SCATTER DIAGRAMS IN NUMERICAL FORMAT Revised version: April 2005 This file provides the numerical values of points plotted in a set of online scatter diagrams and described more fully in an online report (Ruosteenoja et al., 2003). It is organised by: 1. Region (32 altogether - see report) 2. Time slice (2010-2039, 2040-2069 and 2070-2099) 3. Season (Dec-Feb, Mar-May, Jun-Aug and Sep-Nov) 4. Variable (absolute temperature and percentage precipitation change relative to 1961-1990) 5. Coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation model (CCSRNIES, CSIRO, ECHAM4, HADCM3, NCAR PCM, CGCM2, GFDL-R30) 6. SRES emissions scenario (A2, B2, A1FI, B1) Asterisks (*) indicate that estimates have been pattern-scaled Reference: Ruosteenoja, K., Carter, T.R., Jylhä, K. and Tuomenvirta, H. 2003. Future climate in world regions: an intercomparison of model-based projections for the new IPCC emissions scenarios. The Finnish Environment 644, Finnish Environment Institute, Helsinki, 83 pp. The scatter diagrams and report can be found at: http://www.ipcc-data.org/sres/scatter_plots/scatterplots_home.html REGION 1 ========= TIME SLICE 2010-2039 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.9539 3.5903 2.5491 2.3594 6.42 7.56 5.24 6.32 CSIRO 2.5246 3.1694 2.7266* 2.7058 11.02 13.73 11.90* 11.82 ECHAM4 3.6104 3.6489 3.9714* 3.1381* 24.40 23.60 26.83* 20.30* HADCM3 2.3965 2.1334 2.6121* 1.8561* 9.50 9.86 10.36* 8.58* NCAR PCM 2.4822 2.9727 2.7304* 2.5565* 9.42 10.05 10.36* 8.64* CGCM2 2.3056 2.2690 3.76 5.47 GFDL-R30 2.3862 1.6343 11.19 8.84 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.7627 2.3008 1.3931 1.4399 7.47 9.92 5.41 7.52 CSIRO 1.8933 2.2710 2.0447* 2.2758 11.76 16.74 12.70* 17.54 ECHAM4 2.9562 2.9840 3.2518* 2.5662* 18.96 18.89 20.86* 16.24* HADCM3 1.6854 1.8959 1.8370* 1.6494* 9.76 10.31 10.64* 8.97* NCAR PCM 1.9692 2.1309 2.1662* 1.8326* 9.89 9.20 10.88* 7.92* CGCM2 1.6753 1.5274 5.27 2.36 GFDL-R30 1.9635 1.8200 7.96 7.36 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.2713 1.9513 1.0702 1.6854 6.59 9.41 2.85 4.58 CSIRO 2.5187 2.8571 2.7202* 2.7337 12.92 15.40 13.95* 16.46 ECHAM4 1.7693 1.9698 1.9462* 1.6940* 7.75 7.48 8.52* 6.43* HADCM3 1.3438 1.6184 1.4648* 1.4080* 7.44 8.68 8.11* 7.55* NCAR PCM 0.6582 0.6850 0.7240* 0.5891* 5.26 5.00 5.78* 4.30* CGCM2 2.0556 2.0079 6.89 10.55 GFDL-R30 0.9691 0.9183 6.02 5.87 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.2642 4.6456 2.3434 3.3534 10.75 12.51 6.34 8.53 CSIRO 2.6976 3.1851 2.9134* 2.9850 7.32 9.33 7.91* 10.31 ECHAM4 3.1362 3.3068 3.4498* 2.8439* 16.75 14.78 18.42* 12.71* HADCM3 2.1254 2.1743 2.3167* 1.8916* 5.22 8.66 5.69* 7.54* NCAR PCM 2.2457 2.6445 2.4703* 2.2743* 8.21 10.31 9.03* 8.86* CGCM2 2.2387 2.2705 2.30 2.59 GFDL-R30 2.8824 2.1573 9.77 8.37 TIME SLICE 2040-2069 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 7.3700 8.7554 8.6092 5.8850 18.02 19.91 18.19 17.59 CSIRO 4.8013 4.7048 6.0496* 4.5066 23.14 24.19 29.16* 22.82 ECHAM4 5.9258 6.3063 7.6443* 5.3604* 42.84 45.95 55.27* 39.06* HADCM3 4.7714 3.9906 6.1074* 3.4319* 22.91 17.91 29.32* 15.40* NCAR PCM 5.2824 4.2233 6.8143* 3.5898* 24.09 18.14 31.07* 15.42* CGCM2 5.1888 3.8805 5.79 6.09 GFDL-R30 4.6026 3.4346 23.07 16.38 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.3636 4.7034 4.6507 3.6628 18.85 21.96 19.34 18.24 CSIRO 3.8525 3.6830 4.8542* 3.4007 28.58 25.03 36.02* 26.59 ECHAM4 4.3375 4.2023 5.5953* 3.5719* 28.60 32.40 36.90* 27.54* HADCM3 3.6259 2.7746 4.6411* 2.3861* 16.15 13.99 20.68* 12.03* NCAR PCM 3.2146 2.7843 4.1468* 2.3666* 15.94 14.00 20.56* 11.90* CGCM2 3.6458 2.8678 7.82 7.52 GFDL-R30 3.6404 2.9945 16.40 12.98 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.3778 3.8612 3.6802 3.1870 14.29 19.15 15.16 17.48 CSIRO 4.3039 4.0348 5.4229* 3.8757 25.46 28.69 32.08* 26.57 ECHAM4 3.1455 3.2346 4.0577* 2.7495* 9.46 15.97 12.21* 13.58* HADCM3 2.7988 2.4990 3.5824* 2.1492* 16.33 15.68 20.90* 13.48* NCAR PCM 1.0544 0.9954 1.3601* 0.8461* 8.41 8.09 10.85* 6.87* CGCM2 4.0103 3.1463 15.99 11.99 GFDL-R30 1.8197 1.6401 11.17 5.16 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 8.0289 9.4271 8.9045 6.9109 25.40 28.21 27.87 24.26 CSIRO 4.6212 4.3973 5.8227* 4.2935 17.85 16.36 22.49* 14.90 ECHAM4 5.5599 5.5533 7.1723* 4.7203* 31.21 29.73 40.26* 25.27* HADCM3 4.3927 3.8183 5.6227* 3.2837* 18.54 14.26 23.73* 12.27* NCAR PCM 3.8454 3.3098 4.9605* 2.8134* 19.09 16.91 24.62* 14.37* CGCM2 4.1630 3.6938 5.75 5.04 GFDL-R30 4.9740 3.7722 15.59 13.95 TIME SLICE 2070-2099 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 16.8566 14.1327 17.8578 12.8446 46.15 35.68 50.56 30.73 CSIRO 7.7761 6.4130 9.7201* 5.8165 40.11 35.74 50.14* 29.09 ECHAM4 10.1502 8.4059 12.7892* 6.8088* 73.72 57.41 92.88* 46.50* HADCM3 7.9330 6.2776 9.9162* 5.0848* 43.76 29.68 54.71* 24.04* NCAR PCM 8.5352 6.0461 10.6689* 4.8369* 40.06 29.34 50.07* 23.47* CGCM2 7.9775 5.7294 11.20 8.11 GFDL-R30 8.0505 5.1192 41.06 25.82 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 9.4866 6.9211 10.5257 6.2613 35.70 27.35 36.62 26.63 CSIRO 6.3124 5.0310 7.8905* 4.4946 50.95 39.79 63.69* 34.23 ECHAM4 6.8238 5.4321 8.5980* 4.4000* 50.08 35.71 63.10* 28.92* HADCM3 5.8761 4.5121 7.3451* 3.6548* 32.57 23.88 40.72* 19.34* NCAR PCM 5.1270 3.7705 6.4088* 3.0164* 25.14 21.47 31.43* 17.18* CGCM2 5.4255 3.9472 15.79 9.34 GFDL-R30 5.8315 4.1773 28.38 18.95 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 6.6359 5.5888 7.2822 5.1109 27.51 21.95 26.85 25.14 CSIRO 6.6184 5.2032 8.2730* 4.9287 41.18 34.63 51.47* 29.20 ECHAM4 4.8091 4.2385 6.0595* 3.4332* 17.31 11.00 21.81* 8.91* HADCM3 4.6344 3.4753 5.7930* 2.8150* 21.31 18.39 26.64* 14.89* NCAR PCM 1.7983 1.3426 2.2479* 1.0741* 13.48 9.03 16.85* 7.22* CGCM2 5.9637 4.2697 23.74 16.59 GFDL-R30 2.5337 2.1654 15.37 4.91 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 13.5468 11.9279 14.2575 11.6188 48.74 37.28 50.49 36.79 CSIRO 6.8410 5.5824 8.5513* 5.3311 32.67 24.28 40.83* 21.87 ECHAM4 8.9701 7.3898 11.3023* 5.9857* 50.34 40.19 63.43* 32.56* HADCM3 6.9420 5.1432 8.6775* 4.1660* 37.86 27.36 47.33* 22.16* NCAR PCM 6.0419 4.5828 7.5523* 3.6662* 27.57 18.20 34.47* 14.56* CGCM2 6.2183 4.9577 12.86 8.27 GFDL-R30 7.2646 4.9608 24.04 19.56 REGION 2 ========= TIME SLICE 2010-2039 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.0709 3.9296 2.4102 2.4989 7.36 9.51 6.52 4.31 CSIRO 3.9996 4.9584 4.3196* 4.2874 10.08 11.72 10.88* 12.09 ECHAM4 3.9241 3.9582 4.3165* 3.4041* 21.19 17.84 23.31* 15.34* HADCM3 2.8505 2.8427 3.1070* 2.4731* 3.66 3.48 3.99* 3.03* NCAR PCM 3.5773 4.3850 3.9350* 3.7711* 18.98 18.97 20.88* 16.31* CGCM2 4.0792 3.7476 1.14 2.82 GFDL-R30 3.0312 2.2222 7.53 6.83 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.4672 1.6237 0.9864 1.1558 3.51 5.19 1.63 3.46 CSIRO 2.5421 3.0722 2.7455* 2.7075 14.25 12.07 15.39* 11.44 ECHAM4 2.8572 2.8444 3.1429* 2.4462* 18.50 15.93 20.35* 13.70* HADCM3 1.4516 1.6401 1.5822* 1.4269* 7.25 8.73 7.90* 7.60* NCAR PCM 1.8498 2.0458 2.0348* 1.7594* 6.07 8.94 6.68* 7.69* CGCM2 1.9743 1.9469 8.00 4.56 GFDL-R30 2.1566 2.0252 5.98 4.02 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.7663 1.2195 0.6736 0.8824 4.90 9.15 2.97 5.48 CSIRO 1.0830 1.2210 1.1696* 1.0838 12.35 18.59 13.34* 13.44 ECHAM4 0.7048 0.6583 0.7753* 0.5661* 2.93 5.16 3.22* 4.44* HADCM3 0.2694 0.2975 0.2936* 0.2588* -0.36 1.36 -0.39* 1.18* NCAR PCM 0.4560 0.5123 0.5016* 0.4406* 0.40 3.62 0.44* 3.12* CGCM2 0.6536 0.6853 5.14 6.80 GFDL-R30 0.5154 0.4248 6.39 3.65 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.1626 5.8451 2.2351 3.9153 8.76 13.19 4.52 8.12 CSIRO 3.4716 4.0395 3.7494* 3.4690 12.26 14.28 13.24* 15.04 ECHAM4 3.6680 3.7664 4.0348* 3.2391* 15.66 16.12 17.23* 13.87* HADCM3 3.1524 3.2771 3.4362* 2.8511* 6.88 7.19 7.50* 6.25* NCAR PCM 2.9669 3.3548 3.2636* 2.8851* 8.33 12.16 9.16* 10.46* CGCM2 4.0795 4.0943 0.19 -0.99 GFDL-R30 3.7628 2.7845 9.72 6.89 TIME SLICE 2040-2069 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 9.0662 11.9697 10.4641 7.3755 20.86 27.05 22.17 20.65 CSIRO 7.8388 7.3985 9.8769* 7.0179 22.45 21.70 28.29* 21.61 ECHAM4 6.6754 6.4523 8.6112* 5.4845* 31.01 30.12 40.00* 25.60* HADCM3 6.7372 5.4789 8.6237* 4.7119* 18.58 12.88 23.78* 11.08* NCAR PCM 6.6586 5.6996 8.5895* 4.8447* 29.41 26.66 37.94* 22.66* CGCM2 8.6751 6.5743 2.26 3.98 GFDL-R30 6.2206 4.4717 18.03 11.56 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.4819 3.8037 3.6427 2.9440 10.93 11.65 8.56 8.94 CSIRO 4.8012 4.5581 6.0496* 4.1786 22.12 18.93 27.87* 20.55 ECHAM4 4.2177 3.8813 5.4408* 3.2991* 25.75 23.95 33.22* 20.35* HADCM3 3.3021 2.6221 4.2267* 