1137 3.2359 -4.71 -0.21 0.65 -4.51 CSIRO 3.2812 3.1499 4.1343* 3.1808 11.18 7.89 14.09* 8.66 ECHAM4 2.8374 3.0871 3.6602* 2.6240* 7.80 13.40 10.06* 11.39* HADCM3 1.8110 1.2927 2.3180* 1.1117* 6.22 -0.29 7.96* -0.25* NCAR PCM 1.7384 1.4702 2.2425* 1.2496* 7.65 1.40 9.87* 1.19* CGCM2 3.0349 2.5387 11.08 11.21 GFDL-R30 2.6842 2.3544 16.99 11.86 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.1720 3.8357 3.9599 3.4712 -7.82 -4.92 -7.92 -6.73 CSIRO 2.6072 2.9256 3.2851* 2.5218 11.94 7.67 15.04* 8.43 ECHAM4 2.5507 2.2100 3.2904* 1.8785* 2.71 5.96 3.50* 5.07* HADCM3 2.1007 1.8096 2.6889* 1.5562* -4.34 -4.04 -5.56* -3.47* NCAR PCM 1.3438 1.2165 1.7336* 1.0340* 3.79 3.57 4.89* 3.04* CGCM2 3.4142 2.7420 2.10 3.63 GFDL-R30 2.6095 2.0887 4.88 8.95 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.9500 4.8182 5.2607 4.3730 -15.83 -8.29 -14.05 -13.70 CSIRO 2.8061 2.8483 3.5357* 2.6469 -4.64 -1.81 -5.85* -1.77 ECHAM4 3.7420 3.3993 4.8271* 2.8894* -9.41 -2.81 -12.13* -2.39* HADCM3 3.8522 3.5832 4.9308* 3.0815* -7.25 -8.96 -9.28* -7.71* NCAR PCM 1.9267 1.8578 2.4855* 1.5791* 1.46 0.58 1.89* 0.50* CGCM2 2.7487 2.1375 -4.24 -3.12 GFDL-R30 2.7381 2.4701 0.64 3.43 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.4978 4.0812 4.2756 3.5269 -11.43 -11.25 -20.79 -14.79 CSIRO 2.5170 2.7004 3.1715* 2.5291 5.68 5.19 7.15* 5.73 ECHAM4 3.0610 2.9238 3.9487* 2.4853* 2.44 -2.02 3.15* -1.72* HADCM3 2.6141 2.9242 3.3461* 2.5148* 4.67 7.62 5.97* 6.55* NCAR PCM 1.6761 1.6267 2.1621* 1.3827* -1.72 0.94 -2.22* 0.80* CGCM2 2.2029 1.6806 3.72 3.36 GFDL-R30 2.7950 2.1477 3.54 8.80 TIME SLICE 2070-2099 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 7.1076 4.7974 7.5360 4.8793 -5.05 3.06 -5.22 1.32 CSIRO 5.2661 4.3483 6.5826* 3.9642 19.44 8.50 24.30* 19.42 ECHAM4 4.4903 3.8125 5.6578* 3.0881* 12.25 10.08 15.44* 8.16* HADCM3 3.4301 2.4000 4.2877* 1.9440* 6.91 0.39 8.63* 0.31* NCAR PCM 3.3768 2.3972 4.2210* 1.9178* 6.98 5.05 8.73* 4.04* CGCM2 5.2586 3.4118 23.76 10.31 GFDL-R30 4.1081 3.2685 25.14 20.83 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 6.8764 4.8414 7.5754 4.7449 -8.19 -1.88 -8.72 -1.86 CSIRO 4.7141 3.5630 5.8926* 3.2601 13.78 13.20 17.22* 13.62 ECHAM4 4.0185 3.4014 5.0633* 2.7551* 3.56 7.02 4.48* 5.69* HADCM3 3.7829 2.5799 4.7286* 2.0897* -4.07 -1.70 -5.09* -1.38* NCAR PCM 2.2734 1.3344 2.8418* 1.0676* 10.04 7.96 12.55* 6.37* CGCM2 5.4888 3.8473 10.20 8.94 GFDL-R30 4.1135 2.9549 11.40 12.70 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 8.6234 6.1328 9.1653 5.8522 -6.03 -2.28 -7.79 -5.50 CSIRO 4.7695 3.8502 5.9618* 3.4272 -6.55 -2.52 -8.18* -0.29 ECHAM4 5.8685 4.5386 7.3943* 3.6762* -15.71 -6.38 -19.80* -5.17* HADCM3 6.2441 4.5356 7.8052* 3.6738* -6.53 -8.48 -8.16* -6.87* NCAR PCM 3.0009 2.1767 3.7511* 1.7414* 5.23 3.65 6.54* 2.92* CGCM2 4.3173 3.2108 -11.67 -8.53 GFDL-R30 4.0966 3.1329 2.78 -0.32 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 7.7062 5.5591 8.0177 5.2994 -18.54 -13.37 -19.80 -13.59 CSIRO 4.7522 3.7855 5.9402* 3.5082 2.16 7.29 2.71* 4.52 ECHAM4 5.1142 4.0678 6.4439* 3.2949* -1.55 3.49 -1.96* 2.83* HADCM3 4.8667 3.7360 6.0834* 3.0262* 12.42 6.70 15.52* 5.43* NCAR PCM 2.8384 2.0729 3.5480* 1.6583* 2.65 1.21 3.31* 0.97* CGCM2 3.9174 2.3566 12.00 2.72 GFDL-R30 4.6208 3.3849 11.72 10.00 REGION 8 ========= TIME SLICE 2010-2039 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.3704 1.9267 0.4252 1.4009 8.97 3.58 11.51 5.17 CSIRO 2.0978 2.3699 2.2656* 2.6450 -1.89 -4.50 -2.04* -2.96 ECHAM4 1.8205 2.2763 2.0025* 1.9576* -7.17 5.44 -7.89* 4.68* HADCM3 0.1458 0.8879 0.1589* 0.7725* 5.58 0.00 6.08* 0.00* NCAR PCM -0.0198 0.6319 -0.0218* 0.5434* 2.71 2.74 2.98* 2.36* CGCM2 1.8820 2.0239 -2.52 -2.74 GFDL-R30 1.9336 1.6877 -1.36 4.63 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.0261 2.2696 1.1919 1.4989 3.60 7.46 3.33 2.95 CSIRO 2.2138 2.7264 2.3909* 2.5979 3.91 0.87 4.23* 6.18 ECHAM4 2.0435 1.7883 2.2479* 1.5379* -4.19 -0.30 -4.60* -0.26* HADCM3 1.2503 1.2905 1.3628* 1.1228* 3.85 -4.05 4.19* -3.52* NCAR PCM 0.5655 1.1147 0.6220* 0.9586* 0.86 -4.47 0.95* -3.85* CGCM2 2.1771 1.8338 -2.02 -0.37 GFDL-R30 1.2509 1.5472 4.81 -0.29 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.6882 1.9825 1.2609 1.4119 7.74 11.63 8.48 7.56 CSIRO 1.6054 1.8834 1.7339* 1.6919 -6.84 -5.77 -7.39* -0.89 ECHAM4 1.9810 2.0525 2.1791* 1.7651* 2.93 2.43 3.22* 2.09* HADCM3 1.9277 2.2038 2.1012* 1.9173* -1.03 -5.63 -1.12* -4.90* NCAR PCM 0.9194 1.4099 1.0113* 1.2125* -0.48 1.06 -0.53* 0.91* CGCM2 1.8759 1.9296 -8.34 -9.01 GFDL-R30 1.2017 1.3231 -1.03 1.65 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.6733 2.3071 1.4153 1.5442 -2.01 -2.55 -0.71 -2.92 CSIRO 1.1119 1.4562 1.2009* 1.2971 -10.95 -3.82 -11.83* -3.36 ECHAM4 2.0094 1.9585 2.2103* 1.6843* -1.28 -3.38 -1.41* -2.90* HADCM3 1.6425 1.6930 1.7903* 1.4729* 3.00 -1.34 3.27* -1.16* NCAR PCM 0.3152 1.0741 0.3467* 0.9237* 5.23 0.44 5.76* 0.38* CGCM2 1.3064 1.3278 -4.19 1.82 GFDL-R30 1.2845 1.2307 1.58 -0.48 TIME SLICE 2040-2069 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.1768 4.1987 4.5070 4.3013 0.38 2.35 -2.08 -8.23 CSIRO 3.6312 3.5125 4.5753* 3.1368 -0.31 -2.54 -0.40* -6.00 ECHAM4 2.8633 3.1960 3.6937* 2.7166* -1.63 -8.38 -2.11* -7.12* HADCM3 2.0016 1.4524 2.5620* 1.2491* 6.16 -2.32 7.88* -1.99* NCAR PCM 1.3683 1.3235 1.7652* 1.1250* 5.18 4.96 6.68* 4.21* CGCM2 3.4761 3.0118 -2.27 -5.69 GFDL-R30 3.0311 2.4651 3.27 -3.69 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 5.0684 4.9543 4.9679 4.7946 4.56 4.02 5.66 2.40 CSIRO 3.2117 3.3487 4.0468* 2.9212 3.59 2.66 4.52* 6.65 ECHAM4 2.9747 3.0784 3.8373* 2.6167* 2.24 2.88 2.89* 2.45* HADCM3 2.2506 2.3000 2.8808* 1.9780* 1.83 0.10 2.34* 0.08* NCAR PCM 1.5056 1.4080 1.9422* 1.1968* 4.12 0.41 5.31* 0.35* CGCM2 3.9434 3.5187 3.01 2.00 GFDL-R30 2.3040 2.5928 7.27 -1.22 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.1250 4.4670 5.0544 3.9375 7.56 5.29 2.27 4.60 CSIRO 3.1320 2.7960 3.9464* 2.7775 -12.12 -6.77 -15.27* -9.22 ECHAM4 3.6055 3.2912 4.6511* 2.7975* 3.45 6.91 4.45* 5.88* HADCM3 4.1653 3.5052 5.3316* 3.0145* -12.19 -9.71 -15.61* -8.35* NCAR PCM 1.7296 1.7259 2.2311* 1.4670* -1.51 1.45 -1.94* 1.23* CGCM2 3.0054 2.5780 -10.76 -7.38 GFDL-R30 2.6052 2.0892 -5.99 2.53 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.9253 4.6213 4.9562 4.0674 -13.31 -8.58 -5.65 -14.41 CSIRO 2.4855 2.7009 3.1317* 2.7220 -4.75 -1.91 -5.99* -1.45 ECHAM4 3.6020 2.9008 4.6465* 2.4656* 5.89 7.45 7.60* 6.33* HADCM3 3.1023 2.9942 3.9710* 2.5750* 9.70 -2.05 12.42* -1.77* NCAR PCM 1.2171 1.5930 1.5701* 1.3541* 4.29 3.15 5.54* 2.68* CGCM2 2.5258 1.8537 -1.94 -3.68 GFDL-R30 2.7371 2.1295 -6.53 2.03 TIME SLICE 2070-2099 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 7.4898 5.4382 7.8722 5.4342 0.50 14.82 6.14 3.76 CSIRO 6.3272 4.8506 7.9090* 4.9989 -2.96 -4.22 -3.69* -5.65 ECHAM4 4.4975 3.7302 5.6669* 3.0214* 0.20 -6.44 0.25* -5.21* HADCM3 3.9346 2.3315 4.9182* 1.8885* 6.48 5.78 8.11* 4.68* NCAR PCM 2.4107 2.1111 3.0134* 1.6888* 3.92 0.48 4.91* 0.38* CGCM2 5.7683 3.8194 -10.47 -10.92 GFDL-R30 4.4811 3.4058 8.56 -2.84 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 7.3918 5.4199 7.8832 5.5685 14.53 21.16 14.97 14.72 CSIRO 5.8175 4.3823 7.2718* 4.1922 9.63 7.73 12.04* 7.65 ECHAM4 4.5420 4.0262 5.7229* 3.2613* 6.88 3.79 8.67* 3.07* HADCM3 4.7227 2.8564 5.9034* 2.3136* 6.39 7.96 7.99* 6.45* NCAR PCM 2.3849 1.9995 2.9812* 1.5996* 5.83 6.07 7.29* 4.85* CGCM2 6.6469 4.8481 8.56 3.28 GFDL-R30 3.7816 3.6623 13.05 4.25 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 7.5304 4.9608 8.2299 4.6640 5.23 16.81 8.37 14.35 CSIRO 5.3291 4.2851 6.6613* 3.7586 -21.22 -18.59 -26.52* -10.75 ECHAM4 5.5273 4.4652 6.9644* 3.6168* 10.66 8.98 13.43* 7.28* HADCM3 6.7669 4.8655 8.4586* 3.9411* -16.33 -10.01 -20.42* -8.10* NCAR PCM 2.8847 2.1634 3.6058* 1.7307* 2.08 1.50 2.60* 1.20* CGCM2 4.9903 3.5511 -15.36 -9.78 GFDL-R30 3.6984 2.8531 4.05 2.37 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 8.3156 5.5784 8.8634 5.5490 -29.48 -1.52 -22.81 -6.82 CSIRO 4.5849 3.9189 5.7311* 3.0629 -13.58 -7.40 -16.98* -9.31 ECHAM4 5.3769 4.0272 6.7749* 3.2620* 10.44 2.93 13.15* 2.37* HADCM3 5.4478 4.0659 6.8098* 3.2933* 9.46 7.05 11.82* 5.71* NCAR PCM 2.5169 2.0680 3.1462* 1.6544* 6.84 5.66 8.55* 4.53* CGCM2 4.4438 2.7341 -9.14 -0.04 GFDL-R30 4.6442 3.2011 -2.79 6.04 REGION 9 ========= TIME SLICE 2010-2039 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.6992 2.6190 0.6729 1.9150 6.75 6.11 4.94 3.29 CSIRO 2.2462 2.1151 2.4259* 2.6301 2.76 -0.12 2.98* 4.54 ECHAM4 1.7128 2.4771 1.8841* 2.1303* -4.25 2.10 -4.68* 1.80* HADCM3 0.4148 0.8492 0.4521* 0.7388* 1.52 1.97 1.66* 1.71* NCAR PCM 0.6830 1.1369 0.7512* 0.9777* 9.90 4.13 10.88* 3.55* CGCM2 2.1429 2.2837 1.36 0.39 GFDL-R30 2.3315 1.3376 7.17 2.00 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.1753 2.5245 1.6085 2.0032 1.61 5.11 -0.32 2.78 CSIRO 2.7603 3.0975 2.9811* 2.9677 8.31 5.16 8.97* 8.15 ECHAM4 1.9401 1.7889 2.1341* 1.5384* -0.60 0.06 -0.66* 0.05* HADCM3 1.2923 0.8927 1.4086* 0.7766* 4.50 2.21 4.91* 1.92* NCAR PCM 0.6171 1.0219 0.6788* 0.8788* -5.86 -2.15 -6.45* -1.85* CGCM2 1.6703 1.4016 0.09 -0.29 GFDL-R30 0.7292 1.1063 3.60 5.55 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.6707 1.8885 1.5840 1.5294 -0.40 8.25 -2.57 1.35 CSIRO 1.5933 1.8950 1.7207* 1.8897 2.37 5.31 2.56* 5.90 ECHAM4 1.7362 1.7676 1.9098* 1.5201* 3.81 6.71 4.19* 5.77* HADCM3 1.4820 1.6378 1.6153* 1.4249* 0.71 4.21 0.78* 3.66* NCAR PCM 0.8307 1.3464 0.9138* 1.1579* 3.94 2.32 4.33* 2.00* CGCM2 1.6151 1.5518 -0.66 -1.50 GFDL-R30 1.6898 1.6990 -5.44 -4.98 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.0332 2.3365 1.5128 1.7417 -1.04 -0.34 -1.18 -1.71 CSIRO 1.3404 1.7766 1.4476* 1.4824 1.65 0.50 1.78* 4.39 ECHAM4 1.8889 1.7439 2.0778* 1.4998* 1.71 -1.04 1.88* -0.90* HADCM3 1.5584 1.5276 1.6987* 1.3291* -1.23 3.02 -1.34* 2.63* NCAR PCM 0.6760 1.0220 0.7436* 0.8789* 1.02 0.13 1.12* 0.11* CGCM2 1.0373 1.3148 4.21 4.51 GFDL-R30 1.7548 1.2057 -6.96 -3.28 TIME SLICE 2040-2069 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 5.3679 5.6305 5.7091 5.4698 2.58 4.25 4.63 -3.30 CSIRO 4.1330 3.7257 5.2076* 3.3743 7.74 6.79 9.75* 3.48 ECHAM4 3.6840 3.8040 4.7524* 3.2334* 3.90 -2.82 5.03* -2.39* HADCM3 2.0339 1.5603 2.6034* 1.3418* 9.96 3.10 12.74* 2.67* NCAR PCM 2.2182 1.9275 2.8615* 1.6383* 8.62 7.01 11.12* 5.96* CGCM2 3.5214 2.6633 -0.66 0.90 GFDL-R30 3.5193 2.0759 10.90 2.92 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 6.0229 5.8701 5.7281 5.5267 6.49 9.21 6.55 7.74 CSIRO 4.3562 3.7636 5.4888* 3.7526 9.24 6.59 11.64* 8.19 ECHAM4 3.2351 3.3236 4.1733* 2.8250* 6.72 9.54 8.67* 8.11* HADCM3 2.1210 2.1750 2.7149* 1.8705* 4.41 8.07 5.64* 6.94* NCAR PCM 1.6888 1.5558 2.1786* 1.3224* -1.43 -0.43 -1.85* -0.36* CGCM2 2.7906 2.3220 1.41 2.84 GFDL-R30 1.9973 2.1581 0.78 2.76 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.6089 4.5218 5.5507 4.3031 -5.94 1.03 -8.82 -2.35 CSIRO 2.9669 2.7350 3.7383* 2.7246 3.74 7.54 4.71* 6.14 ECHAM4 3.2826 2.9788 4.2346* 2.5319* 7.73 6.02 9.97* 5.11* HADCM3 3.4689 2.9911 4.4402* 2.5723* 4.50 3.56 5.76* 3.06* NCAR PCM 1.6668 1.7484 2.1502* 1.4862* 4.99 5.04 6.43* 4.28* CGCM2 2.7517 2.2780 -1.46 -0.13 GFDL-R30 3.0785 3.0050 -6.43 -9.87 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 5.3636 5.0468 5.3676 4.3849 -16.94 -8.17 -6.04 -12.27 CSIRO 2.7111 2.7929 3.4160* 2.9448 5.27 8.51 6.64* 3.01 ECHAM4 3.5386 3.0088 4.5648* 2.5574* 3.60 3.68 4.65* 3.13* HADCM3 3.0249 2.1793 3.8719* 1.8742* 13.21 1.36 16.91* 1.17* NCAR PCM 1.3873 1.7696 1.7897* 1.5042* 7.20 2.41 9.29* 2.04* CGCM2 2.3555 1.7269 4.45 5.24 GFDL-R30 2.9328 2.4620 -12.71 -0.32 TIME SLICE 2070-2099 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 9.9978 7.6000 10.2357 7.3245 2.78 12.09 5.38 11.08 CSIRO 7.1098 5.1336 8.8872* 5.6479 17.97 5.18 22.47* 16.24 ECHAM4 5.2812 4.4245 6.6544* 3.5838* 10.41 4.17 13.12* 3.38* HADCM3 3.7724 2.7516 4.7155* 2.2288* 11.73 10.89 14.67* 8.82* NCAR PCM 3.2326 2.8098 4.0408* 2.2478* 9.49 7.58 11.86* 6.06* CGCM2 5.2290 3.5859 -0.81 -0.02 GFDL-R30 5.0125 3.2049 18.66 5.93 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 8.7167 6.8401 9.2928 7.1204 12.32 8.40 13.90 13.65 CSIRO 7.7203 5.5999 9.6504* 5.4409 17.79 15.09 22.23* 11.56 ECHAM4 4.7169 4.0976 5.9433* 3.3191* 13.37 3.58 16.84* 2.90* HADCM3 4.4652 2.9479 5.5815* 2.3878* 19.30 15.43 24.13* 12.50* NCAR PCM 2.5184 2.3715 3.1480* 1.8972* -0.28 -1.11 -0.35* -0.89* CGCM2 4.9613 3.2833 6.02 2.67 GFDL-R30 3.3260 2.8176 11.62 2.68 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 8.5761 5.9895 8.4309 5.7424 -15.66 -3.18 -11.61 -4.57 CSIRO 5.0786 4.0830 6.3482* 3.7367 4.50 4.29 5.62* 3.06 ECHAM4 4.7798 4.0465 6.0225* 3.2777* 15.11 10.08 19.03* 8.16* HADCM3 5.9771 4.2817 7.4714* 3.4682* 1.63 3.95 2.04* 3.20* NCAR PCM 2.7090 2.0534 3.3862* 1.6427* 6.79 5.03 8.48* 4.03* CGCM2 4.4695 3.0995 -5.08 -0.41 GFDL-R30 4.6003 3.7020 -17.95 -17.39 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 8.8732 6.5706 8.9194 6.1295 -27.08 -12.41 -17.69 -5.95 CSIRO 4.8856 4.0399 6.1069* 3.4144 -3.41 -1.55 -4.27* 4.24 ECHAM4 5.0127 3.8652 6.3160* 3.1308* 4.72 0.85 5.95* 0.69* HADCM3 4.9448 3.6976 6.1810* 2.9951* 6.12 9.73 7.65* 7.88* NCAR PCM 2.6799 2.0224 3.3498* 1.6179* 3.45 -0.83 4.32* -0.67* CGCM2 3.8099 2.4584 2.49 6.38 GFDL-R30 4.4113 3.3799 -13.47 -0.43 REGION 10 ========= TIME SLICE 2010-2039 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.3062 1.3038 0.9964 0.8010 -5.62 -1.48 -2.77 2.25 CSIRO 0.8854 1.0170 0.9562* 0.9518 0.63 1.16 0.68* -4.53 ECHAM4 0.7538 1.0950 0.8291* 0.9417* 8.59 6.34 9.45* 5.45* HADCM3 0.9544 1.0556 1.0403* 0.9184* 6.66 -3.19 7.26* -2.78* NCAR PCM 0.5955 0.3340 0.6551* 0.2873* -7.72 3.97 -8.49* 3.42* CGCM2 0.7829 0.9144 -10.56 -6.55 GFDL-R30 1.1976 1.0013 -7.73 1.66 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.5099 1.5819 1.3389 0.9397 -11.18 -10.24 -15.75 -11.69 CSIRO 1.0168 1.1144 1.0982* 1.1231 -1.82 1.20 -1.97* -0.11 ECHAM4 1.0088 1.2773 1.1097* 1.0985* -5.40 -0.17 -5.94* -0.15* HADCM3 1.2021 1.2957 1.3103* 1.1273* -5.75 3.81 -6.27* 3.32* NCAR PCM 0.5837 0.8185 0.6421* 0.7039* -10.99 -13.13 -12.09* -11.29* CGCM2 0.9606 0.9036 -11.74 -3.36 GFDL-R30 1.2311 1.0937 4.21 0.51 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.7043 1.6415 1.7300 1.5785 -11.13 -9.14 -13.25 -13.51 CSIRO 0.9778 0.9552 1.0561* 0.9551 -1.56 -0.01 -1.68* 0.22 ECHAM4 1.3248 1.3752 1.4573* 1.1827* -0.41 3.07 -0.45* 2.64* HADCM3 1.6053 1.6067 1.7497* 1.3978* -8.39 -9.88 -9.15* -8.59* NCAR PCM 0.6130 0.8727 0.6743* 0.7505* -2.30 -1.40 -2.53* -1.20* CGCM2 1.1040 1.0101 -12.91 -9.46 GFDL-R30 0.9791 1.0533 4.35 0.55 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.0524 1.2474 1.1302 0.8571 -10.48 -6.51 -8.65 -7.01 CSIRO 0.7417 0.9145 0.8010* 0.9251 0.54 3.54 0.58* 3.37 ECHAM4 1.1526 1.2677 1.2678* 1.0902* 2.05 -1.29 2.25* -1.11* HADCM3 1.3975 1.6099 1.5233* 1.4006* -7.81 -5.65 -8.51* -4.92* NCAR PCM 0.5168 0.7370 0.5685* 0.6338* -0.56 2.36 -0.62* 2.03* CGCM2 1.0035 0.9661 5.55 -0.19 GFDL-R30 1.0336 0.9972 -5.14 6.10 TIME SLICE 2040-2069 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.9786 2.0957 2.3911 1.5960 -0.21 3.49 -1.25 7.31 CSIRO 1.6323 1.7021 2.0567* 1.5489 -3.14 1.44 -3.96* 1.67 ECHAM4 1.9499 1.8837 2.5153* 1.6012* -12.11 -16.27 -15.62* -13.83* HADCM3 2.5209 2.2606 3.2268* 1.9441* -4.55 0.01 -5.82* 0.00* NCAR PCM 1.0902 1.1685 1.4064* 0.9932* -5.67 -4.56 -7.31* -3.87* CGCM2 1.7018 1.4483 -12.74 -8.49 GFDL-R30 2.2990 1.8087 -14.45 -8.12 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.0565 2.9543 3.9874 2.8203 -23.59 -24.35 -34.17 -25.41 CSIRO 1.8992 1.8247 2.3930* 1.7366 -3.73 -0.49 -4.70* -3.74 ECHAM4 2.5328 2.6989 3.2674* 2.2941* 2.50 1.48 3.23* 1.26* HADCM3 2.4638 2.1852 3.1536* 1.8793* -0.05 4.58 -0.07* 3.94* NCAR PCM 1.4061 1.2865 1.8139* 1.0935* -9.85 -13.92 -12.70* -11.83* CGCM2 1.8958 1.6711 -3.39 -1.55 GFDL-R30 2.1513 1.8203 0.54 17.65 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.9623 2.9813 4.6742 2.5798 -29.35 -16.78 -34.09 -13.94 CSIRO 1.8110 1.7586 2.2818* 1.6066 -2.66 -1.73 -3.35* 0.73 ECHAM4 2.4520 2.3615 3.1631* 2.0073* 2.05 3.53 2.64* 3.00* HADCM3 2.9870 2.3662 3.8234* 2.0349* -14.33 -5.73 -18.34* -4.92* NCAR PCM 1.2760 1.2086 1.6460* 1.0273* -1.58 0.35 -2.03* 0.30* CGCM2 1.9519 1.5349 -21.55 -8.46 GFDL-R30 1.7548 1.5135 3.84 3.52 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.8795 2.5050 3.6451 1.7826 -12.99 -12.59 -17.03 -5.33 CSIRO 1.5681 1.6146 1.9758* 1.5935 1.57 3.07 1.97* 4.22 ECHAM4 2.3694 2.1693 3.0565* 1.8439* 6.95 2.16 8.97* 1.84* HADCM3 3.0695 2.3885 3.9290* 2.0541* -10.91 -5.07 -13.97* -4.36* NCAR PCM 1.1324 1.1709 1.4608* 0.9953* 6.03 0.97 7.77* 0.83* CGCM2 2.0695 1.5586 2.21 2.70 GFDL-R30 2.1130 1.7755 -9.77 3.66 TIME SLICE 2070-2099 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.5614 3.1583 4.9658 2.6867 -5.42 7.67 -9.81 12.05 CSIRO 2.9126 2.3465 3.6407* 2.1238 -2.77 5.44 -3.46* -2.82 ECHAM4 3.7050 2.5674 4.6682* 2.0796* -23.39 -18.46 -29.48* -14.95* HADCM3 4.3365 3.1190 5.4206* 2.5264* -12.18 1.08 -15.23* 0.87* NCAR PCM 1.7000 1.3307 2.1251* 1.0646* -11.32 -3.48 -14.15* -2.78* CGCM2 2.7474 1.8893 -22.89 -14.84 GFDL-R30 3.5149 2.4029 -15.31 -17.76 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 6.4552 4.3109 7.1931 3.7723 -51.97 -32.66 -59.56 -30.85 CSIRO 3.3690 2.6350 4.2113* 2.3719 -8.53 -8.67 -10.66* 0.47 ECHAM4 4.7212 3.5338 5.9487* 2.8624* 4.38 2.16 5.51* 1.75* HADCM3 4.9890 3.5835 6.2362* 2.9026* -21.83 -14.45 -27.29* -11.71* NCAR PCM 2.1414 1.5944 2.6768* 1.2755* -11.31 -8.45 -14.14* -6.76* CGCM2 3.5991 2.3574 -8.49 -9.11 GFDL-R30 3.3379 2.6981 1.97 9.72 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 7.3916 5.7288 7.8849 4.4926 -37.03 -33.19 -32.47 -26.15 CSIRO 3.0432 2.4256 3.8040* 2.2601 -0.95 0.05 -1.19* 1.51 ECHAM4 4.0540 3.0363 5.1081* 2.4594* 5.64 7.11 7.11* 5.76* HADCM3 5.3486 4.1170 6.6857* 3.3347* -27.89 -24.46 -34.86* -19.81* NCAR PCM 2.1040 1.6005 2.6300* 1.2804* -5.83 -1.83 -7.29* -1.47* CGCM2 3.1546 2.3471 -14.58 -20.78 GFDL-R30 3.0291 2.3066 -3.94 -2.14 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 5.7158 3.9220 6.1820 3.2911 -18.52 -15.76 -13.74 -10.97 CSIRO 2.6818 2.1451 3.3523* 1.9202 2.56 3.78 3.20* 5.47 ECHAM4 4.0191 2.7654 5.0640* 2.2400* 7.76 6.27 9.78* 5.08* HADCM3 4.9915 3.8098 6.2394* 3.0859* -13.55 -16.16 -16.94* -13.09* NCAR PCM 2.0588 1.5790 2.5735* 1.2632* 4.11 6.19 5.14* 4.95* CGCM2 3.3492 2.3171 3.07 0.25 GFDL-R30 3.7912 2.5151 -25.62 3.61 REGION 11 ========= TIME SLICE 2010-2039 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.0729 0.9767 0.6703 0.3501 -1.81 0.09 2.09 3.34 CSIRO 0.8168 0.8887 0.8821* 0.8171 1.87 3.23 2.02* 2.17 ECHAM4 1.2226 1.4541 1.3449* 1.2505* 1.83 2.33 2.02* 2.00* HADCM3 1.3266 1.2755 1.4460* 1.1096* -1.29 -2.69 -1.41* -2.34* NCAR PCM 0.7116 0.8687 0.7828* 0.7471* -0.78 1.40 -0.86* 1.21* CGCM2 0.8350 0.8450 1.04 2.72 GFDL-R30 0.8972 0.7862 9.07 7.76 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.9302 0.9344 0.8825 0.6160 -2.47 -3.83 -1.45 -1.68 CSIRO 0.8730 0.9734 0.9429* 0.8559 1.28 1.14 1.39* 1.19 ECHAM4 1.1695 1.3595 1.2865* 1.1691* 0.70 1.93 0.77* 1.66* HADCM3 1.2482 1.2507 1.3605* 1.0881* -3.47 -1.62 -3.78* -1.41* NCAR PCM 0.6749 0.8096 0.7424* 0.6962* 1.93 1.80 2.12* 1.55* CGCM2 0.8103 0.8124 -0.13 -0.72 GFDL-R30 0.7175 0.7970 4.31 2.21 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.0727 1.1503 0.9002 0.8380 -1.82 -2.70 2.04 2.80 CSIRO 0.8986 1.0543 0.9705* 1.0243 -0.13 0.30 -0.14* 0.42 ECHAM4 1.6097 1.7607 1.7707* 1.5142* -3.02 -0.90 -3.32* -0.78* HADCM3 1.5219 1.4141 1.6589* 1.2302* -8.73 -8.95 -9.52* -7.79* NCAR PCM 0.7662 0.8881 0.8428* 0.7637* 0.20 1.58 0.22* 1.36* CGCM2 0.8314 0.7697 0.72 -1.09 GFDL-R30 1.0859 1.1074 -0.52 5.87 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.3244 1.4588 1.2691 0.7154 -6.76 -9.51 -3.11 0.59 CSIRO 0.9081 0.9527 0.9808* 0.8715 0.89 1.76 0.96* 2.09 ECHAM4 1.7018 2.0273 1.8720* 1.7435* -2.81 -3.10 -3.10* -2.67* HADCM3 1.8980 1.5895 2.0688* 1.3829* -11.06 -6.27 -12.06* -5.46* NCAR PCM 0.6683 0.8391 0.7351* 0.7216* 3.27 2.53 3.60* 2.18* CGCM2 0.6918 0.6837 -1.39 -2.86 GFDL-R30 1.0072 0.8599 2.77 7.32 TIME SLICE 2040-2069 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.0433 1.2680 2.0101 1.1901 -1.01 4.48 1.76 0.18 CSIRO 1.6019 1.5494 2.0184* 1.4100 2.07 2.06 2.60* 3.18 ECHAM4 2.5279 2.5503 3.2610* 2.1677* 2.04 4.58 2.63* 3.89* HADCM3 2.9606 2.2918 3.7896* 1.9709* -5.08 -2.38 -6.50* -2.04* NCAR PCM 1.2255 1.1987 1.5808* 1.0189* 3.82 4.54 4.93* 3.86* CGCM2 1.6392 1.4251 -3.07 -0.57 GFDL-R30 1.5518 1.4269 15.12 12.66 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.0206 1.5324 2.4549 1.4078 -3.98 -1.42 -2.21 -4.25 CSIRO 1.6472 1.6158 2.0755* 1.5253 2.54 2.51 3.20* 1.71 ECHAM4 2.4195 2.2333 3.1212* 1.8983* 3.57 4.05 4.61* 3.44* HADCM3 2.9209 2.2214 3.7388* 1.9104* -6.96 -1.30 -8.90* -1.12* NCAR PCM 1.1836 1.2074 1.5269* 1.0263* 3.32 7.13 4.28* 6.06* CGCM2 1.6458 1.4417 -7.68 -2.38 GFDL-R30 1.4389 1.4958 8.23 4.84 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.5472 2.3074 3.1535 1.8655 -4.50 0.27 0.98 -1.56 CSIRO 1.8646 1.8111 2.3494* 1.7011 -0.09 0.53 -0.11* 1.29 ECHAM4 3.1928 2.9272 4.1188* 2.4882* -3.71 -4.77 -4.79* -4.05* HADCM3 3.4878 2.5277 4.4644* 2.1739* -19.30 -15.90 -24.70* -13.68* NCAR PCM 1.4658 1.2993 1.8909* 1.1044* 3.16 5.92 4.08* 5.03* CGCM2 1.8144 1.4710 -6.91 -5.44 GFDL-R30 1.9133 1.7986 7.19 11.39 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.7402 2.1492 3.0520 1.8178 -10.93 -6.03 -7.84 -6.28 CSIRO 1.6819 1.6214 2.1192* 1.4964 2.52 1.71 3.18* 2.52 ECHAM4 3.5365 3.7404 4.5621* 3.1793* -7.63 -9.95 -9.85* -8.46* HADCM3 3.6531 3.0453 4.6759* 2.6189* -17.77 -16.61 -22.74* -14.29* NCAR PCM 1.3339 1.2875 1.7207* 1.0944* 5.43 4.43 7.01* 3.77* CGCM2 1.7548 1.3450 -6.87 -6.68 GFDL-R30 1.7470 1.8322 10.90 6.82 TIME SLICE 2070-2099 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.0449 2.1490 4.8784 1.6820 1.92 4.24 5.12 5.50 CSIRO 2.7460 2.1792 3.4325* 2.0041 2.65 4.10 3.31* 3.22 ECHAM4 4.1886 3.2364 5.2776* 2.6215* 6.99 3.72 8.80* 3.01* HADCM3 4.9961 3.8120 6.2451* 3.0878* -11.43 -11.58 -14.28* -9.38* NCAR PCM 2.0856 1.5190 2.6070* 1.2152* 5.41 3.36 6.77* 2.69* CGCM2 2.9835 1.9581 -7.43 -4.29 GFDL-R30 2.5494 2.1025 22.03 11.38 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.6674 2.9684 5.6411 2.2915 1.68 -2.67 3.87 -2.32 CSIRO 2.8861 2.2633 3.6077* 2.0746 1.65 3.40 2.06* 2.62 ECHAM4 4.0863 3.1801 5.1487* 2.5759* 5.31 3.47 6.69* 2.81* HADCM3 5.0098 3.8219 6.2623* 3.0957* -8.15 -12.19 -10.19* -9.88* NCAR PCM 2.1067 1.5694 2.6334* 1.2555* 2.91 2.11 3.64* 1.68* CGCM2 3.0149 1.9528 -9.47 -6.27 GFDL-R30 2.5108 1.9925 12.22 7.95 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 5.5427 4.0010 6.4512 3.2766 3.49 0.18 8.71 -1.70 CSIRO 3.3380 2.5884 4.1726* 2.4619 -0.56 -1.11 -0.70* 1.45 ECHAM4 5.1670 4.1225 6.5104* 3.3392* -1.67 -6.87 -2.10* -5.57* HADCM3 6.1299 4.3532 7.6624* 3.5261* -36.60 -29.49 -45.76* -23.89* NCAR PCM 2.5039 1.7950 3.1299* 1.4360* -0.25 0.12 -0.32* 0.10* CGCM2 3.3840 2.1772 -4.62 -7.74 GFDL-R30 3.4660 2.4792 7.94 16.77 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 5.1617 3.4856 5.7803 3.0088 -10.16 -7.75 -5.52 -6.98 CSIRO 2.9069 2.2554 3.6337* 2.1167 0.74 2.56 0.92* 1.85 ECHAM4 5.6817 4.2792 7.1589* 3.4662* -8.06 -4.89 -10.15* -3.96* HADCM3 6.0343 4.6821 7.5429* 3.7925* -31.66 -28.05 -39.57* -22.72* NCAR PCM 2.2370 1.7050 2.7963* 1.3640* 7.95 6.96 9.94* 5.57* CGCM2 3.1349 2.0121 -9.84 -7.33 GFDL-R30 2.9773 2.3632 11.86 8.42 REGION 12 ========= TIME SLICE 2010-2039 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.9981 1.0123 1.1420 0.8406 -1.15 -2.28 -2.27 -0.45 CSIRO 0.9188 0.9804 0.9923* 1.0422 -2.18 -1.40 -2.35* -1.45 ECHAM4 0.9568 0.9610 1.0525* 0.8265* 4.35 5.20 4.79* 4.47* HADCM3 1.0022 0.8445 1.0924* 0.7347* -0.57 3.57 -0.62* 3.11* NCAR PCM 0.7206 0.7354 0.7927* 0.6325* 1.61 2.22 1.77* 1.91* CGCM2 1.0471 1.1868 1.92 3.07 GFDL-R30 0.8799 0.9197 2.87 0.84 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.0212 1.0158 1.1769 0.9141 0.39 -0.12 -0.04 0.96 CSIRO 1.0435 1.1240 1.1270* 1.1744 -1.78 0.15 -1.92* -2.35 ECHAM4 0.8740 1.0431 0.9614* 0.8970* 1.86 5.39 2.04* 4.64* HADCM3 0.8767 0.7931 0.9556* 0.6900* -2.68 0.31 -2.92* 0.27* NCAR PCM 0.7951 0.8483 0.8746* 0.7295* 0.69 3.80 0.76* 3.27* CGCM2 0.9909 0.8629 1.47 1.97 GFDL-R30 1.0369 1.0026 -2.08 -6.33 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.3238 0.9943 1.0678 0.8479 -4.82 -8.48 -1.76 1.90 CSIRO 0.9941 1.1219 1.0736* 0.8977 -1.60 1.69 -1.73* -2.00 ECHAM4 1.0995 1.0445 1.2094* 0.8983* 2.96 0.81 3.26* 0.69* HADCM3 1.0674 0.8895 1.1635* 0.7738* -3.73 -4.72 -4.07* -4.11* NCAR PCM 0.6413 0.5561 0.7054* 0.4782* 1.59 -2.94 1.75* -2.53* CGCM2 1.0770 0.9619 2.18 1.18 GFDL-R30 0.9313 1.0190 2.07 2.59 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.4971 1.5889 1.4907 0.8123 -0.57 -4.81 -2.20 2.39 CSIRO 0.9162 0.8906 0.9895* 0.9453 -0.58 0.24 -0.62* -3.15 ECHAM4 0.7067 1.0105 0.7774* 0.8690* 4.82 5.45 5.30* 4.69* HADCM3 0.9961 1.1147 1.0858* 0.9698* 4.34 0.13 4.73* 0.11* NCAR PCM 0.7172 0.9427 0.7889* 0.8108* -0.14 0.43 -0.16* 0.37* CGCM2 0.9571 0.8311 2.77 0.99 GFDL-R30 0.7633 0.7289 0.01 4.15 TIME SLICE 2040-2069 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.9965 1.9478 2.5240 1.6150 5.65 0.48 0.38 0.57 CSIRO 1.9095 1.8502 2.4059* 1.6489 -4.82 -0.25 -6.08* -5.47 ECHAM4 1.9072 1.7160 2.4602* 1.4586* 8.03 8.35 10.36* 7.10* HADCM3 2.3393 1.7589 2.9943* 1.5126* -1.15 1.06 -1.48* 0.91* NCAR PCM 1.2370 1.2175 1.5957* 1.0348* 5.86 5.12 7.56* 4.35* CGCM2 2.2461 1.6609 0.48 5.27 GFDL-R30 1.4869 1.4797 13.85 2.68 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.9290 1.9594 2.3878 1.4773 4.25 -2.61 0.18 2.48 CSIRO 1.9675 1.9076 2.4790* 1.6490 -1.32 -0.04 -1.66* -1.65 ECHAM4 1.7714 1.6673 2.2851* 1.4172* 7.12 10.57 9.19* 8.99* HADCM3 2.1801 1.4099 2.7905* 1.2125* 1.46 3.64 1.86* 3.13* NCAR PCM 1.3463 1.2898 1.7367* 1.0963* -0.10 1.85 -0.13* 1.57* CGCM2 2.0766 1.6292 0.93 5.71 GFDL-R30 1.8937 1.5924 0.25 1.55 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.2655 2.2475 2.6683 1.6788 -6.40 -4.96 3.09 -5.24 CSIRO 1.8410 1.8691 2.3197* 1.5061 3.67 5.28 4.62* 1.79 ECHAM4 1.7759 1.5475 2.2909* 1.3154* 5.92 7.23 7.64* 6.14* HADCM3 2.1598 1.6815 2.7645* 1.4461* -9.94 -12.46 -12.72* -10.71* NCAR PCM 1.1110 0.9446 1.4332* 0.8029* -1.34 2.77 -1.73* 2.36* CGCM2 1.9017 1.5908 4.57 8.13 GFDL-R30 1.6721 1.4753 10.61 8.13 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.6726 2.2601 2.6036 2.1393 -4.87 -4.32 3.04 -3.38 CSIRO 1.9006 1.7827 2.3948* 1.6714 2.20 0.31 2.78* -5.65 ECHAM4 1.5371 1.4249 1.9829* 1.2111* 8.60 6.87 11.10* 5.84* HADCM3 2.4455 1.9865 3.1302* 1.7084* 7.40 3.03 9.47* 2.60* NCAR PCM 1.1877 1.1559 1.5321* 0.9825* -1.30 -2.48 -1.68* -2.11* CGCM2 1.9495 1.4269 0.24 1.32 GFDL-R30 1.5480 1.4431 6.03 6.07 TIME SLICE 2070-2099 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.6538 2.6736 4.2134 2.5342 8.60 4.11 9.89 -0.52 CSIRO 3.3761 2.5891 4.2201* 2.3177 -7.71 -6.43 -9.64* -4.79 ECHAM4 3.5112 2.5385 4.4241* 2.0562* 13.36 10.40 16.84* 8.42* HADCM3 3.8841 2.8069 4.8551* 2.2736* 4.23 2.73 5.28* 2.21* NCAR PCM 1.9478 1.6353 2.4347* 1.3083* 8.65 6.19 10.81* 4.95* CGCM2 3.9011 2.4981 -7.85 3.46 GFDL-R30 2.6880 2.1104 12.05 10.91 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.3679 2.5537 3.8195 2.3540 14.21 9.75 16.85 3.10 CSIRO 3.3872 2.5415 4.2340* 2.4946 -2.66 -2.47 -3.32* -3.02 ECHAM4 3.2978 2.3055 4.1553* 1.8675* 18.41 11.42 23.20* 9.25* HADCM3 3.5765 2.5446 4.4706* 2.0612* 4.54 8.07 5.67* 6.54* NCAR PCM 2.2921 1.7253 2.8651* 1.3802* 1.90 1.85 2.37* 1.48* CGCM2 3.6898 2.3217 2.98 1.85 GFDL-R30 2.7604 2.2414 2.76 -2.51 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.3227 2.5540 3.8958 2.5401 6.26 5.87 7.80 1.04 CSIRO 3.1872 2.4217 3.9840* 2.3228 7.57 4.93 9.47* 7.09 ECHAM4 3.2162 2.3704 4.0524* 1.9200* 3.98 3.70 5.02* 2.99* HADCM3 3.5977 2.6178 4.4971* 2.1204* -8.49 -10.54 -10.61* -8.54* NCAR PCM 1.9440 1.5156 2.4300* 1.2125* 1.69 -0.41 2.12* -0.33* CGCM2 3.1499 2.1179 8.62 5.95 GFDL-R30 2.4648 1.9194 15.11 17.53 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.8499 2.8162 4.1652 2.7520 2.10 8.41 7.71 4.14 CSIRO 3.2194 2.4948 4.0242* 2.2267 4.03 1.77 5.04* 8.44 ECHAM4 3.2412 2.1411 4.0839* 1.7343* 10.00 6.26 12.60* 5.07* HADCM3 3.9526 2.8838 4.9408* 2.3359* 15.08 11.27 18.85* 9.13* NCAR PCM 2.0485 1.5827 2.5606* 1.2661* -0.72 -0.88 -0.90* -0.71* CGCM2 3.1239 2.0826 -1.08 -0.60 GFDL-R30 2.5492 1.7320 8.61 8.47 REGION 13 ========= TIME SLICE 2010-2039 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.5682 3.5454 3.9145 3.4957 11.67 10.51 14.96 8.01 CSIRO 1.8481 2.1985 1.9960* 1.6955 7.44 6.41 8.03* 3.75 ECHAM4 4.0827 3.7684 4.4909* 3.2409* 20.67 21.47 22.74* 18.46* HADCM3 1.5699 2.2224 1.7112* 1.9335* 2.88 8.60 3.14* 7.48* NCAR PCM 1.2623 1.7220 1.3885* 1.4809* 2.75 4.68 3.03* 4.03* CGCM2 1.1321 1.5992 4.60 2.38 GFDL-R30 1.3789 1.2025 5.32 3.54 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.7323 2.9951 2.9641 2.0757 9.76 16.18 7.12 6.67 CSIRO 1.7776 2.5501 1.9199* 2.0755 2.47 10.85 2.67* 6.52 ECHAM4 2.6050 2.2988 2.8655* 1.9769* -2.29 3.55 -2.52* 3.05* HADCM3 0.9892 1.2144 1.0782* 1.0565* -0.30 6.40 -0.32* 5.56* NCAR PCM 0.9680 1.0367 1.0648* 0.8915* 4.83 7.85 5.32* 6.75* CGCM2 1.7377 2.3546 8.28 16.04 GFDL-R30 1.3374 1.1917 2.15 4.10 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.6344 2.3061 1.2906 1.5385 7.38 7.97 3.13 5.19 CSIRO 1.5538 1.5764 1.6781* 1.6646 0.88 2.25 0.95* -2.42 ECHAM4 1.4697 1.4011 1.6167* 1.2050* 1.10 2.25 1.21* 1.94* HADCM3 1.2578 1.4766 1.3710* 1.2846* -2.30 -0.03 -2.50* -0.03* NCAR PCM 0.6318 0.9684 0.6950* 0.8328* 2.90 0.68 3.19* 0.59* CGCM2 1.2220 1.2610 0.15 1.34 GFDL-R30 1.5466 1.5022 -2.94 -4.71 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.3137 3.0301 1.7747 2.1692 8.91 8.92 11.84 5.91 CSIRO 1.7552 1.4918 1.8957* 1.3539 0.38 0.96 0.41* -3.83 ECHAM4 2.2050 2.4606 2.4255* 2.1161* 0.54 7.70 0.59* 6.63* HADCM3 1.3672 1.8642 1.4902* 1.6219* -3.05 -0.13 -3.32* -0.11* NCAR PCM 1.2602 1.4127 1.3862* 1.2149* 0.88 0.34 0.97* 0.29* CGCM2 0.8866 1.0467 4.12 6.45 GFDL-R30 1.3331 1.0868 5.02 4.14 TIME SLICE 2040-2069 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 8.4448 8.0883 8.3361 8.3762 33.80 32.52 30.90 27.98 CSIRO 2.9991 2.9314 3.7789* 2.2698 11.75 13.75 14.81* 6.60 ECHAM4 5.3477 4.9609 6.8985* 4.2168* 32.25 24.37 41.60* 20.71* HADCM3 3.6259 2.4449 4.6412* 2.1026* 10.76 10.98 13.77* 9.45* NCAR PCM 2.8043 2.0391 3.6175* 1.7333* 3.56 2.44 4.59* 2.07* CGCM2 3.1031 1.9300 9.57 4.00 GFDL-R30 3.1390 1.6792 8.33 7.47 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 6.5922 7.0316 6.6577 6.9288 25.58 27.71 23.48 26.73 CSIRO 3.6495 3.3742 4.5983* 3.1866 14.12 14.50 17.79* 12.89 ECHAM4 3.3904 3.2871 4.3736* 2.7940* 1.43 7.04 1.84* 5.98* HADCM3 2.2432 2.0300 2.8713* 1.7458* 7.15 7.94 9.15* 6.82* NCAR PCM 1.6219 1.2837 2.0923* 1.0911* 7.43 6.83 9.58* 5.80* CGCM2 3.6825 2.8112 15.58 10.25 GFDL-R30 2.4641 1.7470 7.60 10.61 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.5396 3.7859 3.6528 3.4103 9.49 13.95 4.00 8.46 CSIRO 2.4656 2.5623 3.1066* 2.4690 -2.59 -0.39 -3.27* -0.55 ECHAM4 2.8709 2.7242 3.7035* 2.3156* -6.03 -1.89 -7.78* -1.61* HADCM3 2.7858 2.4210 3.5658* 2.0820* -8.31 -5.78 -10.64* -4.97* NCAR PCM 1.3343 1.2430 1.7212* 1.0566* 1.62 -0.10 2.09* -0.09* CGCM2 2.2861 1.8586 -0.30 -0.57 GFDL-R30 2.8459 2.2914 -1.88 -7.81 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 5.2369 5.7276 5.2067 5.2224 16.20 16.12 12.39 15.54 CSIRO 2.5665 2.3304 3.2338* 2.4203 1.08 1.85 1.36* 5.56 ECHAM4 3.5076 3.2915 4.5248* 2.7978* 5.97 9.71 7.71* 8.25* HADCM3 2.7568 2.4283 3.5287* 2.0884* -0.76 2.32 -0.98* 2.00* NCAR PCM 2.0688 1.8575 2.6687* 1.5789* 4.56 0.84 5.89* 0.71* CGCM2 2.0737 1.4740 8.80 8.36 GFDL-R30 2.6480 2.2249 8.18 2.14 TIME SLICE 2070-2099 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 13.9421 10.4499 13.6694 10.1324 59.39 40.17 59.72 37.77 CSIRO 5.4501 4.0952 6.8126* 3.2003 24.90 19.71 31.13* 15.59 ECHAM4 7.2179 6.2173 9.0946* 5.0360* 35.25 30.32 44.41* 24.56* HADCM3 5.1660 3.3963 6.4576* 2.7510* 19.95 14.26 24.94* 11.55* NCAR PCM 4.4008 3.3015 5.5010* 2.6412* 6.73 6.75 8.41* 5.40* CGCM2 4.6103 3.4492 15.65 10.26 GFDL-R30 4.3087 2.4506 10.45 7.62 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 10.7337 8.0087 11.1905 8.2495 43.54 33.64 48.62 32.08 CSIRO 5.2987 4.5055 6.6234* 3.6584 24.23 21.04 30.29* 17.65 ECHAM4 5.0957 4.0858 6.4205* 3.3095* 5.05 