2.2550* 13.94 18.10 17.84* 15.57* NCAR PCM 3.6163 3.2145 4.6650* 2.7323* 10.90 11.34 14.07* 9.64* CGCM2 4.3958 3.3509 7.32 5.17 GFDL-R30 4.5632 3.2442 14.32 6.45 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.3952 2.9117 2.6595 2.0720 10.77 14.79 12.85 16.15 CSIRO 1.7906 1.6734 2.2561* 1.5849 25.17 22.71 31.71* 25.77 ECHAM4 1.0053 1.0757 1.2969* 0.9143* 7.65 12.08 9.87* 10.26* HADCM3 0.6723 0.5366 0.8605* 0.4614* 7.75 5.01 9.92* 4.31* NCAR PCM 0.7990 0.7580 1.0306* 0.6443* 6.90 7.40 8.90* 6.29* CGCM2 1.3886 1.0578 11.94 11.30 GFDL-R30 1.0442 0.8425 14.96 11.25 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 10.4309 12.6413 10.6811 8.2844 26.08 33.22 26.07 23.23 CSIRO 6.3945 5.9619 8.0570* 5.7928 21.46 20.98 27.04* 18.50 ECHAM4 6.0836 6.4009 7.8479* 5.4407* 28.17 29.46 36.34* 25.04* HADCM3 6.1670 5.4384 7.8938* 4.6770* 14.27 10.11 18.27* 8.69* NCAR PCM 4.5738 4.0314 5.9002* 3.4267* 15.50 15.81 19.99* 13.44* CGCM2 6.9542 5.9597 2.01 1.43 GFDL-R30 6.6873 5.1936 14.51 13.24 TIME SLICE 2070-2099 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 20.5191 18.1633 21.5313 16.8022 52.92 42.82 56.37 40.91 CSIRO 12.4906 10.3026 15.6132* 9.3530 37.75 31.89 47.18* 30.58 ECHAM4 10.9467 9.1838 13.7928* 7.4389* 52.09 40.01 65.64* 32.41* HADCM3 12.1708 9.1302 15.2135* 7.3955* 34.59 24.41 43.24* 19.77* NCAR PCM 10.8765 7.9781 13.5956* 6.3824* 50.00 36.39 62.50* 29.12* CGCM2 14.2386 9.7033 6.72 3.64 GFDL-R30 11.0222 7.0455 34.07 21.79 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 7.5695 5.6191 8.4623 5.1830 21.49 14.82 21.22 14.72 CSIRO 7.3116 6.2068 9.1396* 5.6557 31.76 27.14 39.70* 26.97 ECHAM4 6.2349 5.2281 7.8559* 4.2348* 43.81 31.34 55.21* 25.39* HADCM3 5.9565 4.4642 7.4456* 3.6160* 31.84 23.92 39.80* 19.37* NCAR PCM 5.5418 4.0649 6.9273* 3.2519* 19.41 16.08 24.27* 12.86* CGCM2 7.1632 5.0284 13.52 9.08 GFDL-R30 7.2548 5.0434 19.96 13.26 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 5.0055 4.0818 5.6064 3.8249 23.55 17.97 21.17 21.69 CSIRO 2.7252 2.2454 3.4065* 2.1256 40.72 32.42 50.90* 34.14 ECHAM4 1.8256 1.5566 2.3002* 1.2609* 19.34 13.77 24.37* 11.15* HADCM3 1.4638 1.0465 1.8297* 0.8477* 11.24 7.59 14.05* 6.15* NCAR PCM 1.3438 1.0850 1.6797* 0.8680* 8.93 5.00 11.16* 4.00* CGCM2 2.3761 1.5428 21.64 16.41 GFDL-R30 1.7834 1.2649 19.30 13.35 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 15.4533 14.3898 16.0638 14.1011 46.38 38.96 49.12 39.13 CSIRO 9.2354 8.1436 11.5442* 7.7537 30.81 27.26 38.51* 25.86 ECHAM4 9.5537 8.4612 12.0376* 6.8536* 45.83 35.83 57.74* 29.02* HADCM3 9.3926 7.7703 11.7407* 6.2940* 27.28 20.78 34.10* 16.83* NCAR PCM 7.8441 5.8134 9.8051* 4.6507* 27.65 16.12 34.57* 12.90* CGCM2 8.9253 7.4721 7.29 3.15 GFDL-R30 9.7646 6.8295 25.86 17.27 REGION 3 ========= TIME SLICE 2010-2039 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.1523 1.0879 1.0963 0.8787 1.97 1.80 1.70 1.68 CSIRO 1.1450 1.1286 1.2366* 0.8613 6.86 5.77 7.40* 2.43 ECHAM4 1.4102 1.5141 1.5513* 1.3021* 11.15 13.03 12.27* 11.21* HADCM3 0.7895 1.0030 0.8606* 0.8726* 3.70 3.23 4.03* 2.81* NCAR PCM 1.2579 1.1256 1.3837* 0.9680* 5.82 4.39 6.40* 3.78* CGCM2 1.5391 1.4971 2.06 2.46 GFDL-R30 1.1436 1.0900 1.41 5.41 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.9552 1.0308 0.8489 0.5453 1.99 2.04 1.32 -0.03 CSIRO 1.0527 1.2184 1.1369* 1.1189 10.86 11.80 11.72* 8.70 ECHAM4 1.8666 1.6844 2.0532* 1.4486* 12.43 10.02 13.68* 8.62* HADCM3 1.1498 0.9385 1.2533* 0.8165* 5.97 5.96 6.51* 5.19* NCAR PCM 1.9186 2.2196 2.1105* 1.9088* 10.83 12.07 11.91* 10.38* CGCM2 1.9907 2.0680 4.22 5.47 GFDL-R30 0.7521 1.5090 5.09 8.87 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.2316 1.3690 1.1611 1.0486 2.58 3.41 1.74 2.79 CSIRO 0.9995 1.0858 1.0794* 1.0574 8.66 11.34 9.35* 10.86 ECHAM4 1.3670 1.4405 1.5037* 1.2388* 10.89 8.90 11.97* 7.66* HADCM3 1.3908 1.1738 1.5160* 1.0212* 8.44 8.98 9.20* 7.81* NCAR PCM 1.9601 2.1578 2.1561* 1.8557* 10.02 12.56 11.02* 10.80* CGCM2 1.9973 1.9890 3.51 4.30 GFDL-R30 1.2496 1.1720 10.87 7.71 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.8236 0.7689 0.8382 0.7965 1.62 2.88 2.66 2.58 CSIRO 1.0202 1.0946 1.1018* 1.0504 3.42 7.45 3.69* 5.40 ECHAM4 1.6781 1.8197 1.8459* 1.5649* 13.77 15.44 15.15* 13.28* HADCM3 0.9198 1.0060 1.0025* 0.8753* 4.29 2.92 4.68* 2.54* NCAR PCM 1.6002 1.8703 1.7602* 1.6084* 7.79 7.35 8.57* 6.32* CGCM2 1.4290 1.7609 3.66 3.40 GFDL-R30 0.8116 1.1164 6.51 6.95 TIME SLICE 2040-2069 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.2031 1.7684 2.4541 1.6215 4.52 4.10 4.81 3.77 CSIRO 2.0274 2.0396 2.5545* 1.6638 8.91 12.37 11.23* 6.74 ECHAM4 2.2329 1.9214 2.8805* 1.6332* 14.53 14.79 18.74* 12.57* HADCM3 1.9928 1.7323 2.5508* 1.4898* 3.60 4.57 4.60* 3.93* NCAR PCM 1.9861 1.7229 2.5621* 1.4644* 7.37 7.28 9.51* 6.19* CGCM2 2.7784 2.3702 4.10 4.02 GFDL-R30 2.0052 1.7865 5.35 6.69 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.1322 1.7891 2.5690 1.5504 5.73 5.41 7.14 3.61 CSIRO 2.1833 2.1130 2.7510* 1.8482 16.76 15.56 21.11* 15.18 ECHAM4 2.6426 2.2611 3.4090* 1.9219* 14.07 11.23 18.15* 9.54* HADCM3 2.1719 1.9478 2.7800* 1.6751* 10.76 9.62 13.78* 8.27* NCAR PCM 3.0215 2.8260 3.8977* 2.4021* 16.96 16.64 21.88* 14.14* CGCM2 3.7354 2.7688 9.12 6.62 GFDL-R30 2.0016 2.1841 13.66 11.89 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.5174 2.0727 2.6496 1.8513 7.19 6.47 7.95 5.02 CSIRO 2.0757 2.0401 2.6153* 2.0311 16.44 18.11 20.72* 19.79 ECHAM4 1.9523 1.6694 2.5185* 1.4190* 11.69 6.97 15.08* 5.93* HADCM3 3.0159 1.9234 3.8603* 1.6541* 14.57 7.71 18.65* 6.63* NCAR PCM 3.0792 3.0771 3.9722* 2.6156* 16.05 17.18 20.71* 14.60* CGCM2 3.7745 3.2210 8.73 7.88 GFDL-R30 1.6946 1.8434 14.12 11.95 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.8408 1.5350 2.1269 1.3308 5.16 5.65 7.38 4.52 CSIRO 1.8145 1.8741 2.2862* 1.7637 9.37 13.47 11.81* 8.71 ECHAM4 2.4520 2.0341 3.1631* 1.7290* 13.43 11.87 17.33* 10.09* HADCM3 1.9944 1.2967 2.5529* 1.1151* 9.76 3.99 12.49* 3.44* NCAR PCM 2.5605 2.0433 3.3030* 1.7368* 9.02 8.66 11.64* 7.36* CGCM2 2.9609 2.6608 7.11 6.22 GFDL-R30 1.5832 1.7648 9.89 11.77 TIME SLICE 2070-2099 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.7708 2.5597 4.5606 2.3992 8.08 5.21 10.73 5.91 CSIRO 3.6322 2.7433 4.5402* 2.4038 19.77 16.06 24.71* 14.73 ECHAM4 4.2076 2.9170 5.3016* 2.3628* 31.68 20.04 39.91* 16.24* HADCM3 3.6737 3.2349 4.5922* 2.6203* 8.68 7.98 10.84* 6.46* NCAR PCM 2.8306 2.5164 3.5382* 2.0131* 9.40 8.34 11.75* 6.68* CGCM2 4.4397 3.3279 5.94 5.17 GFDL-R30 3.2503 2.1888 8.81 8.56 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.9503 2.8142 4.8591 2.5809 12.99 8.01 16.30 7.96 CSIRO 4.0679 3.1088 5.0849* 2.7990 30.70 25.66 38.38* 23.79 ECHAM4 4.8967 3.7340 6.1699* 3.0245* 33.26 26.83 41.90* 21.73* HADCM3 4.1142 2.8643 5.1427* 2.3201* 22.68 15.71 28.35* 12.72* NCAR PCM 4.1288 3.4373 5.1611* 2.7498* 24.42 18.76 30.52* 15.01* CGCM2 5.9998 4.5414 14.92 10.67 GFDL-R30 3.3530 2.5404 20.19 15.21 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.1556 3.0552 4.8774 2.8614 13.08 9.69 15.41 8.34 CSIRO 3.9539 2.8073 4.9423* 2.6802 34.95 27.94 43.69* 27.05 ECHAM4 3.7839 2.9343 4.7677* 2.3768* 25.77 18.91 32.46* 15.32* HADCM3 3.7969 3.1925 4.7461* 2.5859* 21.63 19.35 27.03* 15.68* NCAR PCM 4.2645 3.2733 5.3306* 2.6187* 27.11 19.42 33.89* 15.53* CGCM2 6.2964 4.5891 15.27 9.98 GFDL-R30 3.1098 2.0656 20.87 13.37 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.4081 2.4279 3.6721 2.1553 10.81 7.56 11.81 7.44 CSIRO 3.6254 2.7312 4.5317* 2.6426 25.98 19.21 32.47* 18.84 ECHAM4 3.8943 2.8580 4.9068* 2.3150* 23.99 20.76 30.23* 16.81* HADCM3 3.2103 2.4380 4.0129* 1.9748* 16.67 12.24 20.84* 9.92* NCAR PCM 3.5188 2.9841 4.3985* 2.3873* 12.92 14.97 16.15* 11.98* CGCM2 4.9407 3.7567 12.29 8.62 GFDL-R30 2.6594 1.8143 15.03 10.87 REGION 4 ========= TIME SLICE 2010-2039 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.3466 0.3933 0.3390 0.3101 1.24 1.93 2.85 1.92 CSIRO 0.6984 0.8138 0.7543* 0.6785 3.94 2.90 4.25* 5.27 ECHAM4 0.1597 0.1695 0.1757* 0.1457* 4.90 4.60 5.39* 3.96* HADCM3 0.2790 0.2575 0.3041* 0.2240* 7.67 5.91 8.36* 5.14* NCAR PCM 0.9529 0.9580 1.0482* 0.8239* 8.95 10.60 9.84* 9.11* CGCM2 0.9377 0.9180 3.51 3.41 GFDL-R30 0.4029 0.6086 5.88 6.08 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.5458 0.5841 0.4237 0.3949 1.43 2.06 2.69 2.40 CSIRO 0.8980 1.0451 0.9699* 0.8705 4.37 5.08 4.72* 3.70 ECHAM4 0.5999 0.4600 0.6599* 0.3956* 4.92 4.52 5.41* 3.89* HADCM3 0.5465 0.5779 0.5957* 0.5028* 5.96 5.18 6.49* 4.50* NCAR PCM 1.8118 1.8254 1.9929* 1.5698* 4.67 4.99 5.14* 4.29* CGCM2 1.5265 1.4421 3.15 2.79 GFDL-R30 0.7429 1.1436 5.51 4.13 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.4125 0.5472 0.3515 0.3595 0.78 2.08 1.91 1.69 CSIRO 1.4025 1.5481 1.5147* 1.3851 3.07 3.72 3.31* 3.46 ECHAM4 0.7487 0.5340 0.8235* 0.4592* 3.90 3.61 4.29* 3.11* HADCM3 1.0095 1.0525 1.1003* 0.9157* 2.63 3.65 2.87* 3.17* NCAR PCM 2.3380 2.3649 2.5718* 2.0338* 5.65 5.02 6.22* 4.32* CGCM2 2.0407 1.9833 2.87 2.87 GFDL-R30 0.8932 1.2139 2.81 4.61 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.2660 0.3876 0.2697 0.2892 1.05 0.83 1.60 0.77 CSIRO 0.8945 1.0684 0.9661* 0.9627 6.39 6.01 6.90* 4.67 ECHAM4 0.5229 0.4641 0.5752* 0.3991* 3.38 2.62 3.72* 2.25* HADCM3 0.8033 0.6951 0.8756* 0.6048* 4.07 3.71 4.44* 3.23* NCAR PCM 1.2729 1.3266 1.4002* 1.1408* 3.22 4.45 3.54* 3.83* CGCM2 1.2370 1.3022 3.29 2.54 GFDL-R30 0.7633 0.8631 3.86 5.02 TIME SLICE 2040-2069 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.7413 0.6656 0.8570 0.5499 2.07 3.20 3.79 3.21 CSIRO 1.3057 1.4115 1.6452* 1.1777 6.89 6.49 8.68* 7.05 ECHAM4 0.1987 0.1725 0.2563* 0.1466* 7.92 7.33 10.21* 6.23* HADCM3 0.6991 0.4532 0.8949* 0.3898* 8.91 5.84 11.40* 5.02* NCAR PCM 1.2289 1.1785 1.5853* 1.0017* 8.38 8.31 10.81* 7.07* CGCM2 2.0003 1.5898 6.17 5.15 GFDL-R30 0.8513 0.9179 11.10 8.42 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.0592 0.9836 1.2818 0.7368 4.93 4.52 5.96 4.12 CSIRO 1.6092 1.7404 2.0275* 1.4579 8.97 8.33 11.30* 6.82 ECHAM4 0.5927 0.4423 0.7646* 0.3759* 8.29 8.07 10.70* 6.86* HADCM3 1.3345 0.9756 1.7082* 0.8390* 11.03 7.89 14.12* 6.79* NCAR PCM 2.3532 2.3068 3.0356* 1.9608* 6.53 6.10 8.42* 5.18* CGCM2 2.9757 2.3846 6.17 6.48 GFDL-R30 1.6304 1.8537 8.10 7.73 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.9615 0.9077 1.0495 0.6626 3.29 4.19 3.87 2.37 CSIRO 2.4946 2.6268 3.1432* 2.3386 6.62 6.65 8.35* 5.58 ECHAM4 0.5700 0.4417 0.7353* 0.3755* 7.07 7.20 9.12* 6.12* HADCM3 2.2856 1.6384 2.9255* 1.4090* 7.82 7.34 10.00* 6.31* NCAR PCM 2.8792 2.9012 3.7141* 2.4660* 6.51 6.28 8.40* 5.34* CGCM2 4.1344 3.3222 6.89 4.25 GFDL-R30 1.7956 1.9054 8.67 7.37 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.6624 0.6170 0.7774 0.5229 3.74 4.10 4.27 1.74 CSIRO 1.8326 1.9245 2.3091* 1.6349 8.92 7.60 11.24* 10.33 ECHAM4 0.5580 0.4772 0.7198* 0.4056* 6.25 5.62 8.06* 4.78* HADCM3 1.7174 1.1491 2.1983* 0.9882* 8.08 6.07 10.34* 5.22* NCAR PCM 1.5400 1.5657 1.9866* 1.3308* 4.98 6.07 6.42* 5.16* CGCM2 2.9604 2.3408 4.94 3.43 GFDL-R30 1.3253 1.4433 10.59 7.17 TIME SLICE 2070-2099 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.0990 0.8865 1.2835 0.8203 5.03 5.44 6.41 5.05 CSIRO 2.6663 1.9885 3.3329* 1.8661 13.37 9.13 16.71* 9.07 ECHAM4 0.7942 0.5535 1.0007* 0.4483* 12.80 10.76 16.12* 8.72* HADCM3 1.1010 0.8459 1.3762* 0.6851* 12.26 4.39 15.33* 3.55* NCAR PCM 1.7016 1.5414 2.1270* 1.2331* 11.59 6.69 14.49* 5.36* CGCM2 3.3672 2.5453 9.93 7.01 GFDL-R30 1.4527 1.0832 18.37 12.61 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.7713 1.3455 2.1820 1.1868 6.89 6.48 10.60 5.28 CSIRO 3.1867 2.3455 3.9834* 2.2151 16.63 12.11 20.78* 10.53 ECHAM4 1.8493 1.1968 2.3302* 0.9694* 15.01 10.04 18.92* 8.13* HADCM3 2.1510 1.5665 2.6888* 1.2689* 15.47 11.27 19.34* 9.13* NCAR PCM 3.1489 2.9248 3.9361* 2.3398* 10.03 8.12 12.54* 6.50* CGCM2 4.6551 3.6798 13.04 8.09 GFDL-R30 2.6633 2.1154 14.07 11.59 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.3177 1.1546 1.5045 0.8877 5.18 5.41 6.05 3.95 CSIRO 4.6625 3.5625 5.8281* 3.4406 13.98 10.60 17.47* 9.24 ECHAM4 2.3079 1.2993 2.9080* 1.0525* 15.31 9.31 19.29* 7.54* HADCM3 3.5117 2.4986 4.3897* 2.0239* 14.68 9.50 18.35* 7.70* NCAR PCM 3.7824 3.2500 4.7280* 2.6000* 10.09 8.33 12.61* 6.66* CGCM2 6.5558 5.0767 9.99 7.30 GFDL-R30 2.9135 2.0868 14.89 11.72 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.9032 0.8213 0.9734 0.7517 5.44 3.77 7.11 3.71 CSIRO 3.6923 2.7453 4.6153* 2.5856 15.99 12.28 19.99* 10.35 ECHAM4 1.6045 1.0265 2.0217* 0.8314* 14.03 9.07 17.67* 7.35* HADCM3 2.5760 1.8110 3.2200* 1.4669* 13.50 6.75 16.87* 5.47* NCAR PCM 2.0314 1.8629 2.5392* 1.4903* 8.08 5.91 10.10* 4.73* CGCM2 4.9937 3.8001 8.15 4.89 GFDL-R30 2.0249 1.5071 14.01 10.68 REGION 5 ========= TIME SLICE 2010-2039 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.4598 1.9462 1.4214 1.0403 -0.57 6.75 4.75 6.15 CSIRO 1.8034 3.1992 1.9477* 2.5326 7.95 11.63 8.58* 7.27 ECHAM4 2.9468 2.9595 3.2414* 2.5452* 18.22 13.38 20.04* 11.50* HADCM3 1.3871 0.6277 1.5120* 0.5461* 7.19 9.37 7.83* 8.15* NCAR PCM 1.5745 3.2151 1.7319* 2.7650* 1.02 7.44 1.12* 6.40* CGCM2 0.8424 1.3361 -1.63 1.03 GFDL-R30 1.9340 1.2178 7.07 5.32 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.6296 2.2414 1.4753 1.7856 7.93 13.30 11.10 11.08 CSIRO 1.4488 2.8031 1.5647* 2.5806 8.38 14.87 9.05* 13.47 ECHAM4 2.4515 2.3163 2.6967* 1.9920* 8.79 1.61 9.67* 1.39* HADCM3 0.5247 0.9811 0.5719* 0.8536* 2.38 3.16 2.60* 2.75* NCAR PCM 1.0339 1.3252 1.1373* 1.1397* 7.18 9.79 7.90* 8.42* CGCM2 1.1383 1.1332 5.35 4.33 GFDL-R30 1.5063 1.1060 10.05 3.36 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.6299 1.4469 0.4021 1.1368 -3.03 2.93 -5.06 -0.28 CSIRO 1.9235 2.2669 2.0773* 2.2786 7.69 9.26 8.31* 10.78 ECHAM4 1.3545 1.5594 1.4900* 1.3411* 4.37 7.93 4.81* 6.82* HADCM3 1.1745 1.4654 1.2802* 1.2749* 6.87 5.76 7.49* 5.01* NCAR PCM 0.4717 0.6177 0.5189* 0.5312* 3.65 6.80 4.02* 5.85* CGCM2 1.4637 1.4810 3.85 3.16 GFDL-R30 1.2292 1.4852 3.04 1.57 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.2843 2.3316 0.5131 1.6416 6.63 10.71 4.66 6.24 CSIRO 2.5344 2.7545 2.7371* 2.7529 7.40 11.23 8.00* 11.07 ECHAM4 1.3835 1.9554 1.5218* 1.6817* 7.23 7.24 7.95* 6.22* HADCM3 1.2705 1.3113 1.3849* 1.1409* 11.34 10.99 12.36* 9.56* NCAR PCM 1.3642 1.7578 1.5006* 1.5117* 9.14 9.67 10.06* 8.32* CGCM2 1.2150 1.1772 4.36 2.82 GFDL-R30 2.3849 0.9415 6.72 4.51 TIME SLICE 2040-2069 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 5.1711 5.8562 5.3929 3.3921 18.95 24.41 16.80 18.32 CSIRO 4.0219 3.5116 5.0676* 3.7875 14.16 20.97 17.84* 16.94 ECHAM4 5.8603 5.9095 7.5598* 5.0230* 23.33 20.83 30.10* 17.71* HADCM3 2.2774 1.6360 2.9150* 1.4069* 13.47 24.13 17.25* 20.75* NCAR PCM 3.9489 3.6494 5.0940* 3.1020* 9.12 15.83 11.76* 13.46* CGCM2 4.5883 2.8881 1.47 0.23 GFDL-R30 3.2416 4.0065 16.60 11.43 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.4619 5.1122 4.6432 3.2202 28.31 33.32 27.37 25.59 CSIRO 3.8978 4.5414 4.9113* 4.0360 19.48 24.54 24.54* 22.78 ECHAM4 3.4648 3.0870 4.4696* 2.6240* 9.24 8.56 11.93* 7.28* HADCM3 1.7454 0.9470 2.2341* 0.8144* 16.85 10.63 21.56* 9.15* NCAR PCM 2.1364 1.7483 2.7559* 1.4860* 16.18 17.57 20.87* 14.93* CGCM2 3.6148 2.5933 9.96 6.75 GFDL-R30 2.6662 2.2873 19.66 7.79 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.1700 3.0011 2.5019 2.0490 -0.96 2.79 -0.48 -1.42 CSIRO 3.4115 3.3979 4.2985* 3.2612 12.72 13.45 16.03* 13.38 ECHAM4 2.3490 2.8661 3.0302* 2.4362* 12.07 9.67 15.58* 8.22* HADCM3 2.7285 2.1113 3.4925* 1.8157* 11.12 10.79 14.23* 9.28* NCAR PCM 1.2625 0.8733 1.6286* 0.7423* 9.69 9.65 12.50* 8.20* CGCM2 2.9591 2.3505 6.98 4.84 GFDL-R30 2.2371 2.3159 8.16 9.06 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.9924 4.6577 4.7962 3.4214 22.13 19.40 21.39 18.07 CSIRO 3.4541 3.9707 4.3521* 3.6327 14.00 16.35 17.64* 13.76 ECHAM4 3.3397 3.7551 4.3082* 3.1919* 12.83 15.86 16.56* 13.48* HADCM3 2.6950 2.1745 3.4496* 1.8700* 17.54 13.05 22.45* 11.22* NCAR PCM 2.8690 2.0396 3.7011* 1.7337* 18.47 12.71 23.83* 10.81* CGCM2 1.9690 1.7182 8.55 6.30 GFDL-R30 3.9482 2.4799 17.32 7.86 TIME SLICE 2070-2099 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 11.8123 9.0870 12.9751 8.2753 42.80 23.22 46.21 24.78 CSIRO 6.9038 6.3471 8.6298* 4.4016 32.68 33.28 40.85* 17.66 ECHAM4 8.8815 8.2091 11.1907* 6.6494* 32.46 33.46 40.90* 27.10* HADCM3 4.4471 3.6351 5.5589* 2.9444* 30.30 28.27 37.87* 22.90* NCAR PCM 7.6062 4.9943 9.5078* 3.9954* 23.95 20.69 29.93* 16.55* CGCM2 7.1980 5.0233 2.44 5.14 GFDL-R30 5.7079 4.8276 20.05 12.01 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 10.3140 7.8779 11.8074 7.0863 53.18 44.34 59.57 42.20 CSIRO 7.3447 5.9193 9.1809* 4.5333 41.76 33.36 52.20* 24.24 ECHAM4 5.5100 4.4000 6.9426* 3.5640* 16.09 5.77 20.27* 4.67* HADCM3 3.6692 2.6961 4.5865* 2.1839* 20.19 17.90 25.23* 14.50* NCAR PCM 3.8652 1.7668 4.8315* 1.4134* 23.09 18.77 28.86* 15.01* CGCM2 5.6265 4.0318 12.91 10.31 GFDL-R30 4.8196 3.5015 30.53 17.48 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 5.5374 4.6369 6.0609 3.9779 5.67 11.10 9.04 6.38 CSIRO 5.1788 4.3628 6.4735* 3.9124 26.35 21.46 32.93* 19.14 ECHAM4 4.1392 3.6842 5.2154* 2.9842* 13.13 12.60 16.54* 10.21* HADCM3 4.6725 3.2410 5.8406* 2.6252* 18.45 17.63 23.07* 14.28* NCAR