6.78 6.36* 5.49* HADCM3 4.4145 2.9800 5.5181* 2.4138* 13.41 11.58 16.76* 9.38* NCAR PCM 2.5467 2.1066 3.1833* 1.6853* 11.51 7.02 14.38* 5.61* CGCM2 4.8614 3.9944 16.41 12.52 GFDL-R30 3.5724 2.5521 8.65 12.06 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 6.0998 4.9501 6.3943 4.7442 12.01 16.88 14.38 14.84 CSIRO 4.5841 3.6136 5.7301* 3.3616 -3.09 -0.10 -3.86* 1.29 ECHAM4 4.4574 3.3745 5.6163* 2.7333* -12.72 -4.88 -16.02* -3.95* HADCM3 4.7989 3.4731 5.9986* 2.8132* -17.62 -10.67 -22.02* -8.64* NCAR PCM 2.1467 1.7332 2.6834* 1.3865* 5.28 8.24 6.60* 6.59* CGCM2 3.4286 2.5569 -4.48 -1.68 GFDL-R30 3.9250 2.5145 -3.16 -4.11 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 8.7501 7.0841 8.9715 6.8354 21.93 19.59 20.57 18.80 CSIRO 4.4786 3.4466 5.5982* 3.3078 7.65 6.16 9.56* 5.46 ECHAM4 5.3576 4.2434 6.7506* 3.4372* 11.31 13.05 14.24* 10.57* HADCM3 4.7700 3.5204 5.9625* 2.8515* 1.16 0.55 1.46* 0.45* NCAR PCM 3.3987 2.2159 4.2484* 1.7727* 4.24 6.07 5.30* 4.86* CGCM2 2.9301 2.2341 9.37 11.10 GFDL-R30 3.8410 2.8641 12.94 6.02 REGION 14 ========= TIME SLICE 2010-2039 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.7384 1.9197 2.0611 1.5125 4.88 4.42 1.54 2.42 CSIRO 1.1624 1.4667 1.2554* 1.1828 -2.03 0.47 -2.20* -1.86 ECHAM4 1.9236 2.1820 2.1160* 1.8765* -7.70 -4.90 -8.47* -4.22* HADCM3 0.9597 1.2357 1.0461* 1.0751* 5.42 3.18 5.91* 2.76* NCAR PCM 0.9116 0.8742 1.0028* 0.7518* -2.67 -0.88 -2.94* -0.76* CGCM2 0.8763 0.8456 0.16 -2.00 GFDL-R30 1.0342 1.1833 -2.21 5.28 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.3095 1.9861 1.5650 1.1356 -3.29 -2.91 -5.11 -5.59 CSIRO 1.0380 1.3698 1.1211* 1.2658 1.81 -1.40 1.96* -4.70 ECHAM4 1.8554 1.7722 2.0409* 1.5241* -3.48 -5.07 -3.83* -4.36* HADCM3 1.0619 1.3204 1.1574* 1.1487* -5.82 -3.66 -6.34* -3.18* NCAR PCM 0.9503 0.9367 1.0453* 0.8056* 6.22 -0.95 6.85* -0.82* CGCM2 1.4608 1.7464 -5.66 -8.56 GFDL-R30 0.9732 1.0031 3.50 -0.20 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.0500 2.8461 1.9807 2.0764 -18.41 -22.78 -21.82 -24.04 CSIRO 1.4515 1.8673 1.5676* 1.9006 0.07 -12.43 0.07* -10.37 ECHAM4 2.0028 2.0488 2.2031* 1.7619* 2.53 2.85 2.78* 2.45* HADCM3 1.9410 2.4756 2.1157* 2.1538* -14.41 -24.11 -15.70* -20.97* NCAR PCM 0.9702 1.3860 1.0672* 1.1920* -2.72 -7.65 -2.99* -6.58* CGCM2 1.8943 1.9438 -9.07 -13.42 GFDL-R30 1.3394 1.3661 26.06 11.67 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.0549 2.2479 1.6465 1.6246 -10.35 -8.44 -9.65 -11.11 CSIRO 1.4710 1.6123 1.5887* 1.6264 1.80 -1.15 1.94* 1.89 ECHAM4 1.6554 1.8130 1.8210* 1.5592* -3.61 -5.40 -3.97* -4.65* HADCM3 1.3595 1.6972 1.4819* 1.4765* 2.94 -2.22 3.21* -1.93* NCAR PCM 0.8231 1.1880 0.9054* 1.0217* -3.18 0.61 -3.50* 0.53* CGCM2 1.4570 1.3430 2.67 -0.20 GFDL-R30 1.4778 1.4650 -4.48 -3.65 TIME SLICE 2040-2069 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.2759 4.0876 4.6816 3.0681 4.49 0.91 7.50 -6.38 CSIRO 2.5189 2.4018 3.1738* 2.0566 5.63 6.09 7.09* 5.79 ECHAM4 3.1574 3.1614 4.0730* 2.6872* -12.29 -3.66 -15.85* -3.11* HADCM3 2.1755 2.2239 2.7846* 1.9125* 0.78 3.41 1.00* 2.94* NCAR PCM 1.3248 1.1598 1.7090* 0.9858* 1.41 -1.03 1.82* -0.88* CGCM2 2.0995 1.4376 1.85 2.33 GFDL-R30 1.9035 2.0216 -8.38 4.22 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.5109 3.5709 3.9204 3.1552 -14.44 -7.96 -12.96 -10.01 CSIRO 2.2140 2.3171 2.7896* 2.0391 -0.43 -2.03 -0.55* 0.51 ECHAM4 2.8420 3.0704 3.6662* 2.6099* -9.60 -10.51 -12.39* -8.93* HADCM3 2.2607 2.0620 2.8937* 1.7733* -3.31 -6.74 -4.23* -5.80* NCAR PCM 1.3771 1.3034 1.7764* 1.1079* -0.92 -1.62 -1.18* -1.38* CGCM2 2.5380 2.0930 -11.07 -5.51 GFDL-R30 1.9513 1.8246 -1.66 -0.56 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 5.0187 4.8543 5.3779 4.4972 -40.94 -35.62 -43.50 -39.92 CSIRO 2.9771 2.9951 3.7511* 2.7625 -19.98 -15.36 -25.17* -14.47 ECHAM4 3.7058 3.5180 4.7805* 2.9903* 3.47 8.40 4.48* 7.14* HADCM3 4.0475 3.7188 5.1807* 3.1982* -29.60 -26.22 -37.88* -22.55* NCAR PCM 1.9906 1.9251 2.5679* 1.6363* -10.57 -7.39 -13.63* -6.28* CGCM2 3.6016 2.7762 -20.78 -16.48 GFDL-R30 2.7767 2.2161 20.52 -0.33 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.3536 4.4774 4.7032 3.8075 -28.56 -20.37 -23.22 -25.21 CSIRO 2.7790 2.5797 3.5015* 2.5560 -0.57 -4.63 -0.72* -1.20 ECHAM4 3.1632 2.9684 4.0805* 2.5232* -5.49 1.84 -7.08* 1.56* HADCM3 2.8388 2.6990 3.6336* 2.3211* -8.53 -2.08 -10.92* -1.79* NCAR PCM 1.6363 1.6743 2.1109* 1.4231* -5.99 -3.14 -7.73* -2.67* CGCM2 2.6865 2.1396 -4.72 -1.14 GFDL-R30 2.5064 2.2565 -4.44 8.61 TIME SLICE 2070-2099 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 7.1243 5.6042 7.9094 5.3149 -0.68 6.59 -4.24 2.82 CSIRO 4.1332 3.1885 5.1665* 2.9824 1.25 5.53 1.57* 4.88 ECHAM4 4.6480 4.0850 5.8565* 3.3088* -12.26 -5.76 -15.45* -4.67* HADCM3 3.7315 2.8162 4.6644* 2.2811* 2.49 11.82 3.12* 9.58* NCAR PCM 2.2919 1.7359 2.8648* 1.3887* -2.63 -4.31 -3.28* -3.44* CGCM2 2.9207 2.2119 -3.03 0.17 GFDL-R30 2.8524 2.4654 -4.47 11.86 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 6.7555 4.8487 7.1648 4.5074 -17.15 -8.47 -18.98 -8.95 CSIRO 4.1537 3.2110 5.1921* 2.7306 -9.01 -1.72 -11.26* 0.59 ECHAM4 4.9665 3.6873 6.2578* 2.9868* -23.69 -6.70 -29.85* -5.43* HADCM3 4.5071 3.1611 5.6339* 2.5605* -25.46 -9.82 -31.82* -7.96* NCAR PCM 2.3687 1.8114 2.9609* 1.4491* 4.01 3.64 5.01* 2.91* CGCM2 3.8654 2.7209 -15.41 -8.28 GFDL-R30 3.0287 2.5146 4.66 -0.81 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 8.5526 6.3174 9.2549 5.9749 -52.92 -44.31 -54.97 -42.62 CSIRO 5.3181 4.0620 6.6476* 3.7847 -35.11 -18.85 -43.89* -15.66 ECHAM4 6.4110 4.6915 8.0779* 3.8001* -5.82 3.66 -7.33* 2.97* HADCM3 6.9967 5.2331 8.7459* 4.2388* -49.03 -37.87 -61.28* -30.67* NCAR PCM 3.1449 2.3957 3.9311* 1.9165* -17.52 -11.45 -21.90* -9.16* CGCM2 5.3982 3.6609 -29.06 -16.99 GFDL-R30 3.9372 2.9943 22.67 12.30 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 7.4509 5.8688 7.8994 5.5294 -33.73 -30.58 -28.79 -27.75 CSIRO 4.6268 3.5136 5.7835* 3.3707 -10.73 -4.81 -13.41* -7.82 ECHAM4 5.2798 4.1373 6.6526* 3.3512* -10.37 -5.40 -13.06* -4.37* HADCM3 5.0774 3.7651 6.3468* 3.0497* -19.94 -11.00 -24.93* -8.91* NCAR PCM 2.7515 2.0429 3.4394* 1.6344* -13.89 -9.53 -17.36* -7.62* CGCM2 4.1479 2.8759 -5.87 0.53 GFDL-R30 3.7362 3.0110 -0.85 0.25 REGION 15 ========= TIME SLICE 2010-2039 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.3203 1.4226 1.1355 0.9439 -25.59 -14.55 -27.18 -20.28 CSIRO 1.2484 1.6446 1.3483* 1.3539 5.01 -19.77 5.41* -12.49 ECHAM4 1.2571 1.4547 1.3828* 1.2511* 23.60 -11.37 25.96* -9.77* HADCM3 1.3609 1.3070 1.4834* 1.1371* -13.20 -23.69 -14.39* -20.61* NCAR PCM 0.9543 0.9414 1.0497* 0.8096* -15.12 -16.35 -16.64* -14.06* CGCM2 1.4094 1.3828 9.53 5.59 GFDL-R30 0.6004 0.9745 7.39 5.54 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.6994 2.0707 1.4160 1.4956 -13.79 -15.21 -16.64 -28.24 CSIRO 1.3583 1.7878 1.4670* 1.5699 -12.12 -39.89 -13.09* -27.36 ECHAM4 1.1613 1.3251 1.2775* 1.1396* 29.36 40.33 32.29* 34.69* HADCM3 1.3160 1.3804 1.4345* 1.2009* 5.15 -6.65 5.61* -5.78* NCAR PCM 1.1353 0.9583 1.2488* 0.8241* -43.13 -31.20 -47.44* -26.83* CGCM2 1.6426 1.6183 -2.46 0.76 GFDL-R30 1.1560 0.8862 26.33 9.98 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.3499 1.2748 1.1848 1.0581 55.20 131.77 81.60 59.55 CSIRO 1.3992 1.5922 1.5111* 1.6716 3.62 1.86 3.91* 1.85 ECHAM4 1.2396 1.5100 1.3636* 1.2986* 35.44 30.54 38.98* 26.27* HADCM3 1.4727 1.5595 1.6052* 1.3567* 6.75 -4.61 7.36* -4.01* NCAR PCM 0.8953 1.1610 0.9849* 0.9985* 63.43 83.18 69.77* 71.53* CGCM2 1.6161 1.5662 5.93 3.10 GFDL-R30 1.2682 1.3450 19.42 15.71 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.2978 1.0145 0.8897 0.7516 74.23 169.68 122.03 85.56 CSIRO 1.3533 1.5735 1.4616* 1.6109 -3.58 1.88 -3.87* 6.03 ECHAM4 1.6063 1.5601 1.7670* 1.3417* 15.05 28.03 16.56* 24.10* HADCM3 1.5052 1.4952 1.6407* 1.3009* 6.92 0.50 7.54* 0.43* NCAR PCM 1.0095 1.3655 1.1105* 1.1743* 47.58 44.01 52.34* 37.85* CGCM2 1.8728 1.6494 18.14 5.24 GFDL-R30 1.3815 1.2573 21.07 9.22 TIME SLICE 2040-2069 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.0521 2.7700 3.8079 1.9851 1.92 -3.35 -1.24 -20.38 CSIRO 2.5878 2.6273 3.2607* 2.4895 -17.84 -22.60 -22.48* -32.26 ECHAM4 2.5509 2.4973 3.2907* 2.1227* 7.41 -8.21 9.56* -6.98* HADCM3 2.7210 2.2863 3.4829* 1.9663* -20.84 -36.67 -26.68* -31.54* NCAR PCM 1.7505 1.7109 2.2582* 1.4543* -7.69 -16.16 -9.93* -13.74* CGCM2 2.7963 2.2497 13.40 4.47 GFDL-R30 1.4311 1.8429 45.01 3.87 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.3276 3.4239 3.9998 2.8676 -7.72 -7.08 -28.28 -9.17 CSIRO 2.8103 2.7292 3.5409* 2.5106 -42.31 -45.19 -53.31* -39.69 ECHAM4 2.2580 2.3618 2.9128* 2.0075* 43.30 35.69 55.86* 30.33* HADCM3 2.8222 2.3686 3.6125* 2.0370* 0.20 1.30 0.26* 1.12* NCAR PCM 1.8963 1.7111 2.4462* 1.4544* -30.19 -47.98 -38.95* -40.78* CGCM2 2.8797 2.5806 0.25 5.02 GFDL-R30 1.6996 1.8486 25.15 3.62 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.4842 2.3824 3.2166 1.8035 181.91 170.41 121.56 167.90 CSIRO 2.7569 2.7983 3.4737* 2.6133 -6.86 16.35 -8.65* -1.20 ECHAM4 3.0941 2.7029 3.9914* 2.2975* 25.76 40.69 33.23* 34.58* HADCM3 3.0540 2.5835 3.9092* 2.2218* 1.67 3.13 2.13* 2.69* NCAR PCM 1.7822 1.7448 2.2990* 1.4831* 104.75 101.38 135.13* 86.17* CGCM2 3.0361 2.4052 12.84 7.97 GFDL-R30 2.4969 2.2460 25.12 12.56 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.3725 2.2168 3.1142 1.5651 255.67 229.30 186.01 240.68 CSIRO 2.9020 2.6280 3.6566* 2.5269 -8.90 12.43 -11.21* 31.51 ECHAM4 3.1112 2.8704 4.0134* 2.4399* 54.33 39.61 70.08* 33.67* HADCM3 2.8362 2.4140 3.6303* 2.0760* -9.19 -13.89 -11.76* -11.95* NCAR PCM 1.9315 2.0090 2.4916* 1.7077* 78.83 83.17 101.69* 70.70* CGCM2 3.3646 2.6758 13.54 11.52 GFDL-R30 2.7313 2.5891 22.68 14.55 TIME SLICE 2070-2099 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 5.7552 4.4631 6.1144 3.6923 0.22 0.66 -20.39 -5.35 CSIRO 4.5082 3.4722 5.6353* 3.3180 -17.77 -14.33 -22.21* -29.71 ECHAM4 4.6322 3.6284 5.8366* 2.9390* 6.88 4.94 8.66* 4.00* HADCM3 4.3225 3.2322 5.4031* 2.6181* -41.34 -30.66 -51.67* -24.84* NCAR PCM 3.0588 2.3341 3.8235* 1.8673* -26.03 -13.87 -32.53* -11.10* CGCM2 4.6591 3.0771 14.07 12.11 GFDL-R30 2.7284 2.7137 66.41 17.92 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 6.8505 4.8481 7.4668 4.3158 -43.82 -41.40 -44.60 -26.54 CSIRO 4.7997 3.7570 5.9997* 3.4380 -54.92 -57.18 -68.65* -44.13 ECHAM4 4.2532 3.3402 5.3590* 2.7056* 25.91 51.05 32.65* 41.35* HADCM3 4.6253 3.3784 5.7816* 2.7365* -20.91 -15.76 -26.14* -12.77* NCAR PCM 3.1201 2.3225 3.9001* 1.8580* -60.68 -45.25 -75.86* -36.20* CGCM2 4.7422 3.1064 -2.45 7.21 GFDL-R30 3.0016 2.3669 42.19 13.54 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 5.2253 4.1282 5.0527 3.4587 256.59 100.93 411.00 112.65 CSIRO 4.9429 3.7981 6.1786* 3.6302 -25.58 -16.89 -31.97* -17.28 ECHAM4 5.3356 3.8742 6.7228* 3.1381* 25.29 28.92 31.87* 23.42* HADCM3 5.1912 3.8336 6.4890* 3.1053* -9.48 -6.15 -11.85* -4.98* NCAR PCM 2.9056 2.2351 3.6320* 1.7881* 145.05 144.02 181.31* 115.22* CGCM2 4.8893 3.4189 4.53 6.49 GFDL-R30 3.9381 2.9812 29.45 13.93 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.7021 4.2541 4.1884 3.5174 346.83 141.14 528.70 169.47 CSIRO 4.8150 3.8549 6.0188* 3.5744 -7.13 -6.92 -8.92* 20.26 ECHAM4 5.4891 4.2238 6.9163* 3.4213* 28.96 8.86 36.50* 7.17* HADCM3 4.8984 3.5139 6.1230* 2.8463* -27.30 -16.29 -34.13* -13.19* NCAR PCM 3.2708 2.4362 4.0886* 1.9490* 96.39 124.15 120.49* 99.32* CGCM2 5.3550 3.7437 15.42 19.25 GFDL-R30 4.4060 3.2300 30.14 4.10 REGION 16 ========= TIME SLICE 2010-2039 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.9031 0.6905 0.7660 0.9831 6.80 11.15 3.27 0.31 CSIRO 1.0514 1.2309 1.1355* 1.0395 0.99 1.79 1.07* -1.99 ECHAM4 1.0406 1.2983 1.1447* 1.1165* -4.76 -1.00 -5.24* -0.86* HADCM3 1.2978 1.1518 1.4146* 1.0020* 0.18 3.69 0.19* 3.21* NCAR PCM 0.9350 0.9191 1.0285* 0.7904* 6.82 5.25 7.50* 4.52* CGCM2 1.1520 1.1614 13.96 18.46 GFDL-R30 0.8552 0.8211 5.45 -3.25 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.9553 0.9715 1.0869 0.8605 -0.06 -0.74 -3.15 -2.84 CSIRO 1.0491 1.2526 1.1330* 1.0580 -2.25 -5.41 -2.43* -1.82 ECHAM4 1.0284 1.2168 1.1312* 1.0465* 6.01 8.15 6.61* 7.01* HADCM3 1.1940 1.1102 1.3014* 0.9658* 1.22 2.74 1.33* 2.38* NCAR PCM 0.7485 0.8224 0.8234* 0.7073* 1.45 0.95 1.60* 0.82* CGCM2 1.0658 1.0047 -1.07 -2.59 GFDL-R30 0.9798 0.9283 8.60 0.82 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.8972 0.5882 0.7987 0.6717 1.40 4.51 1.82 1.26 CSIRO 1.0074 1.0881 1.0880* 0.9936 -0.98 -1.98 -1.06* -1.25 ECHAM4 0.6154 0.9395 0.6770* 0.8079* 5.53 6.33 6.08* 5.44* HADCM3 1.1214 1.1599 1.2223* 1.0092* 1.46 2.03 1.59* 1.77* NCAR PCM 0.5384 0.6862 0.5922* 0.5902* 1.61 1.68 1.77* 1.44* CGCM2 0.7199 0.7629 3.72 2.14 GFDL-R30 1.0874 1.1267 0.76 1.73 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.7183 0.2006 0.7336 0.4009 10.38 19.06 9.51 9.13 CSIRO 1.0844 1.1859 1.1711* 1.0261 -2.63 -1.77 -2.84* 0.97 ECHAM4 1.0457 1.0613 1.1503* 0.9127* 3.36 3.24 3.70* 2.79* HADCM3 1.1185 1.1176 1.2192* 0.9723* 2.71 4.70 2.96* 4.09* NCAR PCM 0.6779 0.8087 0.7456* 0.6955* 3.66 4.10 4.03* 3.53* CGCM2 0.9974 1.0004 10.63 7.93 GFDL-R30 1.1006 1.0298 4.56 3.18 TIME SLICE 2040-2069 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.6905 1.8120 2.5686 1.3748 24.29 24.80 22.96 11.05 CSIRO 1.8651 2.0014 2.3501* 1.8606 1.89 3.43 2.39* 3.11 ECHAM4 2.2986 2.3086 2.9652* 1.9623* -13.14 -6.20 -16.94* -5.27* HADCM3 2.8477 2.1004 3.6451* 1.8064* 1.72 0.38 2.20* 0.33* NCAR PCM 1.6095 1.4612 2.0763* 1.2420* 9.98 6.60 12.87* 5.61* CGCM2 2.5274 2.2606 12.05 10.31 GFDL-R30 1.7058 1.4559 9.88 8.18 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.0376 1.7893 2.7944 1.4718 -2.82 -0.48 -7.58 -0.90 CSIRO 2.0049 1.9706 2.5262* 1.7964 -4.47 -5.59 -5.63* -5.12 ECHAM4 2.3304 2.1948 3.0063* 1.8655* 9.88 9.02 12.74* 7.67* HADCM3 2.4209 2.0017 3.0987* 1.7215* 7.01 3.97 8.97* 3.42* NCAR PCM 1.2982 1.2142 1.6747* 1.0321* 1.70 3.60 2.20* 3.06* CGCM2 2.0027 1.7939 -3.36 1.72 GFDL-R30 1.7547 1.8873 7.34 -0.62 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.6869 1.6018 2.7548 1.1068 2.07 2.62 -3.39 4.72 CSIRO 2.0248 1.8864 2.5513* 1.8098 -6.52 -4.75 -8.22* -5.71 ECHAM4 1.9126 1.7715 2.4673* 1.5058* 5.80 9.27 7.48* 7.88* HADCM3 2.5016 1.9315 3.2021* 1.6611* 2.97 6.37 3.80* 5.48* NCAR PCM 1.1544 1.0805 1.4892* 0.9184* 0.78 0.80 1.01* 0.68* CGCM2 1.5871 1.3912 3.30 -0.90 GFDL-R30 2.0912 2.0124 0.89 1.59 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.1872 0.6966 1.9999 0.4511 21.58 26.98 15.78 23.29 CSIRO 2.0816 1.9527 2.6228* 1.8729 -0.56 -1.92 -0.71* -0.89 ECHAM4 2.0315 2.1061 2.6207* 1.7902* 6.41 6.21 8.27* 5.28* HADCM3 2.5370 1.9091 3.2473* 1.6418* 0.51 3.15 0.65* 2.71* NCAR PCM 1.3596 1.2466 1.7539* 1.0596* 4.35 5.33 5.61* 4.53* CGCM2 1.9696 1.7823 6.46 0.56 GFDL-R30 2.2134 2.0062 6.97 8.66 TIME SLICE 2070-2099 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.0210 2.9734 4.8013 2.4970 35.28 33.28 30.26 34.35 CSIRO 3.4294 2.7069 4.2868* 2.4839 7.52 8.30 9.40* 2.24 ECHAM4 4.6230 3.3729 5.8249* 2.7321* -6.33 -0.25 -7.97* -0.21* HADCM3 4.6173 3.2453 5.7716* 2.6287* 0.74 3.62 0.92* 2.94* NCAR PCM 2.6404 1.9677 3.3005* 1.5742* 13.60 12.22 17.00* 9.77* CGCM2 4.9146 2.8071 9.44 9.77 GFDL-R30 3.0311 2.2694 17.88 10.72 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.7859 3.3221 5.7072 2.8487 -8.01 -9.14 -8.11 -6.71 CSIRO 3.5036 2.7903 4.3795* 2.4951 -9.03 -9.31 -11.28* -6.20 ECHAM4 4.1357 3.0706 5.2110* 2.4872* 11.83 15.25 14.91* 12.36* HADCM3 4.3164 3.1315 5.3955* 2.5365* 3.48 2.72 4.34* 2.21* NCAR PCM 2.1996 1.6418 2.7495* 1.3135* 1.76 3.10 2.20* 2.48* CGCM2 3.7597 2.4113 0.18 1.50 GFDL-R30 3.1331 2.4582 7.08 0.09 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.6807 3.3523 5.3388 2.7583 -1.01 -2.68 -1.12 -0.90 CSIRO 3.5405 2.7633 4.4257* 2.5286 -14.54 -10.36 -18.18* -7.40 ECHAM4 3.6456 2.5283 4.5934* 2.0479* 10.08 8.36 12.71* 6.77* HADCM3 4.2868 3.0836 5.3585* 2.4977* 2.60 3.49 3.25* 2.83* NCAR PCM 1.8901 1.4104 2.3627* 1.1283* 1.60 0.06 1.99* 0.04* CGCM2 3.4350 2.0072 -7.18 0.73 GFDL-R30 3.4441 2.6583 3.30 1.20 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.8846 2.3482 4.5736 1.6895 23.10 19.00 22.40 20.62 CSIRO 3.5955 2.8946 4.4944* 2.4849 -7.80 -6.18 -9.75* -1.73 ECHAM4 4.1462 2.9714 5.2242* 2.4068* 7.59 6.32 9.56* 