PCM 1.9308 1.3734 2.4135* 1.0987* 16.79 10.59 20.98* 8.47* CGCM2 4.4436 3.2755 12.45 7.75 GFDL-R30 3.4831 2.6380 11.26 10.64 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 8.5212 7.2099 8.9667 6.8046 39.73 29.74 38.93 26.10 CSIRO 5.9362 4.7621 7.4202* 4.4967 29.18 20.28 36.48* 17.93 ECHAM4 6.2058 5.0268 7.8193* 4.0717* 24.53 14.78 30.90* 11.97* HADCM3 4.4645 3.2629 5.5806* 2.6430* 31.73 22.01 39.66* 17.83* NCAR PCM 4.0784 2.9355 5.0980* 2.3484* 21.40 15.41 26.75* 12.33* CGCM2 2.9240 2.4515 9.17 6.58 GFDL-R30 5.6256 3.8211 22.85 13.81 REGION 6 ========= TIME SLICE 2010-2039 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.4358 2.9607 1.1386 1.1682 5.67 10.37 5.35 5.48 CSIRO 2.5038 2.7674 2.7041* 2.6403 12.01 10.59 12.97* 10.85 ECHAM4 2.7233 3.3266 2.9956* 2.8608* 7.52 12.04 8.27* 10.36* HADCM3 1.2879 1.5582 1.4038* 1.3556* 5.85 11.13 6.38* 9.69* NCAR PCM 2.3768 2.8468 2.6145* 2.4482* 6.05 8.23 6.66* 7.08* CGCM2 2.5065 2.5613 1.52 3.13 GFDL-R30 2.2530 1.4480 9.33 6.93 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.6934 2.5725 1.5540 1.3042 9.37 14.48 8.17 8.07 CSIRO 2.4915 2.6691 2.6908* 2.5053 16.67 17.01 18.00* 16.49 ECHAM4 2.0525 1.7518 2.2577* 1.5066* 0.81 3.85 0.89* 3.31* HADCM3 1.1422 1.3826 1.2450* 1.2028* 7.14 2.63 7.79* 2.29* NCAR PCM 2.2426 2.0924 2.4668* 1.7995* 4.16 4.83 4.58* 4.15* CGCM2 1.5033 1.2453 1.31 -2.30 GFDL-R30 0.5358 1.0130 3.76 3.98 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.4158 2.1368 1.1870 1.0781 1.34 5.11 -0.65 -0.07 CSIRO 1.9666 2.2483 2.1240* 2.1099 5.12 6.81 5.53* 7.29 ECHAM4 1.7287 1.6959 1.9015* 1.4585* -1.64 1.00 -1.80* 0.86* HADCM3 1.2912 1.5391 1.4074* 1.3390* 4.47 7.02 4.87* 6.11* NCAR PCM 0.7351 0.8766 0.8086* 0.7539* 2.03 5.20 2.23* 4.47* CGCM2 2.2922 2.2527 8.11 3.50 GFDL-R30 1.3170 1.5300 1.77 -0.93 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.8863 2.7332 1.2019 1.5868 3.42 6.97 3.30 4.24 CSIRO 1.7604 2.2136 1.9012* 1.7911 3.38 0.91 3.65* 1.35 ECHAM4 1.7955 2.0129 1.9750* 1.7311* 6.52 3.93 7.18* 3.38* HADCM3 1.5088 1.5612 1.6446* 1.3583* 6.48 6.88 7.06* 5.99* NCAR PCM 1.0473 1.3859 1.1520* 1.1918* 4.89 4.20 5.38* 3.61* CGCM2 1.2815 1.4349 0.78 -0.24 GFDL-R30 1.7445 1.4408 1.86 1.29 TIME SLICE 2040-2069 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 5.5837 5.8326 6.6206 4.1654 17.12 14.82 16.17 16.07 CSIRO 4.6501 4.2283 5.8591* 4.0829 18.96 21.34 23.89* 20.01 ECHAM4 5.6013 6.8472 7.2256* 5.8201* 15.41 19.14 19.88* 16.27* HADCM3 3.1548 2.5775 4.0381* 2.2167* 14.80 10.41 18.95* 8.95* NCAR PCM 4.4965 4.2376 5.8005* 3.6019* 13.66 13.81 17.63* 11.73* CGCM2 5.0336 4.3192 2.38 4.42 GFDL-R30 3.7500 3.4438 16.09 7.85 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.5987 4.5962 4.4824 3.8985 24.37 24.14 22.04 24.30 CSIRO 4.1942 3.6877 5.2847* 3.7398 25.72 20.96 32.40* 21.57 ECHAM4 2.7449 3.3391 3.5410* 2.8383* 9.45 8.23 12.19* 6.99* HADCM3 2.4776 2.0880 3.1713* 1.7957* 6.54 9.17 8.37* 7.89* NCAR PCM 2.9686 2.7581 3.8295* 2.3443* 7.37 8.95 9.51* 7.61* CGCM2 2.8371 2.1845 5.96 6.29 GFDL-R30 1.9260 2.2872 10.38 9.58 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.0375 3.5482 3.4510 3.1271 3.70 9.92 7.12 6.99 CSIRO 3.4911 3.3006 4.3988* 3.3315 12.06 9.02 15.19* 10.07 ECHAM4 2.8683 3.0227 3.7001* 2.5693* 0.63 0.75 0.81* 0.64* HADCM3 2.9545 2.6371 3.7818* 2.2679* 8.51 10.58 10.90* 9.10* NCAR PCM 1.4686 1.4132 1.8945* 1.2012* 4.78 6.28 6.16* 5.34* CGCM2 4.0649 2.9788 7.61 8.24 GFDL-R30 2.6003 2.5001 0.72 -2.86 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.8152 5.1044 4.9278 4.0721 10.56 12.51 12.97 9.16 CSIRO 3.1157 3.1378 3.9257* 3.1414 7.52 8.02 9.48* 6.19 ECHAM4 3.4309 3.6138 4.4259* 3.0717* 9.33 8.62 12.04* 7.32* HADCM3 2.9704 2.5362 3.8021* 2.1812* 12.69 11.19 16.24* 9.62* NCAR PCM 2.1958 2.2345 2.8325* 1.8993* 5.11 7.99 6.59* 6.79* CGCM2 2.3808 2.0576 2.89 3.04 GFDL-R30 3.0056 2.5570 4.32 6.27 TIME SLICE 2070-2099 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 14.5751 12.1991 16.3079 10.1935 36.65 24.87 38.64 21.28 CSIRO 7.6155 5.9572 9.5193* 5.8453 34.46 23.93 43.07* 28.26 ECHAM4 9.5406 7.9679 12.0211* 6.4540* 33.61 23.81 42.35* 19.29* HADCM3 5.8117 4.2682 7.2646* 3.4573* 23.43 20.95 29.29* 16.97* NCAR PCM 7.5520 5.8652 9.4399* 4.6922* 23.84 20.76 29.80* 16.61* CGCM2 7.7349 5.6366 4.40 4.27 GFDL-R30 5.9907 4.9873 23.34 15.68 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 9.2959 6.7057 10.5281 6.5584 38.15 27.27 37.64 30.28 CSIRO 7.8355 5.5670 9.7944* 5.4145 43.88 32.48 54.85* 30.11 ECHAM4 5.4413 4.4685 6.8560* 3.6195* 11.88 10.79 14.97* 8.74* HADCM3 4.5347 3.1131 5.6683* 2.5216* 14.31 6.66 17.88* 5.40* NCAR PCM 4.9204 3.8636 6.1505* 3.0909* 14.02 14.92 17.53* 11.94* CGCM2 4.8085 3.3514 11.87 6.45 GFDL-R30 3.3825 2.8373 18.56 12.80 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 6.3582 5.1946 7.1578 4.8012 16.79 11.26 12.93 14.01 CSIRO 5.6412 4.4735 7.0515* 4.1093 11.78 8.69 14.73* 9.65 ECHAM4 4.6072 3.6185 5.8051* 2.9310* 0.17 5.55 0.22* 4.50* HADCM3 5.0770 3.7719 6.3462* 3.0552* 11.06 13.19 13.83* 10.68* NCAR PCM 2.4109 1.7668 3.0137* 1.4135* 9.99 6.28 12.49* 5.03* CGCM2 5.8390 4.4752 12.98 11.53 GFDL-R30 3.8062 2.7522 3.02 1.76 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 9.8542 8.4645 10.5681 7.4293 24.14 21.87 19.57 20.03 CSIRO 5.4203 4.1625 6.7754* 3.9181 12.09 5.27 15.11* 7.81 ECHAM4 5.6135 4.3210 7.0730* 3.5000* 16.37 12.42 20.62* 10.06* HADCM3 5.1758 3.5664 6.4698* 2.8888* 17.96 18.18 22.45* 14.73* NCAR PCM 3.6486 2.9029 4.5607* 2.3223* 15.06 12.68 18.83* 10.14* CGCM2 3.5775 2.7253 11.08 4.40 GFDL-R30 4.5534 3.6299 8.72 6.09 REGION 7 ========= TIME SLICE 2010-2039 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.8771 1.1978 0.1565 0.9536 3.55 -0.10 -4.22 -1.98 CSIRO 1.6174 2.2810 1.7468* 2.0478 6.39 5.57 6.90* 9.56 ECHAM4 1.6804 1.6907 1.8484* 1.4540* 1.42 9.59 1.56* 8.25* HADCM3 0.7700 1.2116 0.8393* 1.0541* 2.78 2.11 3.03* 1.84* NCAR PCM 0.3180 1.4316 0.3498* 1.2312* 2.29 -0.30 2.52* -0.26* CGCM2 1.2869 1.4037 7.77 7.65 GFDL-R30 1.4383 1.2763 12.37 5.94 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.5118 1.8203 1.0134 1.3227 -1.00 -1.09 -6.10 -4.53 CSIRO 0.9987 1.8717 1.0786* 1.4882 2.42 1.75 2.61* 4.45 ECHAM4 1.6850 1.5057 1.8535* 1.2949* 3.38 1.77 3.72* 1.53* HADCM3 0.9040 1.3500 0.9853* 1.1745* -0.04 -2.65 -0.05* -2.31* NCAR PCM 0.5484 0.7748 0.6033* 0.6663* 2.93 4.22 3.22* 3.63* CGCM2 1.5753 1.3574 2.01 -0.69 GFDL-R30 1.6658 1.2809 2.00 6.34 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.0841 2.5465 1.5332 1.7349 -8.37 -5.76 -9.37 -6.23 CSIRO 1.3541 1.8852 1.4625* 1.6078 -1.51 -2.31 -1.63* -0.46 ECHAM4 2.1019 2.0022 2.3121* 1.7219* -7.10 -2.18 -7.81* -1.87* HADCM3 1.7553 2.1313 1.9133* 1.8542* -4.04 -7.86 -4.40* -6.83* NCAR PCM 0.8597 1.1794 0.9456* 1.0142* 1.30 -0.65 1.43* -0.56* CGCM2 1.6702 1.6543 -6.72 -4.80 GFDL-R30 1.2695 1.4303 2.92 -0.29 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.5759 2.0902 1.0472 1.2951 -6.70 -7.39 -9.41 -7.67 CSIRO 1.4822 1.5149 1.6008* 1.4731 -1.48 -1.91 -1.60* -1.17 ECHAM4 1.6584 1.6330 1.8243* 1.4044* 0.45 2.88 0.49* 2.48* HADCM3 1.5511 1.6294 1.6908* 1.4175* 1.20 0.99 1.31* 0.86* NCAR PCM 0.4799 1.2960 0.5279* 1.1146* -4.23 -4.35 -4.65* -3.74* CGCM2 1.1556 0.9133 -0.70 -0.49 GFDL-R30 1.2557 1.2489 2.53 4.07 TIME SLICE 2040-2069 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.5668 3.7242 4.1137 3.2359 -4.71 -0.21 0.65 -4.51 CSIRO 3.2812 3.1499 4.1343* 3.1808 11.18 7.89 14.09* 8.66 ECHAM4 2.8374 3.0871 3.6602* 2.6240* 7.80 13.40 10.06* 11.39* HADCM3 1.8110 1.2927 2.3180* 1.1117* 6.22 -0.29 7.96* -0.25* NCAR PCM 1.7384 1.4702 2.2425* 1.2496* 7.65 1.40 9.87* 1.19* CGCM2 3.0349 2.5387 11.08 11.21 GFDL-R30 2.6842 2.3544 16.99 11.86 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.1720 3.8357 3.9599 3.4712 -7.82 -4.92 -7.92 -6.73 CSIRO 2.6072 2.9256 3.2851* 2.5218 11.94 7.67 15.04* 8.43 ECHAM4 2.5507 2.2100 3.2904* 1.8785* 2.71 5.96 3.50* 5.07* HADCM3 2.1007 1.8096 2.6889* 1.5562* -4.34 -4.04 -5.56* -3.47* NCAR PCM 1.3438 1.2165 1.7336* 1.0340* 3.79 3.57 4.89* 3.04* CGCM2 3.4142 2.7420 2.10 3.63 GFDL-R30 2.6095 2.0887 4.88 8.95 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.9500 4.8182 5.2607 4.3730 -15.83 -8.29 -14.05 -13.70 CSIRO 2.8061 2.8483 3.5357* 2.6469 -4.64 -1.81 -5.85* -1.77 ECHAM4 3.7420 3.3993 4.8271* 2.8894* -9.41 -2.81 -12.13* -2.39* HADCM3 3.8522 3.5832 4.9308* 3.0815* -7.25 -8.96 -9.28* -7.71* NCAR PCM 1.9267 1.8578 2.4855* 1.5791* 1.46 0.58 1.89* 0.50* CGCM2 2.7487 2.1375 -4.24 -3.12 GFDL-R30 2.7381 2.4701 0.64 3.43 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.4978 4.0812 