5.12* HADCM3 4.3470 2.9819 5.4337* 2.4153* -3.89 -0.88 -4.86* -0.71* NCAR PCM 2.2222 1.6640 2.7777* 1.3312* 6.61 6.61 8.26* 5.29* CGCM2 4.1561 2.3537 -0.43 6.65 GFDL-R30 3.6046 2.8611 6.57 5.02 REGION 17 ========= TIME SLICE 2010-2039 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.6296 0.3202 0.7320 0.5396 12.65 14.96 14.74 4.84 CSIRO 1.0593 1.2016 1.1440* 0.9917 -2.36 -1.72 -2.55* -4.69 ECHAM4 1.0508 1.2910 1.1559* 1.1103* 2.39 3.00 2.63* 2.58* HADCM3 1.0941 1.0499 1.1926* 0.9134* 3.66 6.44 3.99* 5.60* NCAR PCM 0.7446 0.7749 0.8190* 0.6664* 5.21 4.29 5.74* 3.69* CGCM2 1.0440 1.1175 10.44 11.39 GFDL-R30 0.5900 0.7131 4.08 8.67 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.9360 0.8498 0.9773 0.9443 0.71 2.54 1.42 -1.53 CSIRO 1.0329 1.1722 1.1155* 1.0556 -1.84 -2.23 -1.98* -2.51 ECHAM4 0.9827 1.0648 1.0810* 0.9157* 5.07 6.01 5.58* 5.16* HADCM3 1.1475 1.1323 1.2508* 0.9851* 0.22 0.49 0.24* 0.42* NCAR PCM 0.6975 0.8232 0.7673* 0.7080* -0.26 0.20 -0.29* 0.17* CGCM2 0.8325 0.7998 7.11 6.00 GFDL-R30 1.0262 0.9495 -2.79 -0.82 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.8211 0.6891 1.1397 0.8416 3.30 8.83 2.30 -0.45 CSIRO 1.0637 1.1792 1.1488* 1.0467 -4.09 -5.10 -4.42* -2.15 ECHAM4 0.9248 1.1723 1.0173* 1.0082* 9.21 10.37 10.13* 8.92* HADCM3 1.2154 1.2007 1.3248* 1.0446* -0.65 -1.32 -0.71* -1.15* NCAR PCM 0.5363 0.7162 0.5899* 0.6160* 0.29 -1.48 0.32* -1.27* CGCM2 0.8996 0.8325 -2.19 0.58 GFDL-R30 1.0122 1.1588 1.07 -1.07 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.8221 0.3502 0.7622 0.5008 9.94 19.74 13.12 12.16 CSIRO 1.0556 1.1803 1.1401* 0.9835 -4.62 -2.09 -4.99* 4.97 ECHAM4 1.1290 1.2227 1.2419* 1.0516* -1.26 0.27 -1.38* 0.23* HADCM3 1.0880 1.2103 1.1859* 1.0529* 0.27 -2.89 0.29* -2.51* NCAR PCM 0.6515 0.8459 0.7166* 0.7275* 6.38 6.35 7.02* 5.47* CGCM2 0.8562 0.9065 7.44 2.69 GFDL-R30 1.0735 1.0339 4.14 11.36 TIME SLICE 2040-2069 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.0551 0.9658 1.8331 0.6396 24.69 23.43 25.49 23.24 CSIRO 1.7034 1.8680 2.1463* 1.6766 12.10 3.56 15.25* 3.76 ECHAM4 2.0128 2.1248 2.5966* 1.8060* 9.19 5.18 11.86* 4.40* HADCM3 2.5377 1.8715 3.2483* 1.6095* 2.63 6.40 3.36* 5.50* NCAR PCM 1.4368 1.3784 1.8535* 1.1717* 6.63 7.84 8.55* 6.66* CGCM2 2.1068 1.8257 8.93 9.57 GFDL-R30 1.6538 1.2715 3.33 17.51 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.0359 1.8399 2.7095 1.5852 0.68 1.64 -2.93 0.39 CSIRO 1.8880 1.8576 2.3789* 1.6600 1.46 -0.90 1.84* 1.34 ECHAM4 1.9973 1.9593 2.5766* 1.6654* 10.93 9.07 14.10* 7.71* HADCM3 2.4831 2.0818 3.1784* 1.7903* 5.82 -1.02 7.46* -0.88* NCAR PCM 1.3520 1.2660 1.7440* 1.0761* 3.55 0.29 4.57* 0.25* CGCM2 1.7870 1.5515 -0.81 -1.70 GFDL-R30 1.7246 1.7969 -2.25 -6.92 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.0248 1.8615 3.1507 1.4678 -1.95 2.31 -6.58 4.85 CSIRO 2.0808 2.0033 2.6218* 1.8787 -10.17 -6.71 -12.82* -4.97 ECHAM4 2.2179 2.0825 2.8610* 1.7701* 8.46 13.64 10.92* 11.60* HADCM3 2.5612 2.1174 3.2784* 1.8210* -1.02 1.31 -1.30* 1.13* NCAR PCM 1.1938 1.1860 1.5401* 1.0081* -0.97 -0.73 -1.25* -0.62* CGCM2 1.7160 1.4765 -5.95 -4.83 GFDL-R30 2.0019 1.9677 5.10 -1.52 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.4699 1.1783 2.4062 0.7914 24.07 30.16 19.97 26.55 CSIRO 2.0005 1.9193 2.5207* 1.7745 7.16 4.74 9.02* 3.99 ECHAM4 2.1828 2.1825 2.8158* 1.8551* 5.35 1.87 6.90* 1.59* HADCM3 2.4483 1.9821 3.1338* 1.7046* -2.18 -1.61 -2.78* -1.39* NCAR PCM 1.3803 1.2185 1.7806* 1.0358* 8.49 8.52 10.95* 7.24* CGCM2 1.8658 1.5536 -3.26 -0.57 GFDL-R30 2.1357 1.9296 -6.48 -1.47 TIME SLICE 2070-2099 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.3342 2.3129 4.0671 1.6030 23.08 24.16 22.74 28.30 CSIRO 3.1065 2.6180 3.8831* 2.2503 24.56 11.58 30.71* 14.65 ECHAM4 4.0075 2.9482 5.0495* 2.3880* 12.88 10.43 16.23* 8.45* HADCM3 4.0055 2.8869 5.0069* 2.3384* 15.02 12.41 18.77* 10.06* NCAR PCM 2.4058 1.8287 3.0073* 1.4630* 10.97 11.17 13.71* 8.94* CGCM2 3.8379 2.5181 -1.78 6.71 GFDL-R30 2.7482 2.1802 12.55 13.86 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.6263 3.2231 5.4360 2.8210 -10.27 -4.89 -6.81 -6.45 CSIRO 3.2556 2.5656 4.0695* 2.3640 3.15 -0.39 3.94* 0.82 ECHAM4 3.6508 2.7089 4.6000* 2.1942* 14.95 12.51 18.84* 10.14* HADCM3 4.3744 3.1046 5.4679* 2.5147* 3.07 2.90 3.84* 2.35* NCAR PCM 2.2115 1.6629 2.7643* 1.3303* 3.61 3.41 4.52* 2.73* CGCM2 3.2862 2.1723 -8.51 -4.05 GFDL-R30 2.9717 2.3864 -1.59 -0.02 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 5.2729 3.6493 5.9182 3.0484 -16.66 -7.63 -9.76 -1.56 CSIRO 3.6817 2.8351 4.6022* 2.6641 -17.48 -14.23 -21.85* -12.45 ECHAM4 4.1379 2.8828 5.2138* 2.3351* 13.50 14.10 17.02* 11.42* HADCM3 4.4593 3.2382 5.5742* 2.6230* 6.01 3.53 7.51* 2.86* NCAR PCM 2.0892 1.5135 2.6115* 1.2108* -2.85 -2.34 -3.56* -1.87* CGCM2 3.4687 2.1511 -16.51 -7.37 GFDL-R30 3.5840 2.6588 -2.78 -3.56 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.2853 2.8159 4.8456 2.1734 12.51 15.53 17.64 23.74 CSIRO 3.4028 2.8348 4.2535* 2.4464 12.75 -4.90 15.94* 9.74 ECHAM4 4.1406 2.8885 5.2171* 2.3397* 6.68 5.55 8.42* 4.50* HADCM3 4.1810 3.0160 5.2263* 2.4429* 10.68 3.93 13.35* 3.18* NCAR PCM 2.1958 1.6145 2.7447* 1.2916* 8.21 9.13 10.26* 7.31* CGCM2 3.4990 2.1886 -9.38 -7.13 GFDL-R30 3.5489 2.7234 -6.11 -7.21 REGION 18 ========= TIME SLICE 2010-2039 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.2563 1.1866 1.2927 1.2349 6.84 8.05 6.32 4.30 CSIRO 0.7343 0.8660 0.7930* 0.8534 1.45 2.02 1.56* 3.09 ECHAM4 1.3063 1.3560 1.4370* 1.1662* -0.57 0.01 -0.63* 0.01* HADCM3 1.0165 1.0013 1.1080* 0.8711* -5.39 -3.81 -5.87* -3.31* NCAR PCM 0.6038 0.7546 0.6641* 0.6490* -0.77 -2.25 -0.84* -1.94* CGCM2 0.8544 0.8275 4.58 4.05 GFDL-R30 1.0609 0.9553 0.46 0.49 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.9951 0.7792 0.9847 0.7987 0.37 5.34 1.89 -2.30 CSIRO 0.9018 0.9474 0.9739* 0.7298 1.31 0.32 1.42* 4.49 ECHAM4 1.2173 1.3691 1.3391* 1.1774* -5.49 -2.83 -6.04* -2.43* HADCM3 1.4049 1.3972 1.5314* 1.2156* -9.31 -11.50 -10.15* -10.00* NCAR PCM 0.5899 0.8072 0.6489* 0.6942* 3.17 -2.26 3.49* -1.94* CGCM2 1.0334 0.9486 6.08 -2.31 GFDL-R30 0.7927 1.0333 1.25 -1.59 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.0761 0.9664 1.1769 1.3368 0.55 -1.73 -5.21 8.98 CSIRO 1.1941 1.2530 1.2897* 1.0873 11.39 -4.14 12.30* 2.70 ECHAM4 1.1466 1.3902 1.2612* 1.1956* -7.90 -3.94 -8.69* -3.39* HADCM3 1.6276 1.5751 1.7741* 1.3703* -19.29 -19.34 -21.03* -16.82* NCAR PCM 0.6045 0.7116 0.6650* 0.6120* -1.48 1.34 -1.62* 1.15* CGCM2 1.0765 1.1930 -0.11 -2.23 GFDL-R30 1.0706 1.1908 5.29 -6.07 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.6153 1.7390 1.7556 1.4573 -10.68 -16.66 -9.49 -11.69 CSIRO 0.9927 1.1082 1.0721* 0.9991 1.48 -3.47 1.59* -4.53 ECHAM4 1.5044 1.6372 1.6548* 1.4080* -8.86 -7.53 -9.74* -6.47* HADCM3 1.5055 1.3321 1.6410* 1.1589* -12.69 -12.83 -13.83* -11.16* NCAR PCM 0.8428 0.9341 0.9271* 0.8033* 2.72 0.46 2.99* 0.40* CGCM2 1.0685 1.0905 -5.78 -1.17 GFDL-R30 1.1859 1.2435 -6.37 2.39 TIME SLICE 2040-2069 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.4955 2.3249 2.9178 2.1668 13.44 11.37 10.18 4.10 CSIRO 1.4449 1.5397 1.8205* 1.4122 6.98 3.72 8.80* 3.96 ECHAM4 2.5951 2.4143 3.3477* 2.0522* -0.81 0.86 -1.04* 0.73* HADCM3 2.4215 1.9167 3.0995* 1.6484* -4.16 -5.80 -5.33* -4.98* NCAR PCM 1.2180 1.1284 1.5712* 0.9591* -0.55 2.78 -0.70* 2.36* CGCM2 1.9572 1.6191 -1.08 0.66 GFDL-R30 2.0163 1.6579 2.27 1.03 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.9165 1.7701 2.4310 1.6602 2.61 7.46 7.04 1.88 CSIRO 1.6613 1.6201 2.0932* 1.4687 3.48 0.20 4.39* 0.83 ECHAM4 2.5733 2.3285 3.3196* 1.9792* -4.66 -2.42 -6.01* -2.06* HADCM3 2.8578 2.1893 3.6580* 1.8828* -14.24 -5.85 -18.23* -5.03* NCAR PCM 1.3195 1.2937 1.7022* 1.0997* -2.51 1.29 -3.24* 1.10* CGCM2 2.1859 1.8451 0.37 -0.88 GFDL-R30 1.9460 1.8839 6.10 -0.11 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.5552 2.5912 3.4055 2.4496 -8.69 -2.74 -17.20 3.67 CSIRO 2.1887 2.0724 2.7577* 2.0053 10.48 7.62 13.20* 3.00 ECHAM4 2.6159 2.4730 3.3745* 2.1020* -11.24 -12.57 -14.50* -10.69* HADCM3 3.0503 2.6211 3.9043* 2.2541* -36.43 -32.86 -46.63* -28.26* NCAR PCM 1.3103 1.1862 1.6903* 1.0083* -2.67 0.85 -3.45* 0.72* CGCM2 2.4471 2.0054 -0.38 -4.81 GFDL-R30 2.3495 1.9237 2.91 0.98 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.2097 3.2943 3.9492 2.9028 -21.52 -21.13 -18.00 -28.02 CSIRO 2.0029 1.9526 2.5237* 1.8514 -1.07 -8.15 -1.35* -0.88 ECHAM4 3.1095 2.9337 4.0113* 2.4936* -13.38 -10.64 -17.26* -9.04* HADCM3 2.8258 2.1528 3.6170* 1.8514* -19.06 -12.75 -24.40* -10.96* NCAR PCM 1.4285 1.4420 1.8428* 1.2257* 0.20 -0.67 0.26* -0.57* CGCM2 2.3623 1.9248 -1.13 -3.05 GFDL-R30 2.2399 2.0154 -6.52 -1.57 TIME SLICE 2070-2099 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.3584 3.2930 5.2113 3.1527 17.33 16.32 13.33 11.06 CSIRO 2.7414 2.1565 3.4267* 1.9756 4.52 4.98 5.66* 3.99 ECHAM4 4.4205 3.3108 5.5698* 2.6818* 1.31 0.62 1.65* 0.51* HADCM3 4.2516 3.0935 5.3145* 2.5057* -6.64 -7.49 -8.30* -6.07* NCAR PCM 2.0391 1.5580 2.5489* 1.2464* 0.51 3.60 0.64* 2.88* CGCM2 3.7822 2.2531 -7.15 -4.00 GFDL-R30 3.2844 2.3527 2.16 4.37 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.8958 2.9959 4.8201 2.6739 14.71 0.65 6.40 3.97 CSIRO 3.0867 2.3077 3.8583* 2.1835 1.35 3.40 1.68* -0.89 ECHAM4 4.4157 3.3701 5.5638* 2.7298* 3.67 -4.95 4.63* -4.01* HADCM3 4.7525 3.8612 5.9406* 3.1276* -4.32 -21.84 -5.40* -17.69* NCAR PCM 2.1740 1.6332 2.7175* 1.3066* -3.04 0.49 -3.80* 0.39* CGCM2 4.3616 2.5659 -20.01 -6.14 GFDL-R30 3.1070 2.6524 2.36 -4.93 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 5.0468 4.0736 6.3286 3.6187 -15.37 0.03 -26.39 -6.80 CSIRO 3.7345 2.9062 4.6681* 2.7707 -13.79 -2.05 -17.24* -7.53 ECHAM4 4.5788 3.3328 5.7692* 2.6995* -22.82 -24.20 -28.75* -19.60* HADCM3 4.6783 3.8085 5.8479* 3.0849* -49.88 -45.86 -62.35* -37.15* NCAR PCM 2.2764 1.4837 2.8455* 1.1870* -7.56 -7.27 -9.45* -5.82* CGCM2 4.5679 2.8245 -14.27 -4.79 GFDL-R30 3.7079 2.7254 -6.89 -4.29 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 5.7481 4.7325 7.0465 4.2282 -22.52 -29.56 -27.85 -28.69 CSIRO 3.6523 2.7943 4.5654* 2.5863 -10.35 -5.47 -12.94* -5.29 ECHAM4 5.4947 3.9263 6.9233* 3.1803* -20.86 -14.76 -26.28* -11.95* HADCM3 4.7947 3.4635 5.9934* 2.8054* -28.27 -27.64 -35.34* -22.39* NCAR PCM 2.3881 1.8443 2.9852* 1.4755* -4.24 -3.53 -5.30* -2.83* CGCM2 4.5151 2.7784 -14.04 -2.45 GFDL-R30 3.5705 2.8135 -3.80 -6.06 REGION 19 ========= TIME SLICE 2010-2039 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.3146 4.1876 3.1625 3.2776 14.57 14.30 11.38 10.39 CSIRO 2.2916 2.5824 2.4749* 2.2594 11.19 13.34 12.09* 9.90 ECHAM4 5.2648 5.0879 5.7913* 4.3756* 35.81 35.56 39.39* 30.58* HADCM3 2.1277 2.3676 2.3192* 2.0598* 9.01 11.83 9.82* 10.29* NCAR PCM 0.8967 1.7627 0.9864* 1.5159* 7.36 10.99 8.09* 9.45* CGCM2 1.9649 2.1084 4.86 2.18 GFDL-R30 2.4156 1.7209 9.49 8.64 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.6610 3.7529 2.2125 1.9697 12.04 17.64 11.05 10.08 CSIRO 2.0081 2.6023 2.1688* 2.7002 13.68 17.19 14.78* 17.10 ECHAM4 3.0351 3.3100 3.3386* 2.8466* 14.43 12.95 15.87* 11.14* HADCM3 1.2025 1.4852 1.3107* 1.2921* 6.64 7.33 7.24* 6.38* NCAR PCM 0.6919 1.4787 0.7611* 1.2717* 2.12 7.93 2.33* 6.82* CGCM2 1.9832 2.5330 6.65 12.64 GFDL-R30 2.7416 2.2202 6.87 5.71 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.9264 2.9029 1.3628 2.0527 7.40 10.50 3.26 7.38 CSIRO 2.1280 2.6408 2.2982* 2.6759 4.63 5.45 5.00* 5.95 ECHAM4 2.0288 2.3816 2.2317* 2.0482* 3.56 4.32 3.91* 3.71* HADCM3 1.7068 2.1331 1.8605* 1.8558* 5.12 6.54 5.58* 5.69* NCAR PCM 0.7756 0.9571 0.8532* 0.8231* 2.92 6.49 3.21* 5.58* CGCM2 1.8737 1.9453 4.71 4.26 GFDL-R30 1.5533 1.5726 1.17 4.20 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.7603 3.8970 2.6811 2.6876 7.79 8.98 7.57 7.31 CSIRO 1.9064 2.1394 2.0589* 2.0951 3.52 4.71 3.80* 5.66 ECHAM4 3.0426 3.4113 3.3469* 2.9337* 15.70 14.97 17.27* 12.88* HADCM3 1.8230 2.0367 1.9871* 1.7719* 3.74 9.35 4.08* 8.13* NCAR PCM 1.0407 1.4912 1.1448* 1.2824* 2.25 3.20 2.48* 2.75* CGCM2 1.5126 1.3902 4.18 4.50 GFDL-R30 2.2222 2.3033 5.97 5.60 TIME SLICE 2040-2069 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 8.8365 8.5972 9.0604 7.4517 32.60 28.66 30.47 23.16 CSIRO 3.9873 4.0043 5.0239* 3.2827 22.00 21.85 27.72* 14.92 ECHAM4 7.4060 7.4218 9.5537* 6.3085* 54.30 52.53 70.05* 44.65* HADCM3 4.1380 2.8819 5.2967* 2.4785* 20.90 17.91 26.75* 15.40* NCAR PCM 3.3929 2.1178 4.3768* 1.8001* 14.97 12.30 19.31* 10.45* CGCM2 4.2425 3.2905 7.03 6.93 GFDL-R30 4.2485 2.7771 16.49 13.09 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 6.5123 6.4684 6.5176 5.9287 29.55 31.45 31.48 29.59 CSIRO 4.6516 4.2602 5.8610* 4.2173 31.30 31.00 39.44* 30.20 ECHAM4 4.9891 4.8383 6.4360* 4.1125* 19.91 19.78 25.68* 16.81* HADCM3 2.7237 2.5783 3.4863* 2.2173* 11.26 11.02 14.41* 9.48* NCAR PCM 1.9669 1.4980 2.5373* 1.2733* 11.44 10.38 14.75* 8.82* CGCM2 3.9912 2.9660 13.76 11.80 GFDL-R30 4.3166 3.7302 11.81 14.38 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 5.0381 5.1404 5.0965 4.6679 17.05 15.83 14.63 15.71 CSIRO 4.0658 3.9632 5.1229* 3.8393 6.47 6.05 8.15* 7.16 ECHAM4 3.6639 3.8163 4.7264* 3.2439* 4.46 3.82 5.75* 3.24* HADCM3 3.5497 3.3120 4.5436* 2.8483* 7.43 9.94 9.51* 8.55* NCAR PCM 1.4252 1.3494 1.8385* 1.1470* 5.93 7.74 7.65* 6.58* CGCM2 3.5674 2.7340 6.48 5.77 GFDL-R30 3.0098 2.5413 1.51 4.63 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 6.6384 7.1248 7.0956 6.1526 15.05 16.17 14.78 12.10 CSIRO 3.8997 3.6881 4.9137* 3.3989 9.37 10.47 11.81* 9.53 ECHAM4 5.3976 5.1369 6.9630* 4.3664* 15.60 18.96 20.13* 16.12* HADCM3 3.4601 3.1899 4.4289* 2.7433* 10.59 12.21 13.55* 10.50* NCAR PCM 2.4941 2.0942 3.2174* 1.7801* 7.55 7.25 9.74* 6.17* CGCM2 2.8037 2.1613 6.22 5.36 GFDL-R30 4.2856 3.0975 12.67 8.99 TIME SLICE 2070-2099 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 15.5051 12.2856 16.1131 11.4926 53.28 39.69 58.67 36.48 CSIRO 6.6080 4.9736 8.2600* 4.7578 40.97 27.36 51.22* 28.12 ECHAM4 10.9104 8.9019 13.7470* 7.2105* 82.66 59.06 104.15* 47.84* HADCM3 6.4734 4.4468 8.0918* 3.6019* 40.10 22.25 50.12* 18.02* NCAR PCM 4.9253 3.7121 6.1566* 2.9697* 26.04 20.39 32.55* 16.31* CGCM2 7.0722 5.0056 11.03 8.40 GFDL-R30 6.3878 4.3940 22.85 20.17 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 12.4698 8.8035 12.7737 8.4199 58.25 40.48 54.04 41.27 CSIRO 7.5358 6.1996 9.4197* 5.5388 57.41 44.79 71.76* 39.60 ECHAM4 7.1019 5.7907 8.9484* 4.6905* 30.93 25.04 38.97* 20.29* HADCM3 4.8396 3.4107 6.0495* 2.7627* 21.76 16.49 27.19* 13.36* NCAR PCM 3.5342 2.5374 4.4177* 2.0299* 16.67 13.22 20.84* 10.58* CGCM2 5.9619 3.6461 20.49 12.31 GFDL-R30 6.0983 4.8566 18.24 15.60 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 8.6009 6.9146 9.1335 6.6328 26.17 22.29 26.86 23.58 CSIRO 6.2784 5.1781 7.8479* 4.7283 8.98 8.54 11.22* 5.71 ECHAM4 5.9768 4.7403 7.5307* 3.8396* 3.74 5.59 4.71* 4.53* HADCM3 5.9809 4.3677 7.4761* 3.5378* 14.04 10.45 17.55* 8.46* NCAR PCM 2.5609 1.8615 3.2011* 1.4892* 10.78 8.51 13.48* 6.80* CGCM2 5.3822 3.7841 9.64 6.72 GFDL-R30 4.4521 3.2968 4.20 5.45 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 11.2861 9.2445 11.6796 9.0583 24.18 20.47 22.84 18.87 CSIRO 6.0848 4.5671 7.6060* 4.4371 20.13 13.95 25.16* 13.46 ECHAM4 8.0735 6.7550 10.1726* 5.4716* 25.32 22.37 31.90* 18.12* HADCM3 5.8036 4.3987 7.2544* 3.5629* 22.77 16.60 28.46* 13.44* NCAR PCM 3.8835 3.0306 4.8543* 2.4245* 14.01 13.56 17.51* 10.85* CGCM2 4.2701 3.0975 10.39 7.75 GFDL-R30 6.2476 4.5498 21.56 15.42 REGION 20 ========= TIME SLICE 2010-2039 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.6337 1.8566 1.4414 1.1222 -7.13 -1.53 -0.94 -4.08 CSIRO 1.8649 2.2436 2.0141* 1.6114 7.41 0.01 8.01* 0.64 ECHAM4 2.9969 3.1340 3.2965* 2.6952* 12.82 8.24 14.10* 7.08* HADCM3 1.2837 1.2308 1.3993* 1.0708* 2.68 1.30 2.92* 1.13* NCAR PCM 0.8619 1.2611 0.9481* 1.0846* 0.40 -2.29 0.44* -1.97* CGCM2 2.1925 2.4903 6.09 10.42 GFDL-R30 1.2220 1.1448 -2.24 2.33 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.6656 2.4329 1.6140 1.4800 -6.46 -12.60 -6.60 -12.98 CSIRO 1.7117 2.2455 1.8486* 2.1977 3.59 -1.26 3.88* 1.58 ECHAM4 1.3602 1.5420 1.4962* 1.3261* 11.92 8.39 13.11* 7.21* HADCM3 1.3053 1.4738 1.4228* 1.2822* 2.91 -2.03 3.17* -1.76* NCAR PCM 1.2427 1.4869 1.3670* 1.2787* 1.96 -3.71 2.15* -3.19* CGCM2 2.8224 3.0998 -2.44 -5.66 GFDL-R30 1.2207 1.1726 16.76 -0.16 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.4022 2.9518 2.2302 2.1173 -1.47 0.13 -0.17 -2.80 CSIRO 1.6710 2.4104 1.8046* 2.2745 -6.84 -20.21 -7.39* -17.15 ECHAM4 2.0668 2.3673 2.2734* 2.0359* 6.44 0.68 7.08* 0.58* HADCM3 1.8144 2.1077 1.9777* 1.8337* 2.75 0.12 3.00* 0.11* NCAR PCM 0.9281 1.3132 1.0209* 1.1294* 3.54 -5.72 3.90* -4.92* CGCM2 2.2930 2.3969 -11.79 -11.67 GFDL-R30 1.3113 1.6993 14.72 6.38 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.0842 2.5679 1.9175 1.7646 5.06 5.57 4.04 3.91 CSIRO 1.4515 1.9165 1.5676* 1.6128 6.33 -1.37 6.83* -6.98 ECHAM4 2.1744 2.4430 2.3918* 2.1010* 3.09 -0.33 3.40* -0.28* HADCM3 1.5098 1.3622 1.6457* 1.1851* 9.01 8.89 9.82* 7.74* NCAR PCM 0.9446 1.1528 1.0391* 0.9914* -1.69 -3.68 -1.86* -3.17* CGCM2 1.6571 1.6953 -4.66 -6.13 GFDL-R30 1.6744 1.8044 0.25 12.87 TIME SLICE 2040-2069 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.1112 3.7876 4.3512 2.8837 -9.34 -4.04 -6.30 -2.74 CSIRO 3.3090 2.9514 4.1694* 2.9193 4.55 10.10 5.73* 6.34 ECHAM4 4.4290 4.4175 5.7134* 3.7549* 18.57 10.33 23.96* 8.78* HADCM3 2.6509 2.2671 3.3931* 1.9497* 9.94 3.25 12.72* 2.79* NCAR PCM 1.5184 1.6462 1.9587* 1.3993* 2.17 7.01 2.80* 5.96* CGCM2 4.7647 3.4421 15.26 9.34 GFDL-R30 2.0046 2.4499 11.02 11.29 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.0197 4.1431 4.7484 3.7808 -16.91 -9.76 -27.64 -14.92 CSIRO 3.5627 3.5792 4.4890* 3.3181 3.74 -5.08 4.71* -3.51 ECHAM4 2.5189 2.7593 3.2493* 2.3454* 18.16 7.11 23.43* 6.05* HADCM3 2.6274 2.3431 3.3630* 2.0150* 5.25 7.04 6.72* 6.05* NCAR PCM 2.1703 1.7867 2.7998* 1.5187* -3.74 -1.57 -4.83* -1.33* CGCM2 4.3662 3.4108 -1.11 2.66 GFDL-R30 1.9574 2.1162 12.81 -1.18 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 5.5124 4.9730 5.8609 4.5838 -18.17 -1.57 -23.91 -11.59 CSIRO 3.2564 3.4320 4.1030* 3.2012 -5.33 -16.41 -6.71* -9.48 ECHAM4 3.8465 3.8728 4.9620* 3.2919* 6.46 0.35 8.33* 0.30* HADCM3 3.6545 3.3227 4.6778* 2.8575* -5.78 3.22 -7.40* 2.77* NCAR PCM 1.8996 1.8768 2.4505* 1.5953* -3.87 -2.74 -4.99* -2.33* CGCM2 4.0351 3.1391 -16.29 -15.55 GFDL-R30 2.7571 2.6700 -1.16 2.76 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.7955 4.5677 5.1529 4.1068 0.69 3.41 2.36 8.25 CSIRO 3.0357 3.0096 3.8250* 2.7447 3.17 -7.35 4.00* -8.10 ECHAM4 3.6039 3.7646 4.6490* 3.2000* 17.10 1.62 22.05* 1.38* HADCM3 2.7675 2.5179 3.5424* 2.1654* -1.57 7.59 -2.01* 6.53* NCAR PCM 1.9857 1.6384 2.5615* 1.3926* -8.06 -8.97 -10.39* -7.63* CGCM2 3.2134 2.5252 -0.22 -5.83 GFDL-R30 2.9561 2.6059 -1.17 7.78 TIME SLICE 2070-2099 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 6.9330 5.2823 7.3485 4.5499 -17.12 -8.42 -16.78 -7.22 CSIRO 5.2629 4.0502 6.5786* 3.9384 9.90 17.05 12.37* 4.64 ECHAM4 6.5261 5.3051 8.2229* 4.2972* 23.12 15.57 29.13* 12.61* HADCM3 4.1917 3.0879 5.2397* 2.5012* 4.91 11.93 6.14* 9.67* NCAR PCM 2.8790 2.3354 3.5987* 1.8683* 14.26 11.39 17.83* 9.11* CGCM2 6.1520 4.4823 9.38 10.36 GFDL-R30 3.3254 2.7918 14.26 25.39 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 7.9355 5.3893 8.3928 5.2231 -37.27 -18.67 -39.09 -16.77 CSIRO 5.9790 4.5083 7.4738* 4.4077 -17.42 -5.03 -21.78* -3.92 ECHAM4 4.4734 3.5791 5.6364* 2.8991* 13.52 13.32 17.03* 10.79* HADCM3 4.9020 3.3453 6.1275* 2.7097* -13.74 -1.61 -17.18* -1.31* NCAR PCM 3.0542 2.5493 3.8178* 2.0394* 4.01 1.82 5.01* 1.46* CGCM2 6.4853 3.7938 0.89 1.62 GFDL-R30 3.0792 2.7471 19.24 -0.94 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 9.1074 6.6325 9.8802 6.0522 -18.17 -19.75 -6.79 -11.83 CSIRO 5.9052 4.5368 7.3815* 4.3690 -32.64 -17.99 -40.80* -20.37 ECHAM4 6.6263 5.1924 8.3492* 4.2058* 3.11 7.33 3.91* 5.94* HADCM3 6.2534 4.6806 7.8168* 3.7913* -13.79 -6.12 -17.23* -4.96* NCAR PCM 3.0453 2.3544 3.8066* 1.8835* -5.54 -2.69 -6.92* -2.15* CGCM2 6.1722 4.3046 -26.62 -16.56 GFDL-R30 4.3483 3.5135 8.42 4.21 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 8.0536 6.1047 8.1214 5.7033 11.33 -4.98 17.22 -3.52 CSIRO 5.1549 4.0376 6.4436* 3.7415 -12.41 -0.29 -15.51* -3.92 ECHAM4 6.0749 4.9215 7.6543* 3.9864* 6.47 6.96 8.15* 5.64* HADCM3 4.7343 3.5063 5.9179* 2.8401* 2.37 7.21 2.96* 5.84* NCAR PCM 3.0999 2.7890 3.8749* 2.2312* -5.00 -5.44 -6.25* -4.35* CGCM2 5.0295 3.6475 -6.44 -1.38 GFDL-R30 4.9171 3.3965 16.54 -3.81 REGION 21 ========= TIME SLICE 2010-2039 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.7066 2.0834 1.6873 1.4284 6.68 6.64 5.84 9.20 CSIRO 1.8109 1.9057 1.9558* 1.5231 7.19 4.16 7.77* 0.41 ECHAM4 3.0045 2.9249 3.3049* 2.5154* 38.64 31.06 42.51* 26.71* HADCM3 1.2091 0.9761 1.3179* 0.8492* 5.49 5.27 5.98* 4.59* NCAR PCM 1.7599 1.9134 1.9359* 1.6455* 7.06 9.66 7.76* 8.31* CGCM2 1.9613 2.1576 3.04 3.77 GFDL-R30 1.0603 0.9277 5.55 5.66 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.1090 2.4823 2.1331 1.7171 6.64 6.62 7.17 5.60 CSIRO 2.3260 2.8211 2.5121* 2.6111 8.11 7.65 8.76* 6.14 ECHAM4 1.9197 1.8328 2.1116* 1.5762* 11.32 11.95 12.45* 10.27* HADCM3 1.4877 1.2488 1.6216* 1.0865* 4.62 4.42 5.04* 3.85* NCAR PCM 1.3420 1.6099 1.4762* 1.3845* 3.48 4.31 3.83* 3.71* CGCM2 1.9845 2.0670 3.53 0.72 GFDL-R30 1.6094 1.0150 10.43 10.64 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.9053 2.5848 2.0125 1.7827 5.12 8.18 5.66 6.33 CSIRO 1.5633 2.1479 1.6884* 2.1907 6.35 7.58 6.86* 6.88 ECHAM4 2.0502 2.0927 2.2552* 1.7997* 1.14 1.99 1.25* 1.71* HADCM3 1.3611 1.6127 1.4836* 1.4031* 2.35 4.59 2.56* 3.99* NCAR PCM 1.1342 1.5509 1.2476* 1.3338* 3.09 3.17 3.40* 2.72* CGCM2 2.5509 2.5269 11.37 12.68 GFDL-R30 1.2320 1.2566 4.08 7.17 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.0146 2.3393 1.7921 1.5050 0.51 0.06 -0.23 1.57 CSIRO 1.3402 1.8755 1.4474* 1.7399 5.24 7.27 5.66* 5.03 ECHAM4 2.1133 2.1614 2.3246* 1.8588* 13.24 21.43 14.57* 18.43* HADCM3 1.2756 1.4628 1.3904* 1.2727* 5.36 2.07 5.84* 1.80* NCAR PCM 0.8041 1.0881 0.8845* 0.9357* 2.12 5.91 2.33* 5.08* CGCM2 2.0754 1.8604 1.33 -4.42 GFDL-R30 1.1735 1.6802 5.40 7.24 TIME SLICE 2040-2069 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.5345 4.0943 5.2490 3.4356 8.57 11.27 11.53 12.61 CSIRO 2.8117 3.2623 3.5427* 2.9161 1.83 12.46 2.31* 8.20 ECHAM4 4.9070 4.7451 6.3301* 4.0333* 41.49 35.62 53.53* 30.28* HADCM3 2.9397 2.6325 3.7628* 2.2640* 18.43 11.32 23.59* 9.74* NCAR PCM 2.5414 2.4842 3.2784* 2.1116* 12.07 10.50 15.57* 8.92* CGCM2 3.7325 2.9093 4.32 6.26 GFDL-R30 2.5009 2.1473 23.38 6.92 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.8838 4.8040 5.5927 4.0339 9.79 16.32 9.29 11.18 CSIRO 4.4981 4.2957 5.6676* 3.8611 18.06 14.16 22.76* 14.96 ECHAM4 3.7566 3.4278 4.8460* 2.9136* 13.51 13.17 17.42* 11.20* HADCM3 2.5941 2.2011 3.3205* 1.8930* 10.73 9.71 13.73* 8.35* NCAR PCM 1.9590 2.0603 2.5271* 1.7513* 7.38 7.31 9.52* 6.21* CGCM2 3.7426 2.7902 10.20 3.66 GFDL-R30 2.4568 2.1789 14.35 13.00 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.9280 4.6722 5.5850 4.2324 6.90 13.68 3.14 11.41 CSIRO 3.2827 3.2694 4.1362* 3.1213 11.59 12.43 14.61* 13.09 ECHAM4 3.8831 3.7592 5.0092* 3.1953* 1.60 2.45 2.06* 2.09* HADCM3 3.0107 2.7311 3.8537* 2.3488* 2.62 6.75 3.35* 5.81* NCAR PCM 2.0813 1.8700 2.6849* 1.5895* 6.91 8.72 8.91* 7.41* CGCM2 4.1981 3.3601 23.75 16.85 GFDL-R30 2.2677 2.2049 7.71 6.97 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.6428 4.2782 5.1286 3.9850 -4.30 1.40 -3.61 0.90 CSIRO 2.9504 3.0465 3.7175* 2.7680 6.51 12.34 8.20* 10.61 ECHAM4 3.8297 3.7063 4.9404* 3.1503* 20.58 10.89 26.55* 9.26* HADCM3 2.7188 2.5977 3.4801* 2.2341* 6.14 -0.06 7.86* -0.06* NCAR PCM 1.7361 1.6961 2.2396* 1.4417* -2.30 5.17 -2.97* 4.40* CGCM2 3.5529 2.9215 -1.59 -0.83 GFDL-R30 2.3499 2.4405 7.60 10.06 TIME SLICE 2070-2099 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 8.3444 6.1579 9.1986 5.5982 7.23 15.01 4.32 13.83 CSIRO 5.8412 4.3778 7.3015* 3.8692 19.62 12.47 24.52* 9.00 ECHAM4 7.4709 5.7769 9.4134* 4.6793* 59.73 45.35 75.26* 36.73* HADCM3 4.8870 3.7574 6.1087* 3.0435* 17.27 17.16 21.58* 13.90* NCAR PCM 4.5932 3.8908 5.7415* 3.1126* 24.84 21.50 31.05* 17.20* CGCM2 5.5116 3.9937 7.18 7.97 GFDL-R30 4.0737 2.6277 38.55 14.68 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 8.9560 6.7201 9.7798 6.2951 10.06 14.61 10.22 15.95 CSIRO 7.3962 5.6036 9.2453* 5.1648 25.14 22.51 31.43* 21.82 ECHAM4 5.8396 4.3097 7.3579* 3.4908* 16.45 16.48 20.72* 13.35* HADCM3 4.6948 3.1440 5.8685* 2.5467* 11.26 13.45 14.07* 10.89* NCAR PCM 3.2701 2.5941 4.0877* 2.0753* 14.38 10.72 17.97* 8.58* CGCM2 6.0862 3.4608 16.04 9.84 GFDL-R30 3.8925 2.9219 25.07 16.39 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 8.5101 6.5692 9.2375 6.1303 0.62 6.98 -0.70 8.66 CSIRO 5.5257 4.2859 6.9072* 4.1014 17.88 18.73 22.35* 13.22 ECHAM4 6.6587 5.0925 8.3899* 4.1249* 0.79 -0.16 1.00* -0.13* HADCM3 5.4424 3.8816 6.8030* 3.1441* 11.02 9.20 13.78* 7.45* NCAR PCM 3.4510 2.5067 4.3137* 2.0054* 7.32 6.70 9.15* 5.36* CGCM2 6.2551 4.3401 26.72 22.52 GFDL-R30 3.8539 3.0468 11.80 9.56 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 8.2758 6.0828 8.6053 5.7090 -2.36 -2.82 2.97 -1.35 CSIRO 5.4514 4.1076 6.8143* 3.9807 18.19 20.30 22.74* 17.84 ECHAM4 6.3779 4.9297 8.0362* 3.9931* 13.92 12.33 17.55* 9.98* HADCM3 4.8266 3.5811 6.0332* 2.9007* 4.56 5.66 5.69* 4.59* NCAR PCM 2.8798 2.4061 3.5998* 1.9249* 8.95 5.18 11.19* 4.15* CGCM2 5.3446 3.8249 -5.04 -2.55 GFDL-R30 4.2145 3.1076 11.49 9.14 REGION 22 ========= TIME SLICE 2010-2039 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.0062 2.2780 1.7981 1.4666 9.54 11.43 8.41 9.99 CSIRO 1.4994 1.6486 1.6194* 1.5094 3.31 -3.18 3.58* 4.00 ECHAM4 2.6957 2.5715 2.9653* 2.2115* 4.09 1.52 4.50* 1.31* HADCM3 1.0065 1.1602 1.0971* 1.0094* 6.75 8.51 7.35* 7.40* NCAR PCM 1.4870 1.5056 1.6357* 1.2948* 6.36 3.25 7.00* 2.80* CGCM2 2.0004 1.9195 -4.04 -6.92 GFDL-R30 0.7625 0.7668 -3.53 3.63 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.1504 2.6434 2.0042 2.0025 4.27 7.73 2.32 3.85 CSIRO 1.5942 2.1945 1.7218* 1.9131 2.49 5.17 2.69* 4.29 ECHAM4 1.8820 1.7702 2.0702* 1.5224* -0.90 -0.99 -0.99* -0.85* HADCM3 1.0282 1.1353 1.1208* 0.9878* 0.46 0.11 0.51* 0.09* NCAR PCM 1.0433 1.2215 1.1476* 1.0505* 5.43 4.96 5.98* 4.26* CGCM2 1.8639 2.1003 5.10 -0.26 GFDL-R30 1.1599 1.4202 -0.86 3.75 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.5156 2.0208 1.3529 1.4044 0.79 0.66 0.07 0.86 CSIRO 0.9411 1.3569 1.0164* 1.2979 1.86 4.65 2.01* 3.25 ECHAM4 1.6508 1.6347 1.8159* 1.4058* 4.82 4.92 5.30* 4.23* HADCM3 1.6047 1.6682 1.7491* 1.4513* -0.24 5.03 -0.26* 4.37* NCAR PCM 0.7525 1.1161 0.8277* 0.9598* 1.68 1.89 1.85* 1.63* CGCM2 1.8752 2.0961 0.32 0.07 GFDL-R30 1.2047 1.0184 -2.75 2.84 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.7046 2.0543 1.3198 1.4148 -3.17 3.17 -2.15 -0.04 CSIRO 0.7768 1.1371 0.8390* 1.0629 0.05 -0.28 0.06* -0.54 ECHAM4 1.8147 1.7199 1.9962* 1.4791* 1.38 7.30 1.52* 6.28* HADCM3 1.4250 1.4737 1.5533* 1.2821* 0.21 -0.18 0.23* -0.15* NCAR PCM 0.7925 1.0994 0.8718* 0.9455* 1.18 -0.32 1.30* -0.28* CGCM2 0.9616 1.1486 -7.53 -2.98 GFDL-R30 1.1231 1.2475 -0.54 1.51 TIME SLICE 2040-2069 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 5.2580 5.0835 5.5411 4.0872 3.90 12.72 5.00 12.66 CSIRO 2.9278 2.7381 3.6890* 2.4727 13.07 8.19 16.47* 14.14 ECHAM4 4.3159 4.5191 5.5675* 3.8413* 10.94 1.62 14.12* 1.38* HADCM3 2.6858 2.0232 3.4379* 1.7400* 18.20 13.82 23.30* 11.88* NCAR PCM 2.0637 2.2183 2.6622* 1.8855* 3.45 10.75 4.45* 9.14* CGCM2 3.7212 2.9183 -6.09 -5.65 GFDL-R30 2.1776 2.1188 4.65 8.43 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 5.0359 4.8799 5.3684 4.4747 11.20 12.43 6.50 10.75 CSIRO 3.4797 3.1573 4.3844* 2.9796 7.74 7.30 9.75* 6.21 ECHAM4 3.2288 3.4792 4.1652* 2.9573* 2.64 2.36 3.41* 2.01* HADCM3 2.3817 1.9481 3.0486* 1.6754* 12.08 10.49 15.47* 9.02* NCAR PCM 1.6726 1.5461 2.1577* 1.3142* 6.57 6.31 8.47* 5.36* CGCM2 3.5658 2.9194 0.62 3.89 GFDL-R30 2.4009 2.3452 0.67 4.03 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.6003 3.4489 3.8597 3.1978 4.39 5.04 3.54 4.36 CSIRO 2.1365 2.1316 2.6920* 1.9512 5.43 3.95 6.84* 5.74 ECHAM4 2.8457 2.8900 3.6710* 2.4565* 8.37 8.37 10.79* 7.12* HADCM3 2.9333 2.7355 3.7547* 2.3526* 8.92 8.48 11.41* 7.29* NCAR PCM 1.4875 1.4900 1.9189* 1.2665* 4.39 0.72 5.66* 0.61* CGCM2 3.0966 2.5414 3.15 1.05 GFDL-R30 2.3579 1.9204 1.76 4.63 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.8871 3.8605 3.8968 3.3896 -4.24 -2.02 -5.12 2.05 CSIRO 1.9398 2.0177 2.4441* 1.7702 -1.68 -0.65 -2.12* 1.31 ECHAM4 3.0222 3.0085 3.8986* 2.5572* 13.27 7.70 17.12* 6.54* HADCM3 2.6764 2.4424 3.4258* 2.1005* 5.42 0.77 6.93* 0.66* NCAR PCM 1.6422 1.6485 2.1184* 1.4012* 1.19 0.87 1.53* 0.74* CGCM2 2.2780 1.9331 -6.23 -5.09 GFDL-R30 2.3208 2.3130 -0.59 -0.22 TIME SLICE 2070-2099 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 9.1030 7.0427 9.6069 6.7132 0.91 19.14 1.53 24.22 CSIRO 5.1269 3.8211 6.4087* 3.6726 21.67 18.31 27.09* 21.33 ECHAM4 6.9672 5.2825 8.7786* 4.2788* 17.66 6.47 22.26* 5.24* HADCM3 4.3907 2.7921 5.4884* 2.2616* 38.30 26.46 47.88* 21.43* NCAR PCM 3.5362 3.0490 4.4203* 2.4392* 4.58 6.25 5.72* 5.00* CGCM2 5.7188 4.1734 -7.64 -5.67 GFDL-R30 3.8468 2.5555 11.50 12.39 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 9.1272 6.8195 9.5520 6.7232 17.11 18.38 13.65 18.82 CSIRO 5.7303 4.4552 7.1629* 4.0154 12.36 10.65 15.45* 8.57 ECHAM4 5.3156 4.3103 6.6976* 3.4913* 5.55 3.92 6.99* 3.17* HADCM3 4.1644 2.8994 5.2055* 2.3485* 18.86 13.78 23.57* 11.16* NCAR PCM 2.7725 2.3460 3.4656* 1.8768* 11.97 11.38 14.96* 9.10* CGCM2 6.0282 3.9132 2.18 4.87 GFDL-R30 3.5984 3.0991 6.50 7.40 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 6.3416 4.8460 6.7898 4.4906 10.95 8.45 10.01 9.44 CSIRO 3.8211 2.9771 4.7763* 2.7271 7.68 6.05 9.59* 5.69 ECHAM4 4.8470 3.7644 6.1072* 3.0491* 15.04 12.88 18.95* 10.43* HADCM3 5.3755 3.9380 6.7194* 3.1898* 15.44 9.17 19.30* 7.42* NCAR PCM 2.3361 1.8878 2.9201* 1.5103* 9.60 8.02 12.00* 6.41* CGCM2 4.7283 3.2931 4.59 4.19 GFDL-R30 3.2198 2.4092 8.52 9.52 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 6.4861 5.0274 7.0290 4.8345 4.21 -4.40 5.24 0.82 CSIRO 3.9267 2.9210 4.9083* 2.7410 1.44 2.26 1.81* 0.57 ECHAM4 5.0428 3.7906 6.3539* 3.0704* 14.33 11.63 18.05* 9.42* HADCM3 4.8188 3.5180 6.0234* 2.8496* 22.02 13.65 27.52* 11.05* NCAR PCM 2.6000 2.0998 3.2500* 1.6798* 0.84 -0.14 1.05* -0.11* CGCM2 3.4882 2.2904 -4.81 -5.76 GFDL-R30 3.7373 2.7931 5.11 4.08 REGION 23 ========= TIME SLICE 2010-2039 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.5480 1.6081 1.1425 1.1769 8.85 10.45 -1.45 6.56 CSIRO 1.0945 1.2867 1.1821* 1.0846 -0.39 -2.60 -0.42* -0.28 ECHAM4 1.1683 1.3672 1.2851* 1.1758* 8.31 18.34 9.15* 15.77* HADCM3 0.9417 1.1600 1.0264* 1.0092* -4.62 5.95 -5.04* 5.17* NCAR PCM 1.1522 1.3170 1.2674* 1.1326* -16.25 -7.57 -17.88* -6.51* CGCM2 0.9379 1.2159 -8.81 -7.45 GFDL-R30 0.5651 0.7067 0.79 -1.06 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.2533 1.2399 1.0807 0.9849 36.34 43.83 38.84 27.94 CSIRO 1.0518 1.4821 1.1359* 1.4017 -6.83 -1.43 -7.38* -11.28 ECHAM4 1.1613 1.1266 1.2774* 0.9688* 10.51 17.08 11.56* 14.69* HADCM3 1.2023 1.1338 1.3105* 0.9864* -3.64 5.19 -3.96* 4.52* NCAR PCM 0.9914 1.0880 1.0906* 0.9357* -2.53 3.46 -2.79* 2.98* CGCM2 1.3023 1.0646 -6.83 -0.18 GFDL-R30 1.1186 0.8385 -7.78 -4.94 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.0625 0.0829 0.2456 0.1408 7.28 8.96 5.35 6.44 CSIRO 0.5274 0.6222 0.5696* 0.6691 5.07 12.42 5.47* 12.70 ECHAM4 0.6971 0.8873 0.7668* 0.7631* 6.05 7.53 6.66* 6.48* HADCM3 0.7050 0.8617 0.7684* 0.7496* 4.74 1.58 5.17* 1.38* NCAR PCM 0.4101 0.5779 0.4511* 0.4970* 3.09 6.92 3.40* 5.95* CGCM2 0.2510 0.5309 10.58 7.03 GFDL-R30 0.8015 0.7010 3.78 4.97 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.6602 0.7780 0.5914 0.5730 -0.39 3.84 1.80 2.44 CSIRO 0.5831 0.8571 0.6298* 0.8316 -8.33 -1.30 -9.00* -1.43 ECHAM4 0.8391 1.0152 0.9230* 0.8731* 16.22 20.96 17.84* 18.03* HADCM3 1.0229 1.2916 1.1149* 1.1237* -0.09 0.19 -0.10* 0.16* NCAR PCM 0.6853 0.9497 0.7538* 0.8167* -4.86 -2.47 -5.35* -2.12* CGCM2 0.7580 0.9272 2.79 9.00 GFDL-R30 0.7584 0.6667 5.10 7.70 TIME SLICE 2040-2069 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.2054 3.0065 3.9949 2.4633 -6.16 -8.15 -27.30 9.26 CSIRO 2.1193 2.2242 2.6703* 2.0901 15.28 4.97 19.25* 7.42 ECHAM4 2.6579 2.2934 3.4287* 1.9494* 5.63 -2.48 7.27* -2.11* HADCM3 