4.2756 3.5269 -11.43 -11.25 -20.79 -14.79 CSIRO 2.5170 2.7004 3.1715* 2.5291 5.68 5.19 7.15* 5.73 ECHAM4 3.0610 2.9238 3.9487* 2.4853* 2.44 -2.02 3.15* -1.72* HADCM3 2.6141 2.9242 3.3461* 2.5148* 4.67 7.62 5.97* 6.55* NCAR PCM 1.6761 1.6267 2.1621* 1.3827* -1.72 0.94 -2.22* 0.80* CGCM2 2.2029 1.6806 3.72 3.36 GFDL-R30 2.7950 2.1477 3.54 8.80 TIME SLICE 2070-2099 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 7.1076 4.7974 7.5360 4.8793 -5.05 3.06 -5.22 1.32 CSIRO 5.2661 4.3483 6.5826* 3.9642 19.44 8.50 24.30* 19.42 ECHAM4 4.4903 3.8125 5.6578* 3.0881* 12.25 10.08 15.44* 8.16* HADCM3 3.4301 2.4000 4.2877* 1.9440* 6.91 0.39 8.63* 0.31* NCAR PCM 3.3768 2.3972 4.2210* 1.9178* 6.98 5.05 8.73* 4.04* CGCM2 5.2586 3.4118 23.76 10.31 GFDL-R30 4.1081 3.2685 25.14 20.83 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 6.8764 4.8414 7.5754 4.7449 -8.19 -1.88 -8.72 -1.86 CSIRO 4.7141 3.5630 5.8926* 3.2601 13.78 13.20 17.22* 13.62 ECHAM4 4.0185 3.4014 5.0633* 2.7551* 3.56 7.02 4.48* 5.69* HADCM3 3.7829 2.5799 4.7286* 2.0897* -4.07 -1.70 -5.09* -1.38* NCAR PCM 2.2734 1.3344 2.8418* 1.0676* 10.04 7.96 12.55* 6.37* CGCM2 5.4888 3.8473 10.20 8.94 GFDL-R30 4.1135 2.9549 11.40 12.70 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 8.6234 6.1328 9.1653 5.8522 -6.03 -2.28 -7.79 -5.50 CSIRO 4.7695 3.8502 5.9618* 3.4272 -6.55 -2.52 -8.18* -0.29 ECHAM4 5.8685 4.5386 7.3943* 3.6762* -15.71 -6.38 -19.80* -5.17* HADCM3 6.2441 4.5356 7.8052* 3.6738* -6.53 -8.48 -8.16* -6.87* NCAR PCM 3.0009 2.1767 3.7511* 1.7414* 5.23 3.65 6.54* 2.92* CGCM2 4.3173 3.2108 -11.67 -8.53 GFDL-R30 4.0966 3.1329 2.78 -0.32 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 7.7062 5.5591 8.0177 5.2994 -18.54 -13.37 -19.80 -13.59 CSIRO 4.7522 3.7855 5.9402* 3.5082 2.16 7.29 2.71* 4.52 ECHAM4 5.1142 4.0678 6.4439* 3.2949* -1.55 3.49 -1.96* 2.83* HADCM3 4.8667 3.7360 6.0834* 3.0262* 12.42 6.70 15.52* 5.43* NCAR PCM 2.8384 2.0729 3.5480* 1.6583* 2.65 1.21 3.31* 0.97* CGCM2 3.9174 2.3566 12.00 2.72 GFDL-R30 4.6208 3.3849 11.72 10.00 REGION 8 ========= TIME SLICE 2010-2039 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.3704 1.9267 0.4252 1.4009 8.97 3.58 11.51 5.17 CSIRO 2.0978 2.3699 2.2656* 2.6450 -1.89 -4.50 -2.04* -2.96 ECHAM4 1.8205 2.2763 2.0025* 1.9576* -7.17 5.44 -7.89* 4.68* HADCM3 0.1458 0.8879 0.1589* 0.7725* 5.58 0.00 6.08* 0.00* NCAR PCM -0.0198 0.6319 -0.0218* 0.5434* 2.71 2.74 2.98* 2.36* CGCM2 1.8820 2.0239 -2.52 -2.74 GFDL-R30 1.9336 1.6877 -1.36 4.63 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.0261 2.2696 1.1919 1.4989 3.60 7.46 3.33 2.95 CSIRO 2.2138 2.7264 2.3909* 2.5979 3.91 0.87 4.23* 6.18 ECHAM4 2.0435 1.7883 2.2479* 1.5379* -4.19 -0.30 -4.60* -0.26* HADCM3 1.2503 1.2905 1.3628* 1.1228* 3.85 -4.05 4.19* -3.52* NCAR PCM 0.5655 1.1147 0.6220* 0.9586* 0.86 -4.47 0.95* -3.85* CGCM2 2.1771 1.8338 -2.02 -0.37 GFDL-R30 1.2509 1.5472 4.81 -0.29 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.6882 1.9825 1.2609 1.4119 7.74 11.63 8.48 7.56 CSIRO 1.6054 1.8834 1.7339* 1.6919 -6.84 -5.77 -7.39* -0.89 ECHAM4 1.9810 2.0525 2.1791* 1.7651* 2.93 2.43 3.22* 2.09* HADCM3 1.9277 2.2038 2.1012* 1.9173* -1.03 -5.63 -1.12* -4.90* NCAR PCM 0.9194 1.4099 1.0113* 1.2125* -0.48 1.06 -0.53* 0.91* CGCM2 1.8759 1.9296 -8.34 -9.01 GFDL-R30 1.2017 1.3231 -1.03 1.65 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.6733 2.3071 1.4153 1.5442 -2.01 -2.55 -0.71 -2.92 CSIRO 1.1119 1.4562 1.2009* 1.2971 -10.95 -3.82 -11.83* -3.36 ECHAM4 2.0094 1.9585 2.2103* 1.6843* -1.28 -3.38 -1.41* -2.90* HADCM3 1.6425 1.6930 1.7903* 1.4729* 3.00 -1.34 3.27* -1.16* NCAR PCM 0.3152 1.0741 0.3467* 0.9237* 5.23 0.44 5.76* 0.38* CGCM2 1.3064 1.3278 -4.19 1.82 GFDL-R30 1.2845 1.2307 1.58 -0.48 TIME SLICE 2040-2069 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.1768 4.1987 4.5070 4.3013 0.38 2.35 -2.08 -8.23 CSIRO 3.6312 3.5125 4.5753* 3.1368 -0.31 -2.54 -0.40* -6.00 ECHAM4 2.8633 3.1960 3.6937* 2.7166* -1.63 -8.38 -2.11* -7.12* HADCM3 2.0016 1.4524 2.5620* 1.2491* 6.16 -2.32 7.88* -1.99* NCAR PCM 1.3683 1.3235 1.7652* 1.1250* 5.18 4.96 6.68* 4.21* CGCM2 3.4761 3.0118 -2.27 -5.69 GFDL-R30 3.0311 2.4651 3.27 -3.69 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 5.0684 4.9543 4.9679 4.7946 4.56 4.02 5.66 2.40 CSIRO 3.2117 3.3487 4.0468* 2.9212 3.59 2.66 4.52* 6.65 ECHAM4 2.9747 3.0784 3.8373* 2.6167* 2.24 2.88 2.89* 2.45* HADCM3 2.2506 2.3000 2.8808* 1.9780* 1.83 0.10 2.34* 0.08* NCAR PCM 1.5056 1.4080 1.9422* 1.1968* 4.12 0.41 5.31* 0.35* CGCM2 3.9434 3.5187 3.01 2.00 GFDL-R30 2.3040 2.5928 7.27 -1.22 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.1250 4.4670 5.0544 3.9375 7.56 5.29 2.27 4.60 CSIRO 3.1320 2.7960 3.9464* 2.7775 -12.12 -6.77 -15.27* -9.22 ECHAM4 3.6055 3.2912 4.6511* 2.7975* 3.45 6.91 4.45* 5.88* HADCM3 4.1653 3.5052 5.3316* 3.0145* -12.19 -9.71 -15.61* -8.35* NCAR PCM 1.7296 1.7259 2.2311* 1.4670* -1.51 1.45 -1.94* 1.23* CGCM2 3.0054 2.5780 -10.76 -7.38 GFDL-R30 2.6052 2.0892 -5.99 2.53 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.9253 4.6213 4.9562 4.0674 -13.31 -8.58 -5.65 -14.41 CSIRO 2.4855 2.7009 3.1317* 2.7220 -4.75 -1.91 -5.99* -1.45 ECHAM4 3.6020 2.9008 4.6465* 2.4656* 5.89 7.45 7.60* 6.33* HADCM3 3.1023 2.9942 3.9710* 2.5750* 9.70 -2.05 12.42* -1.77* NCAR PCM 1.2171 1.5930 1.5701* 1.3541* 4.29 3.15 5.54* 2.68* CGCM2 2.5258 1.8537 -1.94 -3.68 GFDL-R30 2.7371 2.1295 -6.53 2.03 TIME SLICE 2070-2099 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 7.4898 5.4382 7.8722 5.4342 0.50 14.82 6.14 3.76 CSIRO 6.3272 4.8506 7.9090* 4.9989 -2.96 -4.22 -3.69* -5.65 ECHAM4 4.4975 3.7302 5.6669* 3.0214* 0.20 -6.44 0.25* -5.21* HADCM3 3.9346 2.3315 4.9182* 1.8885* 6.48 5.78 8.11* 4.68* NCAR PCM 2.4107 2.1111 3.0134* 1.6888* 3.92 0.48 4.91* 0.38* CGCM2 5.7683 3.8194 -10.47 -10.92 GFDL-R30 4.4811 3.4058 8.56 -2.84 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 7.3918 5.4199 7.8832 5.5685 14.53 21.16 14.97 14.72 CSIRO 5.8175 4.3823 7.2718* 4.1922 9.63 7.73 12.04* 7.65 ECHAM4 4.5420 4.0262 5.7229* 3.2613* 6.88 3.79 8.67* 3.07* HADCM3 4.7227 2.8564 5.9034* 2.3136* 6.39 7.96 7.99* 6.45* NCAR PCM 2.3849 1.9995 2.9812* 1.5996* 5.83 6.07 7.29* 4.85* CGCM2 6.6469 4.8481 8.56 3.28 GFDL-R30 3.7816 3.6623 13.05 4.25 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 7.5304 4.9608 8.2299 4.6640 5.23 16.81 8.37 14.35 CSIRO 5.3291 4.2851 6.6613* 3.7586 -21.22 -18.59 -26.52* -10.75 ECHAM4 5.5273 4.4652 6.9644* 3.6168* 10.66 8.98 13.43* 7.28* HADCM3 6.7669 4.8655 8.4586* 3.9411* -16.33 -10.01 -20.42* -8.10* NCAR PCM 2.8847 2.1634 3.6058* 1.7307* 2.08 1.50 2.60* 1.20* CGCM2 4.9903 3.5511 -15.36 -9.78 GFDL-R30 3.6984 2.8531 4.05 2.37 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 8.3156 5.5784 8.8634 5.5490 -29.48 -1.52 -22.81 -6.82 CSIRO 4.5849 3.9189 5.7311* 3.0629 -13.58 -7.40 -16.98* -9.31 ECHAM4 5.3769 4.0272 6.7749* 3.2620* 10.44 2.93 13.15* 2.37* HADCM3 5.4478 4.0659 6.8098* 3.2933* 9.46 7.05 11.82* 5.71* NCAR PCM 2.5169 2.0680 3.1462* 1.6544* 6.84 5.66 8.55* 4.53* CGCM2 4.4438 2.7341 -9.14 -0.04 GFDL-R30 4.6442 3.2011 -2.79 6.04 REGION 9 ========= TIME SLICE 2010-2039 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.6992 2.6190 0.6729 1.9150 6.75 6.11 4.94 3.29 CSIRO 2.2462 2.1151 2.4259* 2.6301 2.76 -0.12 2.98* 4.54 ECHAM4 1.7128 2.4771 1.8841* 2.1303* -4.25 2.10 -4.68* 1.80* HADCM3 0.4148 0.8492 0.4521* 0.7388* 1.52 1.97 1.66* 1.71* NCAR PCM 0.6830 1.1369 0.7512* 0.9777* 9.90 4.13 10.88* 3.55* CGCM2 2.1429 2.2837 1.36 0.39 GFDL-R30 2.3315 1.3376 7.17 2.00 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.1753 2.5245 1.6085 2.0032 1.61 5.11 -0.32 2.78 CSIRO 2.7603 3.0975 2.9811* 2.9677 8.31 5.16 8.97* 8.15 ECHAM4 1.9401 1.7889 2.1341* 1.5384* -0.60 0.06 -0.66* 0.05* HADCM3 1.2923 0.8927 1.4086* 0.7766* 4.50 2.21 4.91* 1.92* NCAR PCM 0.6171 1.0219 0.6788* 0.8788* -5.86 -2.15 -6.45* -1.85* CGCM2 1.6703 1.4016 0.09 -0.29 GFDL-R30 0.7292 1.1063 3.60 5.55 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.6707 1.8885 1.5840 1.5294 -0.40 8.25 -2.57 1.35 CSIRO 1.5933 1.8950 1.7207* 1.8897 2.37 5.31 2.56* 5.90 ECHAM4 1.7362 1.7676 1.9098* 1.5201* 3.81 6.71 4.19* 5.77* HADCM3 1.4820 1.6378 1.6153* 1.4249* 0.71 4.21 0.78* 3.66* NCAR PCM 0.8307 1.3464 0.9138* 1.1579* 3.94 2.32 4.33* 2.00* CGCM2 1.6151 1.5518 -0.66 -1.50 GFDL-R30 1.6898 1.6990 -5.44 -4.98 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.0332 2.3365 1.5128 1.7417 -1.04 -0.34 -1.18 -1.71 CSIRO 1.3404 1.7766 1.4476* 1.4824 1.65 0.50 1.78* 4.39 ECHAM4 1.8889 1.7439 2.0778* 1.4998* 1.71 -1.04 1.88* -0.90* HADCM3 1.5584 1.5276 1.6987* 1.3291* -1.23 