2.6781 2.2104 3.4280* 1.9009* 13.29 -4.95 17.01* -4.25* NCAR PCM 1.8116 1.7567 2.3370* 1.4932* -11.04 -9.18 -14.24* -7.81* CGCM2 2.1862 1.8268 -14.78 1.94 GFDL-R30 2.2322 1.6661 -6.06 -3.29 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.8363 2.8367 3.4300 2.0294 73.35 67.08 90.13 73.16 CSIRO 2.3719 2.2903 2.9886* 1.9069 -10.78 -4.17 -13.59* 4.48 ECHAM4 2.4685 2.1527 3.1843* 1.8298* 20.69 20.56 26.68* 17.48* HADCM3 2.4871 2.1302 3.1834* 1.8319* 12.19 14.73 15.60* 12.67* NCAR PCM 1.5753 1.6663 2.0322* 1.4164* 10.53 11.91 13.59* 10.13* CGCM2 2.3194 1.5203 -6.86 3.32 GFDL-R30 2.1431 1.9564 6.30 2.62 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.6167 0.5247 1.1133 0.3672 18.81 18.41 19.17 14.69 CSIRO 1.5573 1.5677 1.9622* 1.1332 5.79 5.79 7.29* 14.27 ECHAM4 1.7651 1.4695 2.2769* 1.2490* 10.87 13.12 14.02* 11.15* HADCM3 1.8681 1.3549 2.3912* 1.1652* 8.69 7.16 11.12* 6.16* NCAR PCM 0.7277 0.7268 0.9387* 0.6178* 10.85 13.02 13.99* 11.07* CGCM2 1.1783 0.8596 12.44 10.47 GFDL-R30 1.5219 1.4009 7.10 3.80 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.8911 1.6948 2.0551 1.3716 9.46 6.95 9.11 7.57 CSIRO 1.8402 1.6494 2.3187* 1.5645 -6.47 -1.28 -8.15* -4.14 ECHAM4 2.0764 1.8735 2.6785* 1.5925* 25.15 28.46 32.45* 24.19* HADCM3 2.5393 2.0846 3.2503* 1.7928* 5.61 -1.88 7.19* -1.61* NCAR PCM 1.3731 1.3925 1.7713* 1.1836* 0.05 2.50 0.07* 2.12* CGCM2 1.6536 1.4671 5.26 9.11 GFDL-R30 1.7456 1.4842 7.57 9.11 TIME SLICE 2070-2099 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 6.5120 5.0782 7.0745 4.7382 -53.79 -30.44 -65.82 -26.90 CSIRO 3.7299 3.0805 4.6624* 2.5807 3.65 3.22 4.56* 10.85 ECHAM4 4.5460 3.3929 5.7279* 2.7482* -4.54 0.30 -5.72* 0.24* HADCM3 4.5483 3.2645 5.6854* 2.6442* 10.26 3.16 12.83* 2.56* NCAR PCM 3.2635 2.4704 4.0793* 1.9763* -22.64 -19.94 -28.30* -15.95* CGCM2 3.1944 2.3170 -2.32 -5.86 GFDL-R30 3.7882 2.1292 0.66 -10.78 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 5.8807 4.5987 6.6947 4.1242 83.98 58.36 77.48 68.43 CSIRO 3.9994 3.1891 4.9993* 2.6642 -1.34 -9.87 -1.67* 1.40 ECHAM4 4.3097 3.1537 5.4302* 2.5545* 36.50 19.80 45.99* 16.03* HADCM3 4.4149 3.0859 5.5186* 2.4996* 21.45 11.01 26.81* 8.92* NCAR PCM 2.6490 2.0656 3.3112* 1.6525* 4.62 3.17 5.78* 2.54* CGCM2 3.4253 2.2522 -7.82 -2.61 GFDL-R30 3.3513 2.5412 -4.28 2.94 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.4090 1.7520 2.9503 1.3660 30.65 22.92 32.68 23.13 CSIRO 2.5213 1.9906 3.1516* 2.0482 22.42 14.65 28.03* 10.65 ECHAM4 3.0202 2.1617 3.8054* 1.7510* 21.34 20.62 26.89* 16.70* HADCM3 3.0745 2.2365 3.8431* 1.8116* 17.48 14.39 21.86* 11.65* NCAR PCM 1.6889 1.1264 2.1112* 0.9011* 15.02 13.96 18.78* 11.17* CGCM2 2.2952 1.3748 15.46 9.93 GFDL-R30 2.6514 1.8500 14.11 9.89 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.6830 2.6417 4.2424 2.4070 25.09 11.10 29.63 10.04 CSIRO 3.1122 2.5183 3.8902* 2.3899 16.66 0.74 20.82* 14.20 ECHAM4 3.6543 2.6218 4.6044* 2.1237* 41.73 26.72 52.58* 21.65* HADCM3 4.3776 3.2112 5.4720* 2.6010* 15.95 3.24 19.93* 2.63* NCAR PCM 2.2828 1.6934 2.8535* 1.3547* 4.90 3.20 6.12* 2.56* CGCM2 2.8064 1.8853 6.48 6.60 GFDL-R30 2.9332 1.7730 14.72 16.61 REGION 24 ========= TIME SLICE 2010-2039 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.8777 0.9285 1.0479 0.6902 -0.62 1.21 -2.57 -1.90 CSIRO 0.7396 0.7985 0.7988* 0.7243 6.60 5.36 7.13* 5.01 ECHAM4 0.9021 0.9121 0.9923* 0.7844* -7.61 -5.18 -8.37* -4.46* HADCM3 0.8102 0.8906 0.8831* 0.7748* 3.08 3.62 3.36* 3.15* NCAR PCM 0.5549 0.7166 0.6104* 0.6163* -2.38 1.85 -2.62* 1.59* CGCM2 0.8198 0.7535 -2.07 -2.68 GFDL-R30 0.6947 0.8091 7.31 8.86 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.6956 0.7828 0.7595 0.5891 -1.73 -0.10 -0.95 0.23 CSIRO 0.7395 0.8559 0.7987* 0.7703 1.65 3.18 1.78* 2.44 ECHAM4 1.2431 1.4042 1.3674* 1.2076* -2.67 -2.68 -2.94* -2.30* HADCM3 0.9951 0.9865 1.0847* 0.8582* 4.45 3.80 4.86* 3.31* NCAR PCM 0.5414 0.6600 0.5955* 0.5676* -1.64 -2.41 -1.81* -2.08* CGCM2 0.7696 0.7036 -3.15 -5.61 GFDL-R30 0.8818 0.8064 -2.63 3.07 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.6772 0.7477 0.7025 0.5627 -6.08 -5.07 -6.69 -5.02 CSIRO 0.7460 0.8040 0.8056* 0.7404 1.80 2.69 1.94* 5.09 ECHAM4 0.9900 1.0732 1.0890* 0.9229* 1.18 0.75 1.30* 0.64* HADCM3 0.8936 0.9729 0.9741* 0.8464* -0.14 -0.36 -0.16* -0.31* NCAR PCM 0.5326 0.7493 0.5859* 0.6444* -0.37 1.79 -0.40* 1.54* CGCM2 0.7119 0.6982 -7.72 -4.51 GFDL-R30 0.8329 0.7467 -0.38 3.78 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.7997 0.9029 0.7807 0.7093 -6.79 -4.13 -7.47 -2.68 CSIRO 0.7088 0.7370 0.7655* 0.6845 2.83 3.44 3.06* 3.57 ECHAM4 0.9572 1.0988 1.0529* 0.9450* 1.59 3.12 1.75* 2.68* HADCM3 0.9749 0.9193 1.0627* 0.7998* -1.17 -0.88 -1.28* -0.76* NCAR PCM 0.5329 0.7246 0.5862* 0.6232* -3.57 -1.05 -3.93* -0.91* CGCM2 0.5648 0.5956 -6.90 -5.73 GFDL-R30 0.8923 0.6832 -3.63 7.18 TIME SLICE 2040-2069 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.0280 2.3134 2.9526 1.3829 0.92 -1.49 0.77 2.44 CSIRO 1.5029 1.5247 1.8936* 1.4865 8.31 9.80 10.47* 9.24 ECHAM4 1.8651 1.6546 2.4060* 1.4064* -6.02 -2.83 -7.77* -2.40* HADCM3 1.9704 1.5612 2.5221* 1.3426* 3.45 7.23 4.41* 6.21* NCAR PCM 1.1395 1.1526 1.4699* 0.9798* 1.69 5.11 2.19* 4.34* CGCM2 1.4659 1.2468 -8.91 -3.35 GFDL-R30 1.3920 1.5322 6.05 13.31 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.7955 1.8157 2.3323 1.2388 5.05 5.60 9.51 2.77 CSIRO 1.4623 1.4211 1.8426* 1.2801 6.40 7.45 8.06* 5.51 ECHAM4 2.3937 2.1253 3.0878* 1.8065* -0.94 0.52 -1.22* 0.44* HADCM3 2.3597 1.8029 3.0204* 1.5505* 1.52 7.44 1.94* 6.40* NCAR PCM 1.0157 0.9847 1.3102* 0.8370* -2.96 -1.74 -3.82* -1.48* CGCM2 1.5273 1.2552 -10.85 -6.60 GFDL-R30 1.6203 1.3859 -1.73 6.09 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.6533 1.4577 2.0576 1.2189 -7.63 -4.00 -3.97 -4.65 CSIRO 1.5135 1.4417 1.9070* 1.3262 2.46 4.77 3.10* 3.56 ECHAM4 2.0178 1.8888 2.6030* 1.6054* 0.99 0.51 1.28* 0.43* HADCM3 2.0847 1.7061 2.6684* 1.4673* 1.03 3.37 1.32* 2.90* NCAR PCM 1.1045 1.0584 1.4248* 0.8996* -0.65 1.88 -0.84* 1.60* CGCM2 1.4859 1.1931 -8.55 -9.70 GFDL-R30 1.6909 1.3482 -3.18 -1.60 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.8194 1.6805 2.1970 1.3356 -7.70 -7.37 -8.35 -4.05 CSIRO 1.4210 1.3727 1.7904* 1.2053 1.95 1.35 2.46* 4.92 ECHAM4 2.1709 2.0283 2.8005* 1.7240* 2.23 3.01 2.88* 2.56* HADCM3 2.1738 1.6507 2.7824* 1.4196* 0.20 1.26 0.25* 1.08* NCAR PCM 1.1618 1.0816 1.4987* 0.9194* -1.85 0.74 -2.39* 0.63* CGCM2 1.3592 1.0741 -7.52 -10.22 GFDL-R30 1.6313 1.3907 -0.34 0.77 TIME SLICE 2070-2099 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.4646 3.7668 5.1069 3.1412 0.91 2.69 -2.07 2.79 CSIRO 2.7459 2.2101 3.4324* 1.9421 11.70 9.98 14.63* 9.16 ECHAM4 3.2916 2.3815 4.1474* 1.9290* -2.72 -1.93 -3.43* -1.56* HADCM3 3.6771 2.4665 4.5963* 1.9979* 11.77 9.83 14.72* 7.96* NCAR PCM 1.8699 1.3583 2.3373* 1.0866* 4.28 4.21 5.35* 3.36* CGCM2 2.7495 1.7793 -8.81 -8.82 GFDL-R30 2.4858 2.1153 11.40 10.59 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.8257 3.0240 4.5974 2.6260 22.48 19.60 19.29 10.60 CSIRO 2.6091 2.0274 3.2613* 1.8502 12.68 8.44 15.85* 8.42 ECHAM4 3.4702 2.9318 4.3724* 2.3748* 4.35 1.13 5.48* 0.91* HADCM3 3.7104 2.8660 4.6379* 2.3215* 14.66 7.53 18.32* 6.10* NCAR PCM 1.8093 1.2910 2.2616* 1.0328* 1.77 0.12 2.22* 0.10* CGCM2 2.9085 1.8083 -14.67 -9.10 GFDL-R30 2.7640 2.0775 -5.29 -0.36 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.4816 2.4940 3.8342 2.2424 4.65 -2.86 11.29 -5.56 CSIRO 2.5969 2.0679 3.2462* 1.8638 6.50 4.32 8.12* 3.38 ECHAM4 3.3273 2.5349 4.1924* 2.0533* -0.06 1.21 -0.08* 0.98* HADCM3 3.5446 2.5991 4.4308* 2.1053* 6.76 4.65 8.45* 3.77* NCAR PCM 1.9037 1.3703 2.3796* 1.0962* 4.33 1.19 5.41* 0.95* CGCM2 2.7742 1.7292 -10.31 -7.33 GFDL-R30 2.6451 2.0069 6.10 -2.51 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.5264 2.5961 4.1786 2.3131 4.09 -5.56 4.96 -6.21 CSIRO 2.5171 1.9864 3.1464* 1.8052 4.85 5.99 6.06* 5.53 ECHAM4 3.5011 2.6005 4.4113* 2.1064* 6.63 6.18 8.35* 5.01* HADCM3 3.6542 2.6021 4.5677* 2.1077* 4.94 1.37 6.18* 1.11* NCAR PCM 1.9350 1.4307 2.4187* 1.1445* 5.60 -0.17 7.00* -0.13* CGCM2 2.5587 1.6031 -6.17 -3.55 GFDL-R30 2.6018 1.9270 3.48 2.83 REGION 25 ========= TIME SLICE 2010-2039 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.8566 0.6208 0.8762 0.4962 12.59 20.03 22.66 16.46 CSIRO 0.8281 1.3441 0.8944* 0.8349 9.08 2.44 9.80* 15.55 ECHAM4 1.4851 1.3081 1.6336* 1.1250* 2.58 4.98 2.84* 4.29* HADCM3 1.2934 1.3327 1.4098* 1.1595* -3.98 -5.61 -4.33* -4.88* NCAR PCM 0.4861 0.5445 0.5347* 0.4683* 3.33 3.95 3.66* 3.39* CGCM2 0.8350 1.0852 5.05 4.33 GFDL-R30 0.8947 0.7766 8.10 13.63 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.3215 1.4397 1.2792 1.0876 7.71 -2.67 4.42 4.45 CSIRO 1.0141 0.8862 1.0952* 0.7923 8.63 10.67 9.32* 7.09 ECHAM4 1.2884 1.3972 1.4173* 1.2016* -7.91 -4.40 -8.70* -3.78* HADCM3 0.9386 1.1254 1.0231* 0.9791* 18.19 22.08 19.82* 19.21* NCAR PCM 0.7838 0.8699 0.8622* 0.7481* -0.99 -0.06 -1.09* -0.06* CGCM2 1.0237 0.9373 3.46 9.25 GFDL-R30 0.8742 0.6972 -5.06 12.23 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.8753 1.5211 0.9664 1.1576 9.05 8.88 17.22 2.46 CSIRO 1.0240 1.0717 1.1060* 0.9967 3.56 -7.45 3.84* -14.66 ECHAM4 0.9782 1.1002 1.0760* 0.9462* -14.39 -11.48 -15.83* -9.88* HADCM3 0.9062 1.2417 0.9878* 1.0803* -10.81 -16.77 -11.78* -14.59* NCAR PCM 0.9133 1.0019 1.0046* 0.8616* 10.34 5.92 11.38* 5.09* CGCM2 1.1010 0.8309 -0.18 3.81 GFDL-R30 1.1347 0.8989 -1.91 2.64 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.1310 1.2883 1.3941 1.1455 16.81 -4.64 8.11 7.06 CSIRO 0.8243 1.0901 0.8902* 1.0193 9.71 -1.52 10.48* 6.54 ECHAM4 1.7676 1.6585 1.9443* 1.4263* -8.25 4.07 -9.07* 3.50* HADCM3 1.4794 1.5573 1.6125* 1.3549* -22.77 -27.28 -24.82* -23.73* NCAR PCM 0.9694 1.0614 1.0664* 0.9128* -2.87 -6.59 -3.16* -5.67* CGCM2 1.4662 1.0605 7.63 -0.17 GFDL-R30 1.2850 0.7709 -16.04 17.91 TIME SLICE 2040-2069 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.9482 1.9042 2.6976 0.9692 23.64 22.23 23.06 37.23 CSIRO 1.8226 2.1809 2.2964* 2.0150 12.81 1.19 16.14* -4.86 ECHAM4 2.9782 2.4660 3.8419* 2.0961* -1.29 3.30 -1.66* 2.81* HADCM3 2.6452 2.2153 3.3858* 1.9051* -4.46 -2.95 -5.72* -2.54* NCAR PCM 1.2322 1.2285 1.5895* 1.0443* 5.05 2.26 6.52* 1.92* CGCM2 2.0495 1.6334 8.52 4.36 GFDL-R30 2.1613 1.6493 -3.86 5.73 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.7576 2.5426 3.1998 2.1674 -11.18 -7.42 -9.37 -12.35 CSIRO 1.8718 1.8110 2.3585* 1.9056 14.92 27.70 18.80* -0.37 ECHAM4 2.6998 2.3549 3.4827* 2.0017* -11.28 -0.15 -14.55* -0.13* HADCM3 2.6848 2.1767 3.4365* 1.8720* 6.61 10.27 8.45* 8.84* NCAR PCM 1.1540 1.4599 1.4886* 1.2409* 0.77 -1.35 0.99* -1.14* CGCM2 1.9826 1.5975 6.32 4.12 GFDL-R30 1.9421 1.6163 -7.18 7.40 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.7347 2.4455 3.1556 2.1708 15.75 15.59 -7.07 7.53 CSIRO 1.8298 1.7138 2.3055* 1.6673 -3.60 -12.53 -4.54* -16.76 ECHAM4 1.9724 2.0088 2.5444* 1.7075* -35.26 -18.43 -45.49* -15.67* HADCM3 2.4627 1.8849 3.1522* 1.6210* -19.17 -6.97 -24.53* -5.99* NCAR PCM 1.4407 1.4904 1.8585* 1.2668* 16.89 10.99 21.78* 9.34* CGCM2 2.0762 1.7757 5.28 0.74 GFDL-R30 2.0397 1.6602 3.11 -19.46 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.8509 2.6912 3.5743 2.2540 -15.42 -2.65 -28.77 -4.24 CSIRO 2.1033 2.1757 2.6502* 1.4639 -7.20 -13.97 -9.07* 13.48 ECHAM4 3.1199 2.7255 4.0247* 2.3167* -12.82 -5.97 -16.54* -5.08* HADCM3 2.9292 2.6022 3.7494* 2.2379* -16.89 -21.27 -21.61* -18.29* NCAR PCM 1.6567 1.6451 2.1372* 1.3983* -2.15 1.00 -2.77* 0.85* CGCM2 2.5350 2.0659 3.76 -3.76 GFDL-R30 2.2276 1.7501 -18.43 -0.14 TIME SLICE 2070-2099 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.8126 3.1077 5.7853 2.5929 -0.73 26.78 -2.64 17.08 CSIRO 3.6066 2.7898 4.5082* 2.7254 -5.26 -8.93 -6.57* -2.43 ECHAM4 4.5319 3.2909 5.7102* 2.6656* 10.63 5.86 13.40* 4.75* HADCM3 4.6736 3.5129 5.8420* 2.8455* -10.01 -7.21 -12.51* -5.84* NCAR PCM 2.0482 1.7469 2.5602* 1.3975* 5.34 1.62 6.67* 1.30* CGCM2 3.9623 2.2760 0.98 7.17 GFDL-R30 3.1071 2.6040 7.93 1.90 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 5.1315 3.6891 5.9553 3.2061 -25.60 -26.85 -14.88 -14.94 CSIRO 3.5750 2.9438 4.4687* 2.4434 38.30 -6.63 47.87* 21.23 ECHAM4 4.6276 3.0719 5.8308* 2.4883* -5.82 -9.46 -7.34* -7.66* HADCM3 4.0583 3.0302 5.0729* 2.4544* 17.20 4.19 21.50* 3.39* NCAR PCM 2.5204 1.7870 3.1505* 1.4296* -0.43 -3.02 -0.54* -2.42* CGCM2 3.6523 2.4927 12.66 -0.56 GFDL-R30 2.9970 2.2407 -4.82 10.49 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.3409 3.6414 5.7431 3.2226 -40.71 -32.04 -36.50 -17.70 CSIRO 3.3788 2.8710 4.2236* 2.4621 0.02 -2.11 0.03* -11.92 ECHAM4 4.1158 2.9776 5.1859* 2.4119* -23.02 -14.37 -29.01* -11.64* HADCM3 3.9790 2.8829 4.9738* 2.3352* -18.98 -25.61 -23.72* -20.74* NCAR PCM 2.5915 1.9430 3.2393* 1.5544* 19.06 10.37 23.82* 8.30* CGCM2 3.4985 2.5830 5.99 8.17 GFDL-R30 3.3580 2.4374 6.92 -14.29 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 5.1671 3.7803 6.1902 3.2338 -49.57 -25.42 -44.23 -16.29 CSIRO 3.6922 2.6140 4.6153* 2.6481 0.88 3.39 1.10* -8.18 ECHAM4 5.1677 3.6252 6.5113* 2.9364* -10.66 -6.69 -13.43* -5.42* HADCM3 4.7134 3.6031 5.8918* 2.9185* -27.07 -34.53 -33.84* -27.97* NCAR PCM 2.8907 2.3656 3.6133* 1.8925* 2.90 -4.48 3.63* -3.59* CGCM2 4.3358 2.8697 -0.33 2.51 GFDL-R30 3.4559 2.5330 -21.38 -3.88 REGION 26 ========= TIME SLICE 2010-2039 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.0030 0.8205 1.3165 0.7256 4.72 17.08 8.07 9.20 CSIRO 0.9862 1.1796 1.0651* 0.7637 4.93 -3.47 5.33* 10.58 ECHAM4 1.1213 1.2082 1.2334* 1.0390* 7.58 5.75 8.34* 4.94* HADCM3 1.1107 1.0531 1.2106* 0.9162* -8.30 -2.16 -9.05* -1.88* NCAR PCM 0.4455 0.5004 0.4900* 0.4304* 2.50 3.21 2.75* 2.76* CGCM2 0.8867 1.0757 4.65 3.36 GFDL-R30 0.8009 0.7764 13.39 16.22 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.0451 1.2699 1.3193 1.1328 0.28 -0.36 -2.97 -2.01 CSIRO 0.8900 0.9047 0.9612* 0.7248 -2.64 -3.00 -2.85* 3.58 ECHAM4 0.7451 0.8258 0.8196* 0.7102* 0.08 0.98 0.09* 0.84* HADCM3 0.6241 0.5051 0.6803* 0.4395* 6.03 7.26 6.57* 6.32* NCAR PCM 0.8823 0.8801 0.9705* 0.7569* -1.21 -2.33 -1.33* -2.00* CGCM2 1.1332 1.1102 5.27 8.74 GFDL-R30 1.0668 0.7815 -7.80 9.71 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.5626 0.8695 0.8620 0.6984 2.55 8.48 3.76 -0.08 CSIRO 0.9053 0.8566 0.9777* 0.8819 -2.12 -1.50 -2.29* -7.72 ECHAM4 0.5309 0.7049 0.5840* 0.6062* 2.92 6.69 3.21* 5.75* HADCM3 0.7198 0.7687 0.7845* 0.6687* -7.49 0.81 -8.16* 0.70* NCAR PCM 0.6692 0.7759 0.7361* 0.6673* 2.55 0.57 2.80* 0.49* CGCM2 0.9648 0.8223 4.68 3.60 GFDL-R30 1.3314 1.0705 -11.33 -3.23 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.8470 1.0060 0.9850 0.8717 -4.12 -6.20 -3.23 -2.11 CSIRO 0.7317 0.9123 0.7903* 0.9455 -0.80 -4.33 -0.87* -2.99 ECHAM4 1.0565 1.2195 1.1621* 1.0488* -2.75 3.40 -3.03* 2.92* HADCM3 1.3033 1.2554 1.4205* 1.0922* -5.91 -13.47 -6.45* -11.71* NCAR PCM 0.6895 0.6959 0.7584* 0.5984* -5.30 -4.48 -5.83* -3.85* CGCM2 1.2412 1.1233 5.54 1.21 GFDL-R30 1.2473 0.9405 0.56 8.19 TIME SLICE 2040-2069 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.8897 2.0726 2.4262 1.5680 4.32 1.15 -10.07 14.13 CSIRO 1.7245 1.8797 2.1729* 1.7817 4.73 1.14 5.96* -7.04 ECHAM4 2.4261 2.1019 3.1297* 1.7866* 2.33 8.57 3.01* 7.28* HADCM3 2.3335 2.1027 2.9869* 1.8083* -1.75 -9.05 -2.24* -7.78* NCAR PCM 1.2022 1.0551 1.5509* 0.8969* 4.49 1.64 5.79* 1.39* CGCM2 2.1251 1.7286 4.90 3.70 GFDL-R30 1.8566 1.5260 10.66 8.43 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.2103 2.1720 2.4598 2.0307 -5.93 -8.95 -10.75 -14.23 CSIRO 1.5620 1.4433 1.9682* 1.5910 0.07 4.32 0.09* -7.04 ECHAM4 1.6952 1.6098 2.1868* 1.3683* -4.76 -2.21 -6.13* -1.88* HADCM3 2.0605 1.6787 2.6374* 1.4437* 10.81 6.05 13.84* 5.20* NCAR PCM 1.3366 1.3733 1.7242* 1.1673* -0.25 -2.02 -0.32* -1.72* CGCM2 2.0753 1.7402 10.65 4.47 GFDL-R30 2.0028 1.7548 -9.41 -3.02 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.2683 1.5560 2.0817 1.3711 1.70 5.46 -3.72 1.81 CSIRO 1.5329 1.4987 1.9315* 1.5043 -1.40 -4.12 -1.76* -5.53 ECHAM4 1.2750 1.3137 1.6447* 1.1167* -0.42 5.97 -0.54* 5.07* HADCM3 1.8025 1.3359 2.3072* 1.1489* -2.92 2.76 -3.74* 2.37* NCAR PCM 1.2106 1.3051 1.5617* 1.1094* 8.67 6.16 11.18* 5.23* CGCM2 1.7474 1.4869 0.12 3.41 GFDL-R30 2.1991 2.0640 -10.65 -13.16 