3.02 -1.34* 2.63* NCAR PCM 0.6760 1.0220 0.7436* 0.8789* 1.02 0.13 1.12* 0.11* CGCM2 1.0373 1.3148 4.21 4.51 GFDL-R30 1.7548 1.2057 -6.96 -3.28 TIME SLICE 2040-2069 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 5.3679 5.6305 5.7091 5.4698 2.58 4.25 4.63 -3.30 CSIRO 4.1330 3.7257 5.2076* 3.3743 7.74 6.79 9.75* 3.48 ECHAM4 3.6840 3.8040 4.7524* 3.2334* 3.90 -2.82 5.03* -2.39* HADCM3 2.0339 1.5603 2.6034* 1.3418* 9.96 3.10 12.74* 2.67* NCAR PCM 2.2182 1.9275 2.8615* 1.6383* 8.62 7.01 11.12* 5.96* CGCM2 3.5214 2.6633 -0.66 0.90 GFDL-R30 3.5193 2.0759 10.90 2.92 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 6.0229 5.8701 5.7281 5.5267 6.49 9.21 6.55 7.74 CSIRO 4.3562 3.7636 5.4888* 3.7526 9.24 6.59 11.64* 8.19 ECHAM4 3.2351 3.3236 4.1733* 2.8250* 6.72 9.54 8.67* 8.11* HADCM3 2.1210 2.1750 2.7149* 1.8705* 4.41 8.07 5.64* 6.94* NCAR PCM 1.6888 1.5558 2.1786* 1.3224* -1.43 -0.43 -1.85* -0.36* CGCM2 2.7906 2.3220 1.41 2.84 GFDL-R30 1.9973 2.1581 0.78 2.76 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.6089 4.5218 5.5507 4.3031 -5.94 1.03 -8.82 -2.35 CSIRO 2.9669 2.7350 3.7383* 2.7246 3.74 7.54 4.71* 6.14 ECHAM4 3.2826 2.9788 4.2346* 2.5319* 7.73 6.02 9.97* 5.11* HADCM3 3.4689 2.9911 4.4402* 2.5723* 4.50 3.56 5.76* 3.06* NCAR PCM 1.6668 1.7484 2.1502* 1.4862* 4.99 5.04 6.43* 4.28* CGCM2 2.7517 2.2780 -1.46 -0.13 GFDL-R30 3.0785 3.0050 -6.43 -9.87 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 5.3636 5.0468 5.3676 4.3849 -16.94 -8.17 -6.04 -12.27 CSIRO 2.7111 2.7929 3.4160* 2.9448 5.27 8.51 6.64* 3.01 ECHAM4 3.5386 3.0088 4.5648* 2.5574* 3.60 3.68 4.65* 3.13* HADCM3 3.0249 2.1793 3.8719* 1.8742* 13.21 1.36 16.91* 1.17* NCAR PCM 1.3873 1.7696 1.7897* 1.5042* 7.20 2.41 9.29* 2.04* CGCM2 2.3555 1.7269 4.45 5.24 GFDL-R30 2.9328 2.4620 -12.71 -0.32 TIME SLICE 2070-2099 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 9.9978 7.6000 10.2357 7.3245 2.78 12.09 5.38 11.08 CSIRO 7.1098 5.1336 8.8872* 5.6479 17.97 5.18 22.47* 16.24 ECHAM4 5.2812 4.4245 6.6544* 3.5838* 10.41 4.17 13.12* 3.38* HADCM3 3.7724 2.7516 4.7155* 2.2288* 11.73 10.89 14.67* 8.82* NCAR PCM 3.2326 2.8098 4.0408* 2.2478* 9.49 7.58 11.86* 6.06* CGCM2 5.2290 3.5859 -0.81 -0.02 GFDL-R30 5.0125 3.2049 18.66 5.93 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 8.7167 6.8401 9.2928 7.1204 12.32 8.40 13.90 13.65 CSIRO 7.7203 5.5999 9.6504* 5.4409 17.79 15.09 22.23* 11.56 ECHAM4 4.7169 4.0976 5.9433* 3.3191* 13.37 3.58 16.84* 2.90* HADCM3 4.4652 2.9479 5.5815* 2.3878* 19.30 15.43 24.13* 12.50* NCAR PCM 2.5184 2.3715 3.1480* 1.8972* -0.28 -1.11 -0.35* -0.89* CGCM2 4.9613 3.2833 6.02 2.67 GFDL-R30 3.3260 2.8176 11.62 2.68 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 8.5761 5.9895 8.4309 5.7424 -15.66 -3.18 -11.61 -4.57 CSIRO 5.0786 4.0830 6.3482* 3.7367 4.50 4.29 5.62* 3.06 ECHAM4 4.7798 4.0465 6.0225* 3.2777* 15.11 10.08 19.03* 8.16* HADCM3 5.9771 4.2817 7.4714* 3.4682* 1.63 3.95 2.04* 3.20* NCAR PCM 2.7090 2.0534 3.3862* 1.6427* 6.79 5.03 8.48* 4.03* CGCM2 4.4695 3.0995 -5.08 -0.41 GFDL-R30 4.6003 3.7020 -17.95 -17.39 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 8.8732 6.5706 8.9194 6.1295 -27.08 -12.41 -17.69 -5.95 CSIRO 4.8856 4.0399 6.1069* 3.4144 -3.41 -1.55 -4.27* 4.24 ECHAM4 5.0127 3.8652 6.3160* 3.1308* 4.72 0.85 5.95* 0.69* HADCM3 4.9448 3.6976 6.1810* 2.9951* 6.12 9.73 7.65* 7.88* NCAR PCM 2.6799 2.0224 3.3498* 1.6179* 3.45 -0.83 4.32* -0.67* CGCM2 3.8099 2.4584 2.49 6.38 GFDL-R30 4.4113 3.3799 -13.47 -0.43 REGION 10 ========= TIME SLICE 2010-2039 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.3062 1.3038 0.9964 0.8010 -5.62 -1.48 -2.77 2.25 CSIRO 0.8854 1.0170 0.9562* 0.9518 0.63 1.16 0.68* -4.53 ECHAM4 0.7538 1.0950 0.8291* 0.9417* 8.59 6.34 9.45* 5.45* HADCM3 0.9544 1.0556 1.0403* 0.9184* 6.66 -3.19 7.26* -2.78* NCAR PCM 0.5955 0.3340 0.6551* 0.2873* -7.72 3.97 -8.49* 3.42* CGCM2 0.7829 0.9144 -10.56 -6.55 GFDL-R30 1.1976 1.0013 -7.73 1.66 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.5099 1.5819 1.3389 0.9397 -11.18 -10.24 -15.75 -11.69 CSIRO 1.0168 1.1144 1.0982* 1.1231 -1.82 1.20 -1.97* -0.11 ECHAM4 1.0088 1.2773 1.1097* 1.0985* -5.40 -0.17 -5.94* -0.15* HADCM3 1.2021 1.2957 1.3103* 1.1273* -5.75 3.81 -6.27* 3.32* NCAR PCM 0.5837 0.8185 0.6421* 0.7039* -10.99 -13.13 -12.09* -11.29* CGCM2 0.9606 0.9036 -11.74 -3.36 GFDL-R30 1.2311 1.0937 4.21 0.51 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.7043 1.6415 1.7300 1.5785 -11.13 -9.14 -13.25 -13.51 CSIRO 0.9778 0.9552 1.0561* 0.9551 -1.56 -0.01 -1.68* 0.22 ECHAM4 1.3248 1.3752 1.4573* 1.1827* -0.41 3.07 -0.45* 2.64* HADCM3 1.6053 1.6067 1.7497* 1.3978* -8.39 -9.88 -9.15* -8.59* NCAR PCM 0.6130 0.8727 0.6743* 0.7505* -2.30 -1.40 -2.53* -1.20* CGCM2 1.1040 1.0101 -12.91 -9.46 GFDL-R30 0.9791 1.0533 4.35 0.55 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.0524 1.2474 1.1302 0.8571 -10.48 -6.51 -8.65 -7.01 CSIRO 0.7417 0.9145 0.8010* 0.9251 0.54 3.54 0.58* 3.37 ECHAM4 1.1526 1.2677 1.2678* 1.0902* 2.05 -1.29 2.25* -1.11* HADCM3 1.3975 1.6099 1.5233* 1.4006* -7.81 -5.65 -8.51* -4.92* NCAR PCM 0.5168 0.7370 0.5685* 0.6338* -0.56 2.36 -0.62* 2.03* CGCM2 1.0035 0.9661 5.55 -0.19 GFDL-R30 1.0336 0.9972 -5.14 6.10 TIME SLICE 2040-2069 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.9786 2.0957 2.3911 1.5960 -0.21 3.49 -1.25 7.31 CSIRO 1.6323 1.7021 2.0567* 1.5489 -3.14 1.44 -3.96* 1.67 ECHAM4 1.9499 1.8837 2.5153* 1.6012* -12.11 -16.27 -15.62* -13.83* HADCM3 2.5209 2.2606 3.2268* 1.9441* -4.55 0.01 -5.82* 0.00* NCAR PCM 1.0902 1.1685 1.4064* 0.9932* -5.67 -4.56 -7.31* -3.87* CGCM2 1.7018 1.4483 -12.74 -8.49 GFDL-R30 2.2990 1.8087 -14.45 -8.12 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.0565 2.9543 3.9874 2.8203 -23.59 -24.35 -34.17 -25.41 CSIRO 1.8992 1.8247 2.3930* 1.7366 -3.73 -0.49 -4.70* -3.74 ECHAM4 2.5328 2.6989 3.2674* 2.2941* 2.50 1.48 3.23* 1.26* HADCM3 2.4638 2.1852 3.1536* 1.8793* -0.05 4.58 -0.07* 3.94* NCAR PCM 1.4061 1.2865 1.8139* 1.0935* -9.85 -13.92 -12.70* -11.83* CGCM2 1.8958 1.6711 -3.39 -1.55 GFDL-R30 2.1513 1.8203 0.54 17.65 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.9623 2.9813 4.6742 2.5798 -29.35 -16.78 -34.09 -13.94 CSIRO 1.8110 1.7586 2.2818* 1.6066 -2.66 -1.73 -3.35* 0.73 ECHAM4 2.4520 2.3615 3.1631* 2.0073* 2.05 3.53 2.64* 3.00* HADCM3 2.9870 2.3662 3.8234* 2.0349* -14.33 -5.73 -18.34* -4.92* NCAR PCM 1.2760 1.2086 1.6460* 1.0273* -1.58 0.35 -2.03* 0.30* CGCM2 1.9519 1.5349 -21.55 -8.46 GFDL-R30 1.7548 1.5135 3.84 3.52 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.8795 2.5050 3.6451 1.7826 -12.99 -12.59 -17.03 -5.33 CSIRO 1.5681 1.6146 1.9758* 1.5935 1.57 3.07 1.97* 4.22 ECHAM4 2.3694 2.1693 3.0565* 1.8439* 6.95 2.16 8.97* 1.84* HADCM3 3.0695 2.3885 3.9290* 2.0541* -10.91 -5.07 -13.97* -4.36* NCAR PCM 1.1324 1.1709 1.4608* 0.9953* 6.03 0.97 7.77* 0.83* CGCM2 2.0695 1.5586 2.21 2.70 GFDL-R30 2.1130 1.7755 -9.77 3.66 TIME SLICE 2070-2099 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.5614 3.1583 4.9658 2.6867 -5.42 7.67 -9.81 12.05 CSIRO 2.9126 2.3465 3.6407* 2.1238 -2.77 5.44 -3.46* -2.82 ECHAM4 3.7050 2.5674 4.6682* 2.0796* -23.39 -18.46 -29.48* -14.95* HADCM3 4.3365 3.1190 5.4206* 2.5264* -12.18 1.08 -15.23* 0.87* NCAR PCM 1.7000 1.3307 2.1251* 1.0646* -11.32 -3.48 -14.15* -2.78* CGCM2 2.7474 1.8893 -22.89 -14.84 GFDL-R30 3.5149 2.4029 -15.31 -17.76 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 6.4552 4.3109 7.1931 3.7723 -51.97 -32.66 -59.56 -30.85 CSIRO 3.3690 2.6350 4.2113* 2.3719 -8.53 -8.67 -10.66* 0.47 ECHAM4 4.7212 3.5338 5.9487* 2.8624* 4.38 2.16 5.51* 1.75* HADCM3 4.9890 3.5835 6.2362* 2.9026* -21.83 -14.45 -27.29* -11.71* NCAR PCM 2.1414 1.5944 2.6768* 1.2755* -11.31 -8.45 -14.14* -6.76* CGCM2 3.5991 2.3574 -8.49 -9.11 GFDL-R30 3.3379 2.6981 1.97 9.72 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 7.3916 5.7288 7.8849 4.4926 -37.03 -33.19 -32.47 -26.15 CSIRO 3.0432 2.4256 3.8040* 2.2601 -0.95 0.05 -1.19* 1.51 ECHAM4 4.0540 3.0363 5.1081* 2.4594* 5.64 7.11 7.11* 5.76* HADCM3 5.3486 4.1170 6.6857* 3.3347* -27.89 -24.46 -34.86* -19.81* NCAR PCM 2.1040 1.6005 2.6300* 1.2804* -5.83 -1.83 -7.29* -1.47* CGCM2 3.1546 2.3471 -14.58 -20.78 GFDL-R30 3.0291 2.3066 -3.94 -2.14 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 5.7158 3.9220 6.1820 3.2911 -18.52 -15.76 -13.74 -10.97 CSIRO 2.6818 2.1451 3.3523* 1.9202 2.56 3.78 3.20* 5.47 ECHAM4 4.0191 2.7654 5.0640* 2.2400* 7.76 6.27 9.78* 5.08* HADCM3 4.9915 3.8098 6.2394* 3.0859* -13.55 -16.16 -16.94* -13.09* NCAR PCM 2.0588 1.5790 2.5735* 1.2632* 4.11 6.19 5.14* 4.95* CGCM2 3.3492 2.3171 3.07 0.25 GFDL-R30 3.7912 2.5151 -25.62 3.61 REGION 11 ========= TIME SLICE 2010-2039 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.0729 0.9767 0.6703 0.3501 -1.81 0.09 2.09 3.34 CSIRO 0.8168 0.8887 0.8821* 0.8171 1.87 3.23 2.02* 2.17 ECHAM4 1.2226 1.4541 1.3449* 1.2505* 1.83 2.33 2.02* 2.00* HADCM3 1.3266 1.2755 1.4460* 1.1096* -1.29 -2.69 -1.41* -2.34* NCAR PCM 0.7116 0.8687 0.7828* 0.7471* -0.78 1.40 -0.86* 1.21* CGCM2 0.8350 0.8450 1.04 2.72 GFDL-R30 0.8972 0.7862 9.07 7.76 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.9302 0.9344 0.8825 0.6160 -2.47 -3.83 -1.45 -1.68 CSIRO 0.8730 0.9734 0.9429* 0.8559 1.28 1.14 1.39* 1.19 ECHAM4 1.1695 1.3595 1.2865* 1.1691* 0.70 1.93 0.77* 1.66* HADCM3 1.2482 1.2507 1.3605* 1.0881* -3.47 -1.62 -3.78* -1.41* NCAR PCM 0.6749 0.8096 0.7424* 0.6962* 1.93 1.80 2.12* 1.55* CGCM2 0.8103 0.8124 -0.13 -0.72 GFDL-R30 0.7175 0.7970 4.31 2.21 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.0727 1.1503 0.9002 0.8380 -1.82 -2.70 2.04 2.80 CSIRO 0.8986 1.0543 0.9705* 1.0243 -0.13 0.30 -0.14* 0.42 ECHAM4 1.6097 1.7607 1.7707* 1.5142* -3.02 -0.90 -3.32* -0.78* HADCM3 1.5219 1.4141 1.6589* 1.2302* -8.73 -8.95 -9.52* -7.79* NCAR PCM 0.7662 0.8881 0.8428* 0.7637* 0.20 1.58 0.22* 1.36* CGCM2 0.8314 0.7697 0.72 -1.09 GFDL-R30 1.0859 1.1074 -0.52 5.87 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.3244 1.4588 1.2691 0.7154 -6.76 -9.51 -3.11 0.59 CSIRO 0.9081 0.9527 0.9808* 0.8715 0.89 1.76 0.96* 2.09 ECHAM4 1.7018 2.0273 1.8720* 1.7435* -2.81 -3.10 -3.10* -2.67* HADCM3 1.8980 1.5895 2.0688* 1.3829* -11.06 -6.27 -12.06* -5.46* NCAR PCM 0.6683 0.8391 0.7351* 0.7216* 3.27 2.53 3.60* 2.18* CGCM2 0.6918 0.6837 -1.39 -2.86 GFDL-R30 1.0072 0.8599 2.77 7.32 TIME SLICE 2040-2069 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.0433 1.2680 2.0101 1.1901 -1.01 4.48 1.76 0.18 CSIRO 1.6019 1.5494 2.0184* 1.4100 2.07 2.06 2.60* 3.18 ECHAM4 2.5279 2.5503 3.2610* 2.1677* 2.04 4.58 2.63* 3.89* HADCM3 2.9606 2.2918 3.7896* 1.9709* -5.08 -2.38 -6.50* -2.04* NCAR PCM 1.2255 1.1987 1.5808* 1.0189* 3.82 4.54 4.93* 3.86* CGCM2 1.6392 1.4251 -3.07 -0.57 GFDL-R30 1.5518 1.4269 15.12 12.66 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.0206 1.5324 2.4549 1.4078 -3.98 -1.42 -2.21 -4.25 CSIRO 1.6472 1.6158 2.0755* 1.5253 2.54 2.51 3.20* 1.71 ECHAM4 2.4195 2.2333 3.1212* 1.8983* 3.57 4.05 4.61* 3.44* HADCM3 2.9209 2.2214 3.7388* 1.9104* -6.96 -1.30 -8.90* -1.12* NCAR PCM 1.1836 1.2074 1.5269* 1.0263* 3.32 7.13 4.28* 6.06* CGCM2 1.6458 1.4417 -7.68 -2.38 GFDL-R30 1.4389 1.4958 8.23 4.84 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.5472 2.3074 3.1535 1.8655 -4.50 0.27 0.98 -1.56 CSIRO 1.8646 1.8111 2.3494* 1.7011 -0.09 0.53 -0.11* 1.29 ECHAM4 3.1928 2.9272 4.1188* 2.4882* -3.71 -4.77 -4.79* -4.05* HADCM3 3.4878 2.5277 4.4644* 2.1739* -19.30 -15.90 -24.70* -13.68* NCAR PCM 1.4658 1.2993 1.8909* 1.1044* 3.16 5.92 4.08* 5.03* CGCM2 1.8144 1.4710 -6.91 -5.44 GFDL-R30 1.9133 1.7986 7.19 11.39 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.7402 2.1492 3.0520 1.8178 -10.93 -6.03 -7.84 -6.28 CSIRO 1.6819 1.6214 2.1192* 1.4964 2.52 1.71 3.18* 2.52 ECHAM4 3.5365 3.7404 4.5621* 3.1793* -7.63 -9.95 -9.85* -8.46* HADCM3 3.6531 3.0453 4.6759* 2.6189* -17.77 -16.61 -22.74* -14.29* NCAR PCM 1.3339 1.2875 1.7207* 1.0944* 5.43 4.43 7.01* 3.77* CGCM2 1.7548 1.3450 -6.87 -6.68 GFDL-R30 1.7470 1.8322 10.90 6.82 TIME SLICE 2070-2099 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.0449 2.1490 4.8784 1.6820 1.92 4.24 5.12 5.50 CSIRO 2.7460 2.1792 3.4325* 2.0041 2.65 4.10 3.31* 3.22 ECHAM4 4.1886 3.2364 5.2776* 2.6215* 6.99 3.72 8.80* 3.01* HADCM3 4.9961 3.8120 6.2451* 3.0878* -11.43 -11.58 -14.28* -9.38* NCAR PCM 2.0856 1.5190 2.6070* 1.2152* 5.41 3.36 6.77* 2.69* CGCM2 2.9835 1.9581 -7.43 -4.29 GFDL-R30 2.5494 2.1025 22.03 11.38 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.6674 2.9684 5.6411 2.2915 1.68 -2.67 3.87 -2.32 CSIRO 2.8861 2.2633 3.6077* 2.0746 1.65 3.40 2.06* 2.62 ECHAM4 4.0863 3.1801 5.1487* 2.5759* 5.31 3.47 6.69* 2.81* HADCM3 5.0098 3.8219 6.2623* 3.0957* -8.15 -12.19 -10.19* -9.88* NCAR PCM 2.1067 1.5694 2.6334* 1.2555* 2.91 2.11 3.64* 1.68* CGCM2 3.0149 1.9528 -9.47 -6.27 GFDL-R30 2.5108 1.9925 12.22 7.95 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 5.5427 4.0010 6.4512 3.2766 3.49 0.18 8.71 -1.70 CSIRO 3.3380 2.5884 4.1726* 2.4619 -0.56 -1.11 -0.70* 1.45 ECHAM4 5.1670 4.1225 6.5104* 3.3392* -1.67 -6.87 -2.10* -5.57* HADCM3 6.1299 4.3532 7.6624* 3.5261* -36.60 -29.49 -45.76* -23.89* NCAR PCM 2.5039 1.7950 3.1299* 1.4360* -0.25 0.12 -0.32* 0.10* CGCM2 3.3840 2.1772 -4.62 -7.74 GFDL-R30 3.4660 2.4792 7.94 16.77 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 5.1617 3.4856 5.7803 3.0088 -10.16 -7.75 -5.52 -6.98 CSIRO 2.9069 2.2554 3.6337* 2.1167 0.74 2.56 0.92* 1.85 ECHAM4 5.6817 4.2792 7.1589* 3.4662* -8.06 -4.89 -10.15* -3.96* HADCM3 6.0343 4.6821 7.5429* 3.7925* -31.66 -28.05 -39.57* -22.72* NCAR PCM 2.2370 1.7050 2.7963* 1.3640* 7.95 6.96 9.94* 5.57* CGCM2 3.1349 2.0121 -9.84 -7.33 GFDL-R30 2.9773 2.3632 11.86 8.42 REGION 12 ========= TIME SLICE 2010-2039 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.9981 1.0123 1.1420 0.8406 -1.15 -2.28 -2.27 -0.45 CSIRO 0.9188 0.9804 0.9923* 1.0422 -2.18 -1.40 -2.35* -1.45 ECHAM4 0.9568 0.9610 1.0525* 0.8265* 4.35 5.20 4.79* 4.47* HADCM3 1.0022 0.8445 1.0924* 0.7347* -0.57 3.57 -0.62* 3.11* NCAR PCM 0.7206 0.7354 0.7927* 0.6325* 1.61 2.22 1.77* 1.91* CGCM2 1.0471 1.1868 1.92 3.07 GFDL-R30 0.8799 0.9197 2.87 0.84 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.0212 1.0158 1.1769 0.9141 0.39 -0.12 -0.04 0.96 CSIRO 1.0435 1.1240 1.1270* 1.1744 -1.78 0.15 -1.92* -2.35 ECHAM4 0.8740 1.0431 0.9614* 0.8970* 1.86 5.39 2.04* 4.64* HADCM3 0.8767 0.7931 0.9556* 0.6900* -2.68 0.31 -2.92* 0.27* NCAR PCM 0.7951 0.8483 0.8746* 0.7295* 0.69 3.80 0.76* 3.27* CGCM2 0.9909 0.8629 1.47 1.97 GFDL-R30 1.0369 1.0026 -2.08 -6.33 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.3238 0.9943 1.0678 0.8479 -4.82 -8.48 -1.76 1.90 CSIRO 0.9941 1.1219 1.0736* 0.8977 -1.60 1.69 -1.73* -2.00 ECHAM4 1.0995 1.0445 1.2094* 0.8983* 2.96 0.81 3.26* 0.69* HADCM3 1.0674 0.8895 1.1635* 0.7738* -3.73 -4.72 -4.07* -4.11* NCAR PCM 0.6413 0.5561 0.7054* 0.4782* 1.59 -2.94 1.75* -2.53* CGCM2 1.0770 0.9619 2.18 1.18 GFDL-R30 0.9313 1.0190 2.07 2.59 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.4971 1.5889 1.4907 0.8123 -0.57 -4.81 -2.20 2.39 CSIRO 0.9162 0.8906 0.9895* 0.9453 -0.58 0.24 -0.62* -3.15 ECHAM4 0.7067 1.0105 0.7774* 0.8690* 4.82 5.45 5.30* 4.69* HADCM3 0.9961 1.1147 1.0858* 0.9698* 4.34 0.13 4.73* 0.11* NCAR PCM 0.7172 0.9427 0.7889* 0.8108* -0.14 0.43 -0.16* 0.37* CGCM2 0.9571 0.8311 2.77 0.99 GFDL-R30 0.7633 0.7289 0.01 4.15 TIME SLICE 2040-2069 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.9965 1.9478 2.5240 1.6150 5.65 0.48 0.38 0.57 CSIRO 1.9095 1.8502 2.4059* 1.6489 -4.82 -0.25 -6.08* -5.47 ECHAM4 1.9072 1.7160 2.4602* 1.4586* 8.03 8.35 10.36* 7.10* HADCM3 2.3393 1.7589 2.9943* 1.5126* -1.15 1.06 -1.48* 0.91* NCAR PCM 1.2370 1.2175 1.5957* 1.0348* 5.86 5.12 7.56* 4.35* CGCM2 2.2461 1.6609 0.48 5.27 GFDL-R30 1.4869 1.4797 13.85 2.68 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.9290 1.9594 2.3878 1.4773 4.25 -2.61 0.18 2.48 CSIRO 1.9675 1.9076 2.4790* 1.6490 -1.32 -0.04 -1.66* -1.65 ECHAM4 1.7714 1.6673 2.2851* 1.4172* 7.12 10.57 9.19* 8.99* HADCM3 2.1801 1.4099 2.7905* 1.2125* 1.46 3.64 1.86* 3.13* NCAR PCM 1.3463 1.2898 1.7367* 1.0963* -0.10 1.85 -0.13* 1.57* CGCM2 2.0766 1.6292 0.93 5.71 GFDL-R30 1.8937 1.5924 0.25 1.55 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.2655 2.2475 2.6683 1.6788 -6.40 -4.96 3.09 -5.24 CSIRO 1.8410 1.8691 2.3197* 1.5061 3.67 5.28 4.62* 1.79 ECHAM4 1.7759 1.5475 2.2909* 1.3154* 5.92 7.23 7.64* 6.14* HADCM3 2.1598 1.6815 2.7645* 1.4461* -9.94 -12.46 -12.72* -10.71* NCAR PCM 1.1110 0.9446 1.4332* 0.8029* -1.34 2.77 -1.73* 2.36* CGCM2 1.9017 1.5908 4.57 8.13 GFDL-R30 1.6721 1.4753 10.61 8.13 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.6726 2.2601 2.6036 2.1393 -4.87 -4.32 3.04 -3.38 CSIRO 1.9006 1.7827 2.3948* 1.6714 2.20 0.31 2.78* -5.65 ECHAM4 1.5371 1.4249 1.9829* 1.2111* 8.60 6.87 11.10* 5.84* HADCM3 2.4455 1.9865 3.1302* 1.7084* 7.40 3.03 9.47* 2.60* NCAR PCM 1.1877 1.1559 1.5321* 0.9825* -1.30 -2.48 -1.68* -2.11* CGCM2 1.9495 1.4269 0.24 1.32 GFDL-R30 1.5480 1.4431 6.03 6.07 TIME SLICE 2070-2099 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.6538 2.6736 4.2134 2.5342 8.60 4.11 9.89 -0.52 CSIRO 3.3761 2.5891 4.2201* 2.3177 -7.71 -6.43 -9.64* -4.79 ECHAM4 