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.9777 1.9589 2.7710 1.5823 -22.01 -16.36 -35.40 -12.40 CSIRO 1.6697 1.6915 2.1038* 1.3144 -0.36 -9.96 -0.45* -0.80 ECHAM4 2.4361 2.0613 3.1426* 1.7521* -8.02 -3.58 -10.34* -3.05* HADCM3 2.3941 2.1469 3.0645* 1.8463* -6.54 -10.00 -8.37* -8.60* NCAR PCM 1.2078 1.2477 1.5581* 1.0606* -1.04 -4.16 -1.34* -3.54* CGCM2 2.2764 1.7741 -0.82 -1.80 GFDL-R30 2.0564 2.0197 1.15 2.95 TIME SLICE 2070-2099 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.4673 2.7709 4.0751 2.3597 -19.47 9.72 -26.86 1.26 CSIRO 3.2310 2.3285 4.0388* 2.3475 2.76 -7.13 3.44* 0.10 ECHAM4 4.2308 2.9734 5.3308* 2.4085* 17.25 11.59 21.73* 9.39* HADCM3 3.9196 2.7315 4.8995* 2.2125* -8.53 -6.60 -10.66* -5.35* NCAR PCM 1.8480 1.4412 2.3100* 1.1530* 3.25 -1.87 4.07* -1.49* CGCM2 3.8518 2.4246 -0.39 4.45 GFDL-R30 3.1200 2.2256 15.30 6.51 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.5667 2.8436 4.2687 2.4983 -28.38 -16.63 -16.51 -7.61 CSIRO 2.9676 2.2774 3.7095* 1.9480 6.77 -4.64 8.46* 3.12 ECHAM4 3.5639 2.1406 4.4905* 1.7339* -4.57 -0.70 -5.75* -0.57* HADCM3 3.1717 2.0844 3.9646* 1.6884* 16.07 7.06 20.08* 5.72* NCAR PCM 2.3839 1.8125 2.9799* 1.4500* -1.31 -3.31 -1.64* -2.65* CGCM2 3.7178 2.3908 9.07 9.60 GFDL-R30 2.8901 2.2879 -7.71 4.83 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.3803 2.5547 4.1997 2.2200 -27.63 -17.10 -26.37 -9.89 CSIRO 2.9513 2.2322 3.6892* 2.1617 -4.15 1.81 -5.19* -5.06 ECHAM4 2.9026 1.9693 3.6573* 1.5951* 2.20 5.60 2.77* 4.54* HADCM3 2.7955 1.8391 3.4944* 1.4897* -3.62 -1.12 -4.53* -0.90* NCAR PCM 2.0702 1.6290 2.5877* 1.3032* 3.73 4.88 4.66* 3.91* CGCM2 3.0743 2.0585 -3.02 3.19 GFDL-R30 3.3547 2.6062 -7.36 -9.27 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.0292 3.0805 4.9122 2.4987 -49.47 -38.33 -47.21 -24.89 CSIRO 3.2010 2.1982 4.0012* 2.2604 -4.36 -3.48 -5.46* -4.12 ECHAM4 4.1398 2.7146 5.2162* 2.1988* -9.32 -0.13 -11.75* -0.11* HADCM3 3.8476 2.7086 4.8095* 2.1939* -16.08 -18.69 -20.10* -15.14* NCAR PCM 2.1691 1.8176 2.7114* 1.4541* -5.81 -3.98 -7.26* -3.19* CGCM2 4.1839 2.6064 -14.46 -1.63 GFDL-R30 3.4268 2.5511 -11.09 1.09 REGION 27 ========= TIME SLICE 2010-2039 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.2537 1.4396 1.3366 0.8628 -4.21 -4.96 -12.31 -7.47 CSIRO 1.0686 1.1540 1.1541* 1.1544 4.01 3.77 4.33* 1.81 ECHAM4 1.2939 1.4882 1.4233* 1.2798* -6.59 -13.62 -7.25* -11.71* HADCM3 0.6575 0.9806 0.7167* 0.8531* -3.67 -0.36 -4.00* -0.31* NCAR PCM 0.8326 0.6985 0.9158* 0.6007* -12.89 -8.42 -14.18* -7.24* CGCM2 0.9969 1.0330 3.15 -1.71 GFDL-R30 0.9769 1.0263 -5.64 3.94 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.0796 1.6109 1.2456 0.8980 -7.48 -13.42 -16.26 -10.86 CSIRO 0.9659 1.0937 1.0432* 1.1124 -0.20 -3.49 -0.22* -4.60 ECHAM4 1.2857 1.3495 1.4143* 1.1606* -9.16 -8.02 -10.08* -6.90* HADCM3 0.6255 0.8374 0.6818* 0.7286* -2.93 -4.33 -3.20* -3.77* NCAR PCM 0.8687 0.7034 0.9555* 0.6049* 5.05 -8.39 5.56* -7.22* CGCM2 1.0117 1.1373 -10.58 -16.21 GFDL-R30 0.9357 0.8998 4.63 3.83 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.5851 2.1999 1.4957 1.5810 -35.86 -19.92 -20.20 -30.03 CSIRO 1.1136 1.3064 1.2026* 1.3478 -10.11 -24.11 -10.92* -16.32 ECHAM4 1.5398 1.5808 1.6938* 1.3595* -0.57 -5.73 -0.62* -4.93* HADCM3 0.8423 1.1849 0.9181* 1.0308* -2.92 -6.70 -3.19* -5.83* NCAR PCM 0.8849 1.1099 0.9733* 0.9545* 14.20 11.01 15.62* 9.47* CGCM2 1.1896 1.2780 -11.61 -13.76 GFDL-R30 1.1104 1.2365 55.12 2.54 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.4165 1.5513 1.1390 1.0846 -14.37 -3.59 -18.23 -11.39 CSIRO 1.2511 1.2683 1.3512* 1.3791 -3.65 -2.60 -3.94* 1.87 ECHAM4 1.2388 1.3665 1.3626* 1.1752* -2.43 -5.51 -2.68* -4.74* HADCM3 0.9573 1.2637 1.0435* 1.0994* 3.67 4.09 4.00* 3.56* NCAR PCM 0.7653 1.0339 0.8419* 0.8892* 0.90 8.56 0.99* 7.36* CGCM2 1.2893 1.2221 0.29 -1.43 GFDL-R30 1.3339 1.3214 -7.93 -10.34 TIME SLICE 2040-2069 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.2472 3.1488 3.5165 2.1374 -16.61 -15.77 -18.04 -15.30 CSIRO 2.2223 2.0872 2.8001* 1.7845 0.13 3.98 0.16* 4.94 ECHAM4 2.2365 2.2777 2.8851* 1.9361* -19.07 -11.43 -24.60* -9.71* HADCM3 1.5766 1.5749 2.0180* 1.3544* -11.91 -10.61 -15.24* -9.13* NCAR PCM 1.0799 0.9608 1.3931* 0.8167* -11.69 -5.77 -15.08* -4.90* CGCM2 1.9982 1.5459 -4.49 4.05 GFDL-R30 1.8311 1.8693 -10.60 -0.38 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.8739 2.9326 3.2220 2.4142 -31.21 -21.11 -31.36 -24.26 CSIRO 1.9579 2.0260 2.4669* 1.7973 -3.58 -8.12 -4.51* -7.02 ECHAM4 2.0475 2.1529 2.6413* 1.8299* -14.46 -18.35 -18.66* -15.59* HADCM3 1.3905 1.2852 1.7798* 1.1053* -5.02 -7.35 -6.42* -6.32* NCAR PCM 1.0212 1.0537 1.3174* 0.8956* -11.36 -12.46 -14.66* -10.59* CGCM2 1.9217 1.4770 -9.88 -7.30 GFDL-R30 1.8721 1.6883 -2.44 0.16 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.8508 3.7317 4.1183 3.2502 -42.66 -40.41 -52.61 -41.99 CSIRO 2.1861 2.1918 2.7544* 1.9926 -27.98 -22.20 -35.26* -27.10 ECHAM4 2.6705 2.6317 3.4449* 2.2369* -4.95 -6.08 -6.39* -5.17* HADCM3 1.8836 1.8784 2.4110* 1.6155* -11.72 -4.77 -15.00* -4.11* NCAR PCM 1.4796 1.4741 1.9086* 1.2530* -3.45 2.38 -4.45* 2.02* CGCM2 2.2247 1.7045 -23.97 -21.27 GFDL-R30 2.4098 1.9405 38.35 -8.92 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.0984 3.1620 3.5126 2.6050 -20.13 -12.21 -24.56 -18.54 CSIRO 2.2346 2.1118 2.8155* 2.0997 -0.67 -0.70 -0.84* -1.23 ECHAM4 2.4591 2.3690 3.1722* 2.0137* -9.50 -7.50 -12.25* -6.37* HADCM3 1.9576 1.8708 2.5058* 1.6089* -9.11 -5.23 -11.67* -4.50* NCAR PCM 1.3616 1.5038 1.7565* 1.2782* -4.28 0.95 -5.52* 0.81* CGCM2 2.2378 1.8142 -6.83 -4.91 GFDL-R30 2.2463 2.1449 -9.23 1.56 TIME SLICE 2070-2099 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 5.8033 4.4648 6.3878 4.2583 -33.91 -12.37 -45.27 -18.12 CSIRO 3.6549 2.8246 4.5686* 2.7215 -2.49 -1.39 -3.11* 5.53 ECHAM4 3.5013 3.0636 4.4116* 2.4815* -20.06 -13.78 -25.28* -11.16* HADCM3 2.7017 2.0416 3.3771* 1.6537* -12.73 -2.56 -15.91* -2.08* NCAR PCM 1.9577 1.5024 2.4471* 1.2019* -12.19 -13.43 -15.24* -10.75* CGCM2 2.8972 2.0876 -2.90 -5.02 GFDL-R30 2.7522 2.2528 -10.43 6.23 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 5.9484 4.2742 6.2540 3.8445 -41.05 -29.73 -45.54 -25.19 CSIRO 3.5296 2.7763 4.4120* 2.5145 -17.23 -10.06 -21.54* -3.04 ECHAM4 3.4695 2.8195 4.3716* 2.2838* -31.23 -13.46 -39.35* -10.90* HADCM3 2.4511 1.8441 3.0639* 1.4937* -26.64 -14.82 -33.30* -12.00* NCAR PCM 1.9977 1.4970 2.4971* 1.1976* -11.73 -1.53 -14.67* -1.22* CGCM2 2.8114 1.9865 -20.14 -9.55 GFDL-R30 2.8057 2.3104 1.96 -0.91 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 6.5987 5.0160 7.0769 4.7580 -61.02 -48.98 -57.16 -49.00 CSIRO 3.7741 2.9820 4.7176* 2.7884 -40.29 -31.62 -50.37* -28.95 ECHAM4 4.5268 3.4333 5.7038* 2.7810* -18.13 -9.39 -22.84* -7.61* HADCM3 3.5673 2.7010 4.4592* 2.1878* -20.55 -17.01 -25.69* -13.78* NCAR PCM 2.4240 1.8878 3.0299* 1.5103* -3.17 -3.35 -3.96* -2.68* CGCM2 3.1467 2.2910 -32.51 -12.29 GFDL-R30 3.4953 2.6854 33.11 0.79 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 5.6436 4.4672 5.9747 4.1561 -35.63 -16.75 -37.72 -10.93 CSIRO 3.8045 2.8242 4.7556* 2.8623 -12.72 0.81 -15.91* -5.48 ECHAM4 4.0482 3.2362 5.1007* 2.6214* -19.23 -13.00 -24.23* -10.53* HADCM3 3.5125 2.6860 4.3907* 2.1757* -21.60 -7.72 -27.00* -6.25* NCAR PCM 2.2773 1.7039 2.8466* 1.3631* -5.21 -12.47 -6.51* -9.97* CGCM2 3.2655 2.3018 -9.54 -6.78 GFDL-R30 3.3558 2.8100 -7.16 -9.96 REGION 28 ========= TIME SLICE 2010-2039 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.9073 1.0212 0.7704 0.6798 2.60 7.68 -5.20 5.52 CSIRO 0.9167 0.9977 0.9900* 0.9306 7.09 2.98 7.66* 6.31 ECHAM4 0.8707 0.9095 0.9578* 0.7822* 4.29 6.10 4.71* 5.25* HADCM3 0.7075 0.8365 0.7712* 0.7277* -6.43 4.90 -7.01* 4.26* NCAR PCM 0.4855 0.7149 0.5341* 0.6148* -8.94 -0.08 -9.84* -0.06* CGCM2 0.7589 0.8008 0.78 -0.84 GFDL-R30 0.8708 0.7276 13.72 -3.21 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.9698 1.0789 0.8262 0.6749 1.82 11.77 -2.66 4.48 CSIRO 0.8683 0.9597 0.9378* 0.8792 6.03 6.17 6.51* 6.61 ECHAM4 0.9442 1.0013 1.0386* 0.8611* -0.24 -5.30 -0.27* -4.56* HADCM3 0.6570 0.7684 0.7162* 0.6685* -4.19 2.41 -4.57* 2.09* NCAR PCM 0.4959 0.6894 0.5455* 0.5929* -1.70 -6.86 -1.87* -5.90* CGCM2 0.8205 0.8561 -7.08 -3.76 GFDL-R30 0.7547 0.7867 7.55 -2.24 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.0034 1.0348 0.8267 0.6714 -9.04 -7.23 -13.44 -11.10 CSIRO 0.7782 0.8537 0.8404* 0.7963 4.47 3.79 4.83* 4.53 ECHAM4 0.9698 0.9725 1.0668* 0.8363* 0.49 9.39 0.54* 8.07* HADCM3 0.7099 0.8496 0.7738* 0.7392* -13.06 -9.45 -14.23* -8.22* NCAR PCM 0.4815 0.6172 0.5297* 0.5308* -4.21 -6.10 -4.63* -5.25* CGCM2 0.7634 0.8125 -9.80 1.64 GFDL-R30 0.8278 0.8483 -7.10 -1.66 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.9968 1.1084 0.8246 0.7442 -0.06 1.62 -2.34 -1.43 CSIRO 0.8164 0.8653 0.8817* 0.7933 3.50 0.68 3.78* 2.86 ECHAM4 0.9710 1.0053 1.0681* 0.8645* 4.98 -3.04 5.48* -2.62* HADCM3 0.7160 0.8709 0.7804* 0.7577* -6.71 -3.82 -7.31* -3.33* NCAR PCM 0.6517 0.8129 0.7168* 0.6991* 5.53 7.57 6.08* 6.51* CGCM2 0.7330 0.7818 -4.40 0.99 GFDL-R30 0.8107 0.8589 -8.27 3.57 TIME SLICE 2040-2069 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.0703 1.9834 2.2086 1.8040 20.20 22.75 10.11 34.24 CSIRO 1.6569 1.6664 2.0876* 1.5872 11.28 13.21 14.22* 7.65 ECHAM4 1.6973 1.6756 2.1895* 1.4243* 13.13 12.66 16.94* 10.76* HADCM3 1.5717 1.3984 2.0118* 1.2027* -6.85 -4.91 -8.77* -4.22* NCAR PCM 1.0448 1.0239 1.3478* 0.8703* -3.81 -3.13 -4.92* -2.66* CGCM2 1.5969 1.3758 1.65 -1.87 GFDL-R30 1.6072 1.4550 4.81 3.23 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.9691 1.9302 2.3745 1.6982 10.56 12.21 4.30 15.60 CSIRO 1.6205 1.6402 2.0418* 1.5325 9.62 10.62 12.12* 11.65 ECHAM4 1.7925 1.7631 2.3124* 1.4986* 9.16 5.68 11.82* 4.83* HADCM3 1.4718 1.2742 1.8839* 1.0958* -6.90 0.82 -8.83* 0.71* NCAR PCM 1.0085 0.9619 1.3009* 0.8177* -7.09 -6.86 -9.15* -5.83* CGCM2 1.7218 1.4299 5.17 4.87 GFDL-R30 1.3939 1.4087 -5.85 2.97 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.0278 1.8614 2.3322 1.6889 -20.40 -15.62 -19.06 -16.00 CSIRO 1.5413 1.5391 1.9421* 1.4039 2.70 3.88 3.41* 7.30 ECHAM4 1.7852 1.7621 2.3030* 1.4978* -6.14 -4.71 -7.92* -4.00* HADCM3 1.5783 1.3659 2.0202* 1.1747* -28.36 -14.28 -36.31* -12.28* NCAR PCM 1.0145 0.9406 1.3087* 0.7995* -4.61 -7.53 -5.94* -6.40* CGCM2 1.5642 1.3172 -9.61 -4.59 GFDL-R30 1.4987 1.5278 -7.54 -11.20 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.2434 2.0708 2.4554 1.8972 -1.05 2.40 0.60 4.03 CSIRO 1.5164 1.5117 1.9107* 1.3941 3.41 3.59 4.30* 4.48 ECHAM4 1.8675 1.8242 2.4091* 1.5506* -2.82 -9.31 -3.64* -7.91* HADCM3 1.5789 1.4247 2.0210* 1.2253* -16.95 -5.94 -21.70* -5.11* NCAR PCM 1.2614 1.2208 1.6271* 1.0376* 9.25 8.61 11.93* 7.32* CGCM2 1.5213 1.2657 5.24 -3.88 GFDL-R30 1.4883 1.5189 -5.29 -1.65 TIME SLICE 2070-2099 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.6852 2.7629 3.8870 2.5713 21.40 16.22 2.63 24.05 CSIRO 2.8555 2.3073 3.5694* 2.0803 15.79 12.81 19.74* 14.92 ECHAM4 2.8414 2.2343 3.5802* 1.8097* 8.62 6.22 10.86* 5.04* HADCM3 2.6858 2.0039 3.3572* 1.6232* -10.55 -3.62 -13.19* -2.93* NCAR PCM 1.7336 1.3107 2.1671* 1.0485* -3.47 -5.23 -4.33* -4.18* CGCM2 2.8198 1.8663 11.87 5.26 GFDL-R30 2.4713 2.0891 4.97 28.91 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.7071 2.7772 3.9581 2.5136 -3.18 -1.85 -17.81 10.86 CSIRO 2.8364 2.2214 3.5455* 2.0420 14.08 16.81 17.60* 13.56 ECHAM4 3.0164 2.3578 3.8006* 1.9098* -0.37 19.01 -0.47* 15.40* HADCM3 2.6576 1.9971 3.3220* 1.6177* -25.07 -13.19 -31.34* -10.69* NCAR PCM 1.5609 1.1848 1.9511* 0.9478* -12.88 -8.31 -16.10* -6.65* CGCM2 2.9468 1.9700 13.95 8.68 GFDL-R30 2.0798 1.9480 -14.44 -2.39 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.6750 2.7803 4.0477 2.4627 -22.60 -19.21 -21.31 -17.77 CSIRO 2.6695 2.0829 3.3368* 1.9529 8.41 10.97 10.51* 10.11 ECHAM4 3.0048 2.2896 3.7860* 1.8546* -17.92 -1.23 -22.58* -0.99* HADCM3 2.5608 2.0133 3.2010* 1.6308* -49.39 -34.45 -61.74* -27.91* NCAR PCM 1.4857 1.1976 1.8571* 0.9581* -16.43 -9.43 -20.54* -7.54* CGCM2 2.6825 1.8736 -7.46 -6.47 GFDL-R30 2.4017 1.9770 -14.98 -4.92 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.8798 2.8574 4.1876 2.6726 9.20 0.49 12.90 2.70 CSIRO 2.5827 2.0314 3.2284* 1.8959 7.32 6.06 9.14* 8.83 ECHAM4 3.1661 2.4175 3.9893* 1.9582* -5.04 -7.53 -6.35* -6.10* HADCM3 2.5327 1.9602 3.1659* 1.5877* -25.08 -18.68 -31.36* -15.13* NCAR PCM 1.9229 1.5219 2.4036* 1.2175* 7.21 10.61 9.01* 8.49* CGCM2 2.6083 1.7880 -6.15 -5.24 GFDL-R30 2.4406 1.9321 -13.72 -12.75 REGION 29 ========= TIME SLICE 2010-2039 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.0731 1.2303 0.9467 0.8599 0.48 4.99 -6.76 -9.49 CSIRO 0.9570 0.9943 1.0335* 0.9942 -0.47 -2.45 -0.50* -3.83 ECHAM4 1.0655 1.1765 1.1721* 1.0117* -18.03 -19.20 -19.83* -16.51* HADCM3 0.6128 0.6488 0.6679* 0.5644* 15.02 10.13 16.37* 8.81* NCAR PCM 0.4800 0.6559 0.5280* 0.5640* 4.81 2.44 5.29* 2.10* CGCM2 0.8124 0.8596 -2.02 -5.15 GFDL-R30 1.0338 1.0148 -0.88 -8.43 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.9013 1.1586 0.8417 0.7725 -6.57 -0.38 -6.66 -5.09 CSIRO 0.9156 0.9073 0.9888* 0.9601 -0.57 0.24 -0.62* 0.12 ECHAM4 1.0345 1.1117 1.1379* 0.9561* 5.24 10.29 5.76* 8.85* HADCM3 0.6212 0.7016 0.6771* 0.6104* 29.00 20.74 31.61* 18.04* NCAR PCM 0.5861 0.7559 0.6447* 0.6501* -0.94 -1.47 -1.03* -1.26* CGCM2 0.8648 0.9943 3.02 0.80 GFDL-R30 0.6560 1.0650 4.31 10.85 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.0542 1.2280 0.9877 0.8045 -3.08 2.91 -2.75 -3.67 CSIRO 0.9552 0.9619 1.0316* 0.9830 1.05 0.55 1.14* 2.30 ECHAM4 0.9610 1.0810 1.0571* 0.9296* -4.99 -3.78 -5.48* -3.25* HADCM3 0.5551 0.8018 0.6050* 0.6975* 0.47 8.46 0.52* 7.36* NCAR PCM 0.5442 0.6631 0.5986* 0.5703* -0.69 -0.95 -0.76* -0.82* CGCM2 0.8341 0.9162 4.03 6.57 GFDL-R30 0.7990 1.0144 5.97 15.85 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.1479 1.1789 0.9862 0.8486 -0.53 -2.06 -6.46 -6.01 CSIRO 0.9810 1.0585 1.0595* 1.0016 4.02 2.39 4.34* 5.85 ECHAM4 1.0598 1.2145 1.1658* 1.0445* -4.56 -7.54 -5.02* -6.48* HADCM3 0.4819 0.6198 0.5252* 0.5392* -2.26 0.29 -2.46* 0.25* NCAR PCM 0.5293 0.6228 0.5822* 0.5356* -0.69 -0.11 -0.76* -0.09* CGCM2 0.7905 0.8552 0.27 -1.57 GFDL-R30 1.0515 1.0990 15.05 7.94 TIME SLICE 2040-2069 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.4218 2.2721 2.7004 2.0458 -2.48 -5.43 -6.93 -9.25 CSIRO 1.7747 1.7224 2.2361* 1.5939 -2.99 2.21 -3.77* 1.44 ECHAM4 1.9883 1.9893 2.5650* 1.6909* -25.68 -19.29 -33.13* -16.39* HADCM3 1.3388 1.2686 1.7136* 1.0910* 19.44 12.57 24.88* 10.81* NCAR PCM 1.1074 1.0653 1.4285* 0.9055* 7.34 1.53 9.47* 1.30* CGCM2 1.6734 1.4301 -2.40 3.57 GFDL-R30 1.7242 1.6637 -1.34 -2.34 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.3379 2.1889 2.5916 2.0503 -5.72 -1.48 -1.24 -6.48 CSIRO 1.6639 1.6625 2.0966* 1.5540 4.36 1.23 5.49* -1.39 ECHAM4 1.9061 1.8947 2.4589* 1.6105* 5.82 11.98 7.51* 10.18* HADCM3 1.4034 1.3147 1.7963* 1.1307* 39.52 50.97 50.59* 43.84* NCAR PCM 1.2288 1.0965 1.5851* 0.9320* -0.88 -0.57 -1.14* -0.48* CGCM2 1.7206 1.4553 3.14 4.73 GFDL-R30 1.5366 1.5910 3.24 10.84 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.4643 2.2739 2.7404 2.2249 1.37 4.70 -3.33 3.31 CSIRO 1.6963 1.6571 2.1374* 1.5327 0.41 4.47 0.51* 4.15 ECHAM4 1.9037 1.8543 2.4558* 1.5761* -12.96 -6.69 -16.72* -5.68* HADCM3 1.3807 1.2062 1.7673* 1.0374* 6.68 14.68 8.55* 12.62* NCAR PCM 1.1275 1.0532 1.4544* 0.8952* 0.19 -0.31 0.25* -0.27* CGCM2 1.6757 1.4079 13.08 7.42 GFDL-R30 1.5075 1.6413 -1.50 8.16 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.4488 2.2797 2.7411 2.1159 -4.74 -2.33 -6.88 -1.04 CSIRO 1.7827 1.7340 2.2463* 1.6485 5.28 1.90 6.65* 2.19 ECHAM4 2.0992 2.0319 2.7080* 1.7271* -13.79 -13.71 -17.79* -11.65* HADCM3 1.2692 1.1015 1.6245* 0.9473* -5.66 -2.21 -7.24* -1.90* NCAR PCM 1.1431 1.0053 1.4746* 0.8545* 1.33 -1.06 1.72* -0.90* CGCM2 1.6093 1.3672 0.34 -0.56 GFDL-R30 1.8247 1.6931 8.41 13.61 TIME SLICE 2070-2099 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.3510 3.3083 4.8210 3.0598 5.63 0.01 1.21 -0.98 CSIRO 2.9872 2.4891 3.7340* 2.2422 -2.17 -3.26 -2.71* -0.58 ECHAM4 3.2576 2.6258 4.1046* 2.1269* -20.31 -17.48 -25.59* -14.16* HADCM3 2.4202 1.6568 3.0253* 1.3420* 11.31 11.55 14.13* 9.35* NCAR PCM 1.7361 1.3036 2.1701* 1.0429* 8.09 10.00 10.11* 8.00* CGCM2 2.8817 1.9913 -1.67 -0.68 GFDL-R30 2.6071 2.3352 1.25 10.61 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.0574 3.0865 4.4645 2.9499 11.33 4.21 6.28 0.60 CSIRO 2.8408 2.3006 3.5510* 2.1457 -0.18 7.78 -0.22* 0.31 ECHAM4 3.1893 2.4684 4.0185* 1.9994* 12.38 13.95 15.59* 11.30* HADCM3 2.5302 1.8455 3.1628* 1.4949* 78.27 75.43 97.83* 61.10* NCAR PCM 1.8087 1.4132 2.2609* 1.1306* -6.01 -2.68 -7.52* -2.14* CGCM2 2.8012 2.0619 2.87 5.84 GFDL-R30 2.4478 2.2140 18.40 20.97 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.3155 3.2475 4.5720 3.1388 2.23 -1.09 2.26 4.47 CSIRO 2.8369 2.2900 3.5462* 2.1628 0.75 1.90 0.94* 3.67 ECHAM4 3.2510 2.4857 4.0963* 2.0134* -5.22 -9.82 -6.58* -7.95* HADCM3 2.5231 1.8273 3.1539* 1.4801* 11.28 14.61 14.10* 11.83* NCAR PCM 1.6843 1.2735 2.1053* 1.0188* -7.06 -2.69 -8.83* -2.15* CGCM2 2.8096 1.9871 2.95 12.92 GFDL-R30 2.5512 2.1783 0.61 7.10 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.4021 3.2768 4.6731 3.1332 0.62 -0.58 -5.33 0.21 CSIRO 2.9183 2.4175 3.6479* 2.2225 3.78 4.28 4.72* 6.40 ECHAM4 3.4178 2.6281 4.3064* 2.1287* -20.20 -12.70 -25.46* -10.29* HADCM3 2.2696 1.6372 2.8370* 1.3261* -15.14 -11.36 -18.92* -9.20* NCAR PCM 1.7270 1.3568 2.1587* 1.0854* -3.49 -0.63 -4.36* -0.51* CGCM2 2.7895 1.9053 -4.78 -0.19 GFDL-R30 2.8323 2.3791 10.19 16.94 REGION 30 ========= TIME SLICE 2010-2039 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.9341 1.0982 0.7766 0.7115 3.89 3.74 2.29 1.15 CSIRO 0.8215 0.9612 0.8872* 0.8967 -0.70 -0.19 -0.76* -1.00 ECHAM4 0.7934 0.8712 0.8727* 0.7493* 1.16 -0.73 1.27* -0.63* HADCM3 0.8184 0.9113 0.8920* 0.7929* 4.65 7.78 5.07* 6.77* NCAR PCM 0.5449 0.6717 0.5994* 0.5777* -0.19 -2.62 -0.21* -2.25* CGCM2 0.7759 0.7461 -0.39 0.70 GFDL-R30 0.8417 0.8108 3.15 2.28 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.9294 1.0698 0.7762 0.6860 -0.36 2.95 -0.23 -1.75 CSIRO 0.8139 0.8913 0.8790* 0.8378 1.06 0.68 1.15* -0.02 ECHAM4 0.8768 0.9191 0.9645* 0.7904* 1.89 -0.98 2.08* -0.85* HADCM3 0.8262 0.9261 0.9006* 0.8057* 7.02 7.17 7.65* 6.24* NCAR PCM 0.5186 0.6530 0.5705* 0.5615* -2.18 0.71 -2.40* 0.61* CGCM2 0.7534 0.7262 -0.03 -2.57 GFDL-R30 0.7829 0.7611 -3.06 -3.06 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.9592 1.0963 0.7580 0.7078 1.16 2.47 -1.53 -1.02 CSIRO 0.7825 0.8808 0.8451* 0.8146 -0.73 -0.90 -0.79* -1.00 ECHAM4 0.8437 0.8644 0.9280* 0.7434* 3.52 2.49 3.87* 2.14* HADCM3 0.9181 0.9236 1.0008* 0.8035* 6.41 6.44 6.99* 5.60* NCAR PCM 0.4906 0.5856 0.5396* 0.5036* 1.14 -0.44 1.25* -0.38* CGCM2 0.7201 0.7074 -0.73 -0.78 GFDL-R30 0.8295 0.6657 1.95 -0.66 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.0092 1.1396 0.8410 0.7510 4.27 4.18 0.92 1.47 CSIRO 0.8283 0.9299 0.8946* 0.8559 -0.18 -1.02 -0.20* -1.67 ECHAM4 0.8250 0.8368 0.9074* 0.7197* 0.96 0.14 1.06* 0.12* HADCM3 0.9357 0.9362 1.0199* 0.8145* 7.97 5.97 8.69* 5.19* NCAR PCM 0.5820 0.6976 0.6402* 0.5999* 2.30 1.54 2.53* 1.32* CGCM2 0.7337 0.7130 -1.90 -2.30 GFDL-R30 0.9222 0.6957 9.14 -6.34 TIME SLICE 2040-2069 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.1514 1.9943 2.3204 1.7715 6.13 5.67 5.68 5.02 CSIRO 1.6826 1.6510 2.1201* 1.5173 1.91 1.54 2.41* 1.38 ECHAM4 1.5918 1.5529 2.0534* 1.3200* 4.27 3.88 5.51* 3.30* HADCM3 1.6355 1.4823 2.0935* 1.2748* 12.26 13.76 15.69* 11.83* NCAR PCM 1.1109 1.0679 1.4331* 0.9077* -0.61 0.04 -0.78* 0.03* CGCM2 1.5426 1.2720 3.07 1.11 GFDL-R30 1.5844 1.3951 2.58 1.14 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.1188 1.9106 2.2947 1.7227 3.49 4.84 4.02 4.58 CSIRO 1.6520 1.6375 2.0815* 1.4780 1.48 0.71 1.87* 1.27 ECHAM4 1.6982 1.6046 2.1907* 1.3639* 3.68 4.18 4.75* 3.55* HADCM3 1.6350 1.4999 2.0928* 1.2899* 16.69 15.68 21.36* 13.48* NCAR PCM 1.0179 1.0204 1.3131* 0.8674* -0.48 0.42 -0.61* 0.36* CGCM2 1.4927 1.2241 2.22 1.16 GFDL-R30 1.5044 1.3643 -1.92 -4.07 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.1903 1.9827 2.3916 1.7302 6.86 6.07 8.57 6.13 CSIRO 1.6516 1.6294 2.0810* 1.4808 7.29 5.35 9.18* 3.29 ECHAM4 1.6903 1.5576 2.1805* 1.3239* 6.61 6.25 8.53* 5.31* HADCM3 1.8251 1.5708 2.3361* 1.3509* 15.13 10.08 19.36* 8.67* NCAR PCM 1.0186 0.9565 1.3139* 0.8130* 0.82 1.35 1.06* 1.15* CGCM2 1.5056 1.2372 5.69 2.19 GFDL-R30 1.5905 1.3529 10.06 6.60 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.2659 2.0545 2.4803 1.7955 10.43 8.69 10.01 4.96 CSIRO 1.6629 1.6621 2.0952* 1.5201 2.91 3.07 3.67* 2.22 ECHAM4 1.6539 1.5338 2.1336* 1.3037* 5.21 3.02 6.72* 2.57* HADCM3 1.8500 1.6026 2.3680* 1.3783* 14.52 10.23 18.59* 8.80* NCAR PCM 1.1578 1.1005 1.4935* 0.9354* 3.22 2.47 4.15* 2.10* CGCM2 1.5754 1.2766 3.58 4.34 GFDL-R30 1.7766 1.4514 10.78 4.93 TIME SLICE 2070-2099 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.8732 2.8580 4.1790 2.6516 12.72 9.43 10.07 7.78 CSIRO 2.9071 2.2781 3.6338* 2.1369 4.07 3.38 5.09* 4.88 ECHAM4 2.6469 2.0741 3.3351* 1.6800* 4.63 3.19 5.84* 2.58* HADCM3 2.7048 2.1505 3.3810* 1.7419* 20.76 18.14 25.95* 14.69* NCAR PCM 1.7961 1.3405 2.2451* 1.0724* -0.49 -0.69 -0.61* -0.55* CGCM2 2.6598 1.8157 5.95 4.32 GFDL-R30 2.5165 1.9240 3.49 5.24 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.8126 2.7947 4.1046 2.5742 8.82 7.18 4.00 8.12 CSIRO 2.8416 2.2410 3.5520* 2.1047 4.92 3.14 6.15* 2.76 ECHAM4 2.7697 2.1643 3.4899* 1.7531* 5.57 1.70 7.02* 1.38* HADCM3 2.6692 2.1184 3.3365* 1.7159* 12.76 15.95 15.95* 12.92* NCAR PCM 1.7219 1.2745 2.1523* 1.0196* -0.14 1.14 -0.18* 0.91* CGCM2 2.5572 1.7348 7.45 4.81 GFDL-R30 2.4426 1.8892 -2.71 -2.26 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.9210 2.9427 4.1399 2.6761 15.78 16.84 10.76 16.67 CSIRO 2.8382 2.2307 3.5477* 2.0917 9.43 8.54 11.79* 8.07 ECHAM4 2.7926 2.1813 3.5187* 1.7668* 11.91 8.70 15.01* 7.05* HADCM3 2.8736 2.2878 3.5920* 1.8531* 19.48 16.58 24.35* 13.43* NCAR PCM 1.7064 1.2604 2.1329* 1.0083* 3.64 2.62 4.55* 2.10* CGCM2 2.6125 1.7152 13.94 6.35 GFDL-R30 2.5493 1.8389 14.63 8.16 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.0396 3.0488 4.2604 2.7678 21.47 17.28 17.60 13.87 CSIRO 2.8676 2.2675 3.5845* 2.1017 3.66 5.04 4.57* 3.23 ECHAM4 2.7349 2.0904 3.4459* 1.6932* 7.76 2.97 9.77* 2.41* HADCM3 3.0044 2.3664 3.7555* 1.9168* 20.70 19.23 25.87* 15.58* NCAR PCM 1.8797 1.4333 2.3496* 1.1467* 5.38 3.75 6.72* 3.00* CGCM2 2.7062 1.7977 10.47 3.79 GFDL-R30 2.8180 2.0005 20.29 5.42 REGION 31 ========= TIME SLICE 2010-2039 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.8523 0.8520 0.9821 0.6928 -5.35 -2.43 -1.61 -2.57 CSIRO 0.7651 0.8243 0.8263* 0.7098 0.92 1.07 1.00* 2.47 ECHAM4 0.6664 0.8105 0.7331* 0.6970* -2.18 -0.74 -2.39* -0.63* HADCM3 0.5926 0.6404 0.6459* 0.5572* 1.51 3.34 1.65* 2.91* NCAR PCM 0.5861 0.7151 0.6447* 0.6149* 0.24 2.63 0.26* 2.26* CGCM2 0.6937 0.7140 -4.21 -3.09 GFDL-R30 0.7801 0.8255 -1.94 5.85 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.8151 0.8485 0.9202 0.7107 2.90 3.69 5.23 3.64 CSIRO 0.7411 0.8242 0.8004* 0.7256 1.13 2.59 1.22* -1.34 ECHAM4 0.6815 0.7917 0.7497* 0.6809* -0.53 2.83 -0.58* 2.43* HADCM3 0.6086 0.6227 0.6634* 0.5418* 3.83 5.33 4.18* 4.63* NCAR PCM 0.6453 0.7886 0.7098* 0.6782* 4.65 6.92 5.11* 5.95* CGCM2 0.7563 0.7109 -1.26 1.06 GFDL-R30 0.8446 0.7509 -3.31 1.59 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.6483 0.6809 0.8176 0.5912 -3.48 -2.93 -2.33 -0.35 CSIRO 0.7497 0.8242 0.8097* 0.7469 1.34 1.82 1.45* 2.08 ECHAM4 0.6535 0.7797 0.7189* 0.6705* 2.54 2.02 2.79* 1.73* HADCM3 0.6329 0.5942 0.6898* 0.5170* -1.25 -2.80 -1.36* -2.44* NCAR PCM 0.5309 0.6251 0.5840* 0.5376* 0.59 -0.78 0.65* -0.67* CGCM2 0.7693 0.7449 2.84 -0.91 GFDL-R30 0.8143 0.8718 -4.43 1.32 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.7198 0.7413 0.8767 0.6277 -2.08 -0.09 -1.17 -0.82 CSIRO 0.7456 0.8204 0.8053* 0.7351 -2.99 -0.01 -3.23* 1.77 ECHAM4 0.6425 0.7722 0.7067* 0.6641* 1.33 2.39 1.47* 2.05* HADCM3 0.5904 0.6011 0.6435* 0.5230* 3.06 3.63 3.33* 3.16* NCAR PCM 0.5658 0.7032 0.6224* 0.6048* -0.84 0.85 -0.92* 0.73* CGCM2 0.7264 0.7365 -1.52 -0.84 GFDL-R30 0.8059 0.8636 0.57 -0.46 TIME SLICE 2040-2069 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.6576 1.6183 2.1033 1.2866 -6.89 -4.52 -5.03 -2.62 CSIRO 1.4314 1.4552 1.8036* 1.3058 3.52 6.48 4.43* 6.67 ECHAM4 1.4739 1.3839 1.9014* 1.1763* -2.01 -1.33 -2.60* -1.13* HADCM3 1.4877 1.1504 1.9043* 0.9894* 0.22 2.42 0.28* 2.08* NCAR PCM 1.0830 1.0280 1.3970* 0.8738* 2.35 2.38 3.04* 2.02* CGCM2 1.4028 1.1829 -2.77 -3.88 GFDL-R30 1.4909 1.3605 -6.69 2.25 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.7053 1.6116 2.1040 1.3104 4.41 6.63 8.61 4.27 CSIRO 1.4340 1.4354 1.8069* 1.2807 1.62 0.95 2.05* 3.88 ECHAM4 1.4717 1.3630 1.8985* 1.1585* 0.47 1.15 0.60* 0.98* HADCM3 1.5314 1.1618 1.9602* 0.9991* 9.70 6.70 12.41* 5.76* NCAR PCM 1.1865 1.0920 1.5306* 0.9282* 7.11 6.31 9.17* 5.36* CGCM2 1.4050 1.2141 -4.54 -1.27 GFDL-R30 1.5616 1.3802 -2.20 3.89 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.4258 1.3704 1.9330 1.1223 -5.65 -2.35 -4.08 -3.48 CSIRO 1.4524 1.4361 1.8300* 1.3080 -2.12 -0.30 -2.67* 1.98 ECHAM4 1.4675 1.3439 1.8931* 1.1423* 1.88 4.26 2.42* 3.62* HADCM3 1.4564 1.1266 1.8642* 0.9689* 1.76 1.86 2.25* 1.60* NCAR PCM 1.0173 0.9771 1.3123* 0.8305* 1.25 1.72 1.61* 1.46* CGCM2 1.4826 1.2161 -2.28 -1.07 GFDL-R30 1.5615 1.4392 -4.83 -5.57 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.4398 1.4187 1.9097 1.1764 -2.39 -0.20 -1.10 -0.35 CSIRO 1.4349 1.4227 1.8079* 1.2705 -2.65 -0.31 -3.34* -1.98 ECHAM4 1.4571 1.3261 1.8796* 1.1272* 1.66 1.65 2.15* 1.41* HADCM3 1.4460 1.1126 1.8509* 0.9568* 3.68 4.88 4.70* 4.20* NCAR PCM 1.1063 1.0049 1.4272* 0.8541* 1.14 2.03 1.47* 1.73* CGCM2 1.4695 1.2143 -4.32 -3.88 GFDL-R30 1.4409 1.4018 -1.21 -2.70 TIME SLICE 2070-2099 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.1396 2.4046 3.7732 2.1408 -8.63 -6.67 -1.32 -5.23 CSIRO 2.5287 1.9784 3.1609* 1.8318 6.12 4.89 7.65* 7.35 ECHAM4 2.6082 1.8904 3.2864* 1.5312* -5.40 -3.64 -6.80* -2.95* HADCM3 2.5593 1.8823 3.1991* 1.5247* 3.05 2.20 3.81* 1.79* NCAR PCM 1.7603 1.3149 2.2004* 1.0520* 1.60 2.59 2.00* 2.07* CGCM2 2.5656 1.6872 -1.84 -3.32 GFDL-R30 2.4019 1.9383 -9.87 4.37 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.1808 2.4164 3.7619 2.1792 7.80 8.94 13.10 11.17 CSIRO 2.5362 1.9893 3.1702* 1.8213 3.66 3.91 4.58* 2.69 ECHAM4 2.5991 1.8842 3.2749* 1.5262* 1.87 1.85 2.36* 1.50* HADCM3 2.5379 1.8615 3.1724* 1.5078* 11.82 13.21 14.77* 10.70* NCAR PCM 1.9195 1.4550 2.3993* 1.1640* 8.94 7.80 11.18* 6.24* CGCM2 2.5621 1.6974 -2.79 -1.49 GFDL-R30 2.5451 1.9137 3.37 7.61 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.9922 2.1786 3.6561 1.8987 -6.08 -4.69 -0.98 -4.32 CSIRO 2.5590 1.9244 3.1987* 1.8264 0.48 3.08 0.60* -1.74 ECHAM4 2.5637 1.8230 3.2302* 1.4766* 1.61 2.42 2.03* 1.96* HADCM3 2.4086 1.7893 3.0107* 1.4494* 2.00 0.56 2.50* 0.45* NCAR PCM 1.7249 1.3255 2.1561* 1.0604* 1.69 4.05 2.11* 3.24* CGCM2 2.6550 1.7677 -6.21 -2.47 GFDL-R30 2.5314 2.0193 -11.24 -4.71 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.8519 2.1517 3.5397 1.8921 -1.07 -0.88 4.11 -0.37 CSIRO 2.5183 1.9019 3.1479* 1.8289 2.38 -3.99 2.97* 3.64 ECHAM4 2.5404 1.8001 3.2009* 1.4581* 1.14 -0.47 1.43* -0.38* HADCM3 2.4258 1.7862 3.0323* 1.4468* 3.72 7.29 4.65* 5.91* NCAR PCM 1.7264 1.3456 2.1580* 1.0765* 2.02 3.93 2.52* 3.14* CGCM2 2.6775 1.7524 -4.03 -2.56 GFDL-R30 2.4649 1.9066 0.45 1.06 REGION 32 ========= TIME SLICE 2010-2039 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.7050 0.6945 0.7489 0.6041 0.88 -1.34 0.10 2.29 CSIRO 0.6416 0.7283 0.6930* 0.6310 -0.60 -0.16 -0.65* 1.48 ECHAM4 0.5833 0.6558 0.6416* 0.5640* 1.97 2.60 2.17* 2.24* HADCM3 0.5418 0.5307 0.5905* 0.4617* -1.17 -4.48 -1.28* -3.89* NCAR PCM 0.6092 0.6653 0.6701* 0.5721* 2.64 1.32 2.90* 1.14* CGCM2 0.7361 0.7145 -0.95 -1.52 GFDL-R30 0.7078 0.6465 -2.82 -3.40 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.7149 0.6893 0.7270 0.5673 2.17 2.51 3.20 2.50 CSIRO 0.6892 0.7627 0.7443* 0.6718 0.55 1.88 0.60* 1.11 ECHAM4 0.5667 0.6130 0.6234* 0.5272* 1.50 2.61 1.65* 2.24* HADCM3 0.5323 0.5587 0.5803* 0.4860* -1.45 -1.41 -1.58* -1.23* NCAR PCM 0.6257 0.7025 0.6883* 0.6042* 0.85 0.58 0.94* 0.50* CGCM2 0.7842 0.7552 -1.20 -0.20 GFDL-R30 0.7105 0.7044 4.11 2.27 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.7583 0.7529 0.7858 0.6115 0.21 -1.12 -0.24 0.68 CSIRO 0.6310 0.7202 0.6815* 0.6338 0.29 0.83 0.31* 0.35 ECHAM4 0.5333 0.5565 0.5866* 0.4786* -1.22 0.11 -1.34* 0.09* HADCM3 0.5198 0.5309 0.5666* 0.4619* -0.75 -1.16 -0.82* -1.01* NCAR PCM 0.6192 0.6935 0.6811* 0.5964* 1.58 1.80 1.73* 1.55* CGCM2 0.7508 0.7346 0.83 0.35 GFDL-R30 0.7195 0.7695 1.85 0.45 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.7470 0.7264 0.8287 0.6446 2.23 1.78 3.38 2.19 CSIRO 0.6218 0.7014 0.6715* 0.6086 0.64 -0.49 0.69* -1.33 ECHAM4 0.5542 0.5836 0.6097* 0.5019* -3.06 -2.62 -3.36* -2.26* HADCM3 0.5230 0.5184 0.5701* 0.4510* -1.27 -1.93 -1.39* -1.68* NCAR PCM 0.5768 0.6537 0.6345* 0.5622* 1.42 1.35 1.56* 1.16* CGCM2 0.7136 0.7070 -0.97 -0.77 GFDL-R30 0.7169 0.6732 1.47 -1.56 TIME SLICE 2040-2069 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.4052 1.2628 1.7017 1.0976 2.71 3.82 3.83 0.82 CSIRO 1.2931 1.2474 1.6293* 1.1229 -0.32 -0.19 -0.40* 0.75 ECHAM4 1.1898 1.1273 1.5348* 0.9582* -0.07 0.64 -0.09* 0.54* HADCM3 1.2664 0.9414 1.6210* 0.8096* -2.74 -5.16 -3.50* -4.44* NCAR PCM 0.9826 0.9584 1.2676* 0.8146* 2.16 1.60 2.79* 1.36* CGCM2 1.5306 1.2748 2.85 1.45 GFDL-R30 1.4006 1.2330 1.18 -1.28 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.4046 1.2491 1.7365 1.0990 5.39 4.42 6.66 4.56 CSIRO 1.3639 1.3156 1.7185* 1.1711 1.43 3.27 1.80* 2.21 ECHAM4 1.1340 1.0359 1.4629* 0.8805* 0.79 0.04 1.02* 0.04* HADCM3 1.2805 0.9556 1.6391* 0.8218* -3.05 -5.48 -3.90* -4.71* NCAR PCM 1.0222 0.9760 1.3186* 0.8296* 1.16 1.21 1.50* 1.03* CGCM2 1.6095 1.3288 2.98 0.96 GFDL-R30 1.4601 1.2798 6.24 4.09 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.4831 1.3180 1.7597 1.1490 -1.33 -0.73 0.85 -1.15 CSIRO 1.3368 1.2943 1.6844* 1.1281 1.53 0.74 1.93* 0.91 ECHAM4 1.1022 0.9909 1.4219* 0.8422* -1.92 -0.47 -2.48* -0.40* HADCM3 1.2437 0.9327 1.5919* 0.8022* -1.95 -3.75 -2.50* -3.22* NCAR PCM 1.0478 0.9882 1.3516* 0.8400* 2.65 1.84 3.42* 1.56* CGCM2 1.5273 1.2771 1.53 1.51 GFDL-R30 1.4505 1.3215 3.47 5.39 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.4807 1.3360 1.7936 1.1542 4.14 4.59 5.38 2.71 CSIRO 1.2815 1.2558 1.6147* 1.0948 2.75 2.11 3.46* 1.20 ECHAM4 1.1275 1.0327 1.4545* 0.8778* -6.38 -5.39 -8.23* -4.58* HADCM3 1.2171 0.8933 1.5579* 0.7683* -2.22 -4.57 -2.84* -3.93* NCAR PCM 1.0108 0.9457 1.3040* 0.8039* 1.83 1.63 2.36* 1.38* CGCM2 1.4828 1.2371 0.60 1.38 GFDL-R30 1.4016 1.2531 4.35 4.49 TIME SLICE 2070-2099 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.5538 1.9770 3.0903 1.7327 6.81 7.54 8.91 4.83 CSIRO 2.2795 1.7721 2.8494* 1.5896 2.62 3.40 3.28* 0.44 ECHAM4 2.1630 1.5327 2.7254* 1.2414* 1.67 4.10 2.10* 3.32* HADCM3 2.1174 1.5432 2.6468* 1.2500* -2.83 -3.20 -3.53* -2.59* NCAR PCM 1.6502 1.2449 2.0627* 0.9959* 4.18 2.49 5.23* 2.00* CGCM2 2.6962 1.8291 8.90 3.93 GFDL-R30 2.3045 1.7243 1.94 2.18 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.6111 1.9646 3.1188 1.7195 9.43 10.41 11.39 8.45 CSIRO 2.3846 1.8357 2.9807* 1.6619 3.02 3.00 3.77* 2.57 ECHAM4 2.0555 1.4291 2.5899* 1.1576* -1.04 0.95 -1.31* 0.77* HADCM3 2.1488 1.5340 2.6860* 1.2426* 0.24 0.29 0.29* 0.23* NCAR PCM 1.7168 1.2820 2.1460* 1.0256* 2.32 1.91 2.90* 1.53* CGCM2 2.8010 1.8768 6.53 3.13 GFDL-R30 2.4206 1.7748 11.64 7.67 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.5701 2.0103 3.0300 1.7866 1.95 2.32 2.83 1.04 CSIRO 2.3534 1.8012 2.9417* 1.6452 3.14 2.27 3.93* 2.35 ECHAM4 1.9678 1.3352 2.4794* 1.0815* -3.75 -2.79 -4.73* -2.26* HADCM3 2.0357 1.4871 2.5446* 1.2045* -1.12 -0.51 -1.40* -0.42* NCAR PCM 1.7025 1.2836 2.1281* 1.0269* 4.63 3.06 5.78* 2.45* CGCM2 2.7003 1.8196 2.19 2.46 GFDL-R30 2.3878 1.7838 6.37 6.81 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.6076 2.0339 3.0685 1.8164 5.51 7.74 5.83 6.73 CSIRO 2.2624 1.7439 2.8280* 1.5743 2.18 3.09 2.72* 2.43 ECHAM4 1.9780 1.3449 2.4923* 1.0894* -11.14 -6.15 -14.04* -4.98* HADCM3 1.9781 1.4464 2.4726* 1.1716* -3.13 -2.85 -3.92* -2.31* NCAR PCM 1.6715 1.2658 2.0893* 1.0126* 2.21 1.71 2.77* 1.37* CGCM2 2.6407 1.7781 2.22 1.75 GFDL-R30 2.3049 1.7234 8.06 6.99