3.5112 2.5385 4.4241* 2.0562* 13.36 10.40 16.84* 8.42* HADCM3 3.8841 2.8069 4.8551* 2.2736* 4.23 2.73 5.28* 2.21* NCAR PCM 1.9478 1.6353 2.4347* 1.3083* 8.65 6.19 10.81* 4.95* CGCM2 3.9011 2.4981 -7.85 3.46 GFDL-R30 2.6880 2.1104 12.05 10.91 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.3679 2.5537 3.8195 2.3540 14.21 9.75 16.85 3.10 CSIRO 3.3872 2.5415 4.2340* 2.4946 -2.66 -2.47 -3.32* -3.02 ECHAM4 3.2978 2.3055 4.1553* 1.8675* 18.41 11.42 23.20* 9.25* HADCM3 3.5765 2.5446 4.4706* 2.0612* 4.54 8.07 5.67* 6.54* NCAR PCM 2.2921 1.7253 2.8651* 1.3802* 1.90 1.85 2.37* 1.48* CGCM2 3.6898 2.3217 2.98 1.85 GFDL-R30 2.7604 2.2414 2.76 -2.51 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.3227 2.5540 3.8958 2.5401 6.26 5.87 7.80 1.04 CSIRO 3.1872 2.4217 3.9840* 2.3228 7.57 4.93 9.47* 7.09 ECHAM4 3.2162 2.3704 4.0524* 1.9200* 3.98 3.70 5.02* 2.99* HADCM3 3.5977 2.6178 4.4971* 2.1204* -8.49 -10.54 -10.61* -8.54* NCAR PCM 1.9440 1.5156 2.4300* 1.2125* 1.69 -0.41 2.12* -0.33* CGCM2 3.1499 2.1179 8.62 5.95 GFDL-R30 2.4648 1.9194 15.11 17.53 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.8499 2.8162 4.1652 2.7520 2.10 8.41 7.71 4.14 CSIRO 3.2194 2.4948 4.0242* 2.2267 4.03 1.77 5.04* 8.44 ECHAM4 3.2412 2.1411 4.0839* 1.7343* 10.00 6.26 12.60* 5.07* HADCM3 3.9526 2.8838 4.9408* 2.3359* 15.08 11.27 18.85* 9.13* NCAR PCM 2.0485 1.5827 2.5606* 1.2661* -0.72 -0.88 -0.90* -0.71* CGCM2 3.1239 2.0826 -1.08 -0.60 GFDL-R30 2.5492 1.7320 8.61 8.47 REGION 13 ========= TIME SLICE 2010-2039 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.5682 3.5454 3.9145 3.4957 11.67 10.51 14.96 8.01 CSIRO 1.8481 2.1985 1.9960* 1.6955 7.44 6.41 8.03* 3.75 ECHAM4 4.0827 3.7684 4.4909* 3.2409* 20.67 21.47 22.74* 18.46* HADCM3 1.5699 2.2224 1.7112* 1.9335* 2.88 8.60 3.14* 7.48* NCAR PCM 1.2623 1.7220 1.3885* 1.4809* 2.75 4.68 3.03* 4.03* CGCM2 1.1321 1.5992 4.60 2.38 GFDL-R30 1.3789 1.2025 5.32 3.54 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.7323 2.9951 2.9641 2.0757 9.76 16.18 7.12 6.67 CSIRO 1.7776 2.5501 1.9199* 2.0755 2.47 10.85 2.67* 6.52 ECHAM4 2.6050 2.2988 2.8655* 1.9769* -2.29 3.55 -2.52* 3.05* HADCM3 0.9892 1.2144 1.0782* 1.0565* -0.30 6.40 -0.32* 5.56* NCAR PCM 0.9680 1.0367 1.0648* 0.8915* 4.83 7.85 5.32* 6.75* CGCM2 1.7377 2.3546 8.28 16.04 GFDL-R30 1.3374 1.1917 2.15 4.10 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.6344 2.3061 1.2906 1.5385 7.38 7.97 3.13 5.19 CSIRO 1.5538 1.5764 1.6781* 1.6646 0.88 2.25 0.95* -2.42 ECHAM4 1.4697 1.4011 1.6167* 1.2050* 1.10 2.25 1.21* 1.94* HADCM3 1.2578 1.4766 1.3710* 1.2846* -2.30 -0.03 -2.50* -0.03* NCAR PCM 0.6318 0.9684 0.6950* 0.8328* 2.90 0.68 3.19* 0.59* CGCM2 1.2220 1.2610 0.15 1.34 GFDL-R30 1.5466 1.5022 -2.94 -4.71 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.3137 3.0301 1.7747 2.1692 8.91 8.92 11.84 5.91 CSIRO 1.7552 1.4918 1.8957* 1.3539 0.38 0.96 0.41* -3.83 ECHAM4 2.2050 2.4606 2.4255* 2.1161* 0.54 7.70 0.59* 6.63* HADCM3 1.3672 1.8642 1.4902* 1.6219* -3.05 -0.13 -3.32* -0.11* NCAR PCM 1.2602 1.4127 1.3862* 1.2149* 0.88 0.34 0.97* 0.29* CGCM2 0.8866 1.0467 4.12 6.45 GFDL-R30 1.3331 1.0868 5.02 4.14 TIME SLICE 2040-2069 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 8.4448 8.0883 8.3361 8.3762 33.80 32.52 30.90 27.98 CSIRO 2.9991 2.9314 3.7789* 2.2698 11.75 13.75 14.81* 6.60 ECHAM4 5.3477 4.9609 6.8985* 4.2168* 32.25 24.37 41.60* 20.71* HADCM3 3.6259 2.4449 4.6412* 2.1026* 10.76 10.98 13.77* 9.45* NCAR PCM 2.8043 2.0391 3.6175* 1.7333* 3.56 2.44 4.59* 2.07* CGCM2 3.1031 1.9300 9.57 4.00 GFDL-R30 3.1390 1.6792 8.33 7.47 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 6.5922 7.0316 6.6577 6.9288 25.58 27.71 23.48 26.73 CSIRO 3.6495 3.3742 4.5983* 3.1866 14.12 14.50 17.79* 12.89 ECHAM4 3.3904 3.2871 4.3736* 2.7940* 1.43 7.04 1.84* 5.98* HADCM3 2.2432 2.0300 2.8713* 1.7458* 7.15 7.94 9.15* 6.82* NCAR PCM 1.6219 1.2837 2.0923* 1.0911* 7.43 6.83 9.58* 5.80* CGCM2 3.6825 2.8112 15.58 10.25 GFDL-R30 2.4641 1.7470 7.60 10.61 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.5396 3.7859 3.6528 3.4103 9.49 13.95 4.00 8.46 CSIRO 2.4656 2.5623 3.1066* 2.4690 -2.59 -0.39 -3.27* -0.55 ECHAM4 2.8709 2.7242 3.7035* 2.3156* -6.03 -1.89 -7.78* -1.61* HADCM3 2.7858 2.4210 3.5658* 2.0820* -8.31 -5.78 -10.64* -4.97* NCAR PCM 1.3343 1.2430 1.7212* 1.0566* 1.62 -0.10 2.09* -0.09* CGCM2 2.2861 1.8586 -0.30 -0.57 GFDL-R30 2.8459 2.2914 -1.88 -7.81 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 5.2369 5.7276 5.2067 5.2224 16.20 16.12 12.39 15.54 CSIRO 2.5665 2.3304 3.2338* 2.4203 1.08 1.85 1.36* 5.56 ECHAM4 3.5076 3.2915 4.5248* 2.7978* 5.97 9.71 7.71* 8.25* HADCM3 2.7568 2.4283 3.5287* 2.0884* -0.76 2.32 -0.98* 2.00* NCAR PCM 2.0688 1.8575 2.6687* 1.5789* 4.56 0.84 5.89* 0.71* CGCM2 2.0737 1.4740 8.80 8.36 GFDL-R30 2.6480 2.2249 8.18 2.14 TIME SLICE 2070-2099 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 13.9421 10.4499 13.6694 10.1324 59.39 40.17 59.72 37.77 CSIRO 5.4501 4.0952 6.8126* 3.2003 24.90 19.71 31.13* 15.59 ECHAM4 7.2179 6.2173 9.0946* 5.0360* 35.25 30.32 44.41* 24.56* HADCM3 5.1660 3.3963 6.4576* 2.7510* 19.95 14.26 24.94* 11.55* NCAR PCM 4.4008 3.3015 5.5010* 2.6412* 6.73 6.75 8.41* 5.40* CGCM2 4.6103 3.4492 15.65 10.26 GFDL-R30 4.3087 2.4506 10.45 7.62 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 10.7337 8.0087 11.1905 8.2495 43.54 33.64 48.62 32.08 CSIRO 5.2987 4.5055 6.6234* 3.6584 24.23 21.04 30.29* 17.65 ECHAM4 5.0957 4.0858 6.4205* 3.3095* 5.05 6.78 6.36* 5.49* HADCM3 4.4145 2.9800 5.5181* 2.4138* 13.41 11.58 16.76* 9.38* NCAR PCM 2.5467 2.1066 3.1833* 1.6853* 11.51 7.02 14.38* 5.61* CGCM2 4.8614 3.9944 16.41 12.52 GFDL-R30 3.5724 2.5521 8.65 12.06 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 6.0998 4.9501 6.3943 4.7442 12.01 16.88 14.38 14.84 CSIRO 4.5841 3.6136 5.7301* 3.3616 -3.09 -0.10 -3.86* 1.29 ECHAM4 4.4574 3.3745 5.6163* 2.7333* -12.72 -4.88 -16.02* -3.95* HADCM3 4.7989 3.4731 5.9986* 2.8132* -17.62 -10.67 -22.02* -8.64* NCAR PCM 2.1467 1.7332 2.6834* 1.3865* 5.28 8.24 6.60* 6.59* CGCM2 3.4286 2.5569 -4.48 -1.68 GFDL-R30 3.9250 2.5145 -3.16 -4.11 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 8.7501 7.0841 8.9715 6.8354 21.93 19.59 20.57 18.80 CSIRO 4.4786 3.4466 5.5982* 3.3078 7.65 6.16 9.56* 5.46 ECHAM4 5.3576 4.2434 6.7506* 3.4372* 11.31 13.05 14.24* 10.57* HADCM3 4.7700 3.5204 5.9625* 2.8515* 1.16 0.55 1.46* 0.45* NCAR PCM 3.3987 2.2159 4.2484* 1.7727* 4.24 6.07 5.30* 4.86* CGCM2 2.9301 2.2341 9.37 11.10 GFDL-R30 3.8410 2.8641 12.94 6.02 REGION 14 ========= TIME SLICE 2010-2039 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.7384 1.9197 2.0611 1.5125 4.88 4.42 1.54 2.42 CSIRO 1.1624 1.4667 1.2554* 1.1828 -2.03 0.47 -2.20* -1.86 ECHAM4 1.9236 2.1820 2.1160* 1.8765* -7.70 -4.90 -8.47* -4.22* HADCM3 0.9597 1.2357 1.0461* 1.0751* 5.42 3.18 5.91* 2.76* NCAR PCM 0.9116 0.8742 1.0028* 0.7518* -2.67 -0.88 -2.94* -0.76* CGCM2 0.8763 0.8456 0.16 -2.00 GFDL-R30 1.0342 1.1833 -2.21 5.28 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.3095 1.9861 1.5650 1.1356 -3.29 -2.91 -5.11 -5.59 CSIRO 1.0380 1.3698 1.1211* 1.2658 1.81 -1.40 1.96* -4.70 ECHAM4 1.8554 1.7722 2.0409* 1.5241* -3.48 -5.07 -3.83* -4.36* HADCM3 1.0619 1.3204 1.1574* 1.1487* -5.82 -3.66 -6.34* -3.18* NCAR PCM 0.9503 0.9367 1.0453* 0.8056* 6.22 -0.95 6.85* -0.82* CGCM2 1.4608 1.7464 -5.66 -8.56 GFDL-R30 0.9732 1.0031 3.50 -0.20 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.0500 2.8461 1.9807 2.0764 -18.41 -22.78 -21.82 -24.04 CSIRO 1.4515 1.8673 1.5676* 1.9006 0.07 -12.43 0.07* -10.37 ECHAM4 2.0028 2.0488 2.2031* 1.7619* 2.53 2.85 2.78* 2.45* HADCM3 1.9410 2.4756 2.1157* 2.1538* -14.41 -24.11 -15.70* -20.97* NCAR PCM 0.9702 1.3860 1.0672* 1.1920* -2.72 -7.65 -2.99* -6.58* CGCM2 1.8943 1.9438 -9.07 -13.42 GFDL-R30 1.3394 1.3661 26.06 11.67 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.0549 2.2479 1.6465 1.6246 -10.35 -8.44 -9.65 -11.11 CSIRO 1.4710 1.6123 1.5887* 1.6264 1.80 -1.15 1.94* 1.89 ECHAM4 1.6554 1.8130 1.8210* 1.5592* -3.61 -5.40 -3.97* -4.65* HADCM3 1.3595 1.6972 1.4819* 1.4765* 2.94 -2.22 3.21* -1.93* NCAR PCM 0.8231 1.1880 0.9054* 1.0217* -3.18 0.61 -3.50* 0.53* CGCM2 1.4570 1.3430 2.67 -0.20 GFDL-R30 1.4778 1.4650 -4.48 -3.65 TIME SLICE 2040-2069 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.2759 4.0876 4.6816 3.0681 4.49 0.91 7.50 -6.38 CSIRO 2.5189 2.4018 3.1738* 2.0566 5.63 6.09 7.09* 5.79 ECHAM4 3.1574 3.1614 4.0730* 2.6872* -12.29 -3.66 -15.85* -3.11* HADCM3 2.1755 2.2239 2.7846* 1.9125* 0.78 3.41 1.00* 2.94* NCAR PCM 1.3248 1.1598 1.7090* 0.9858* 1.41 -1.03 1.82* -0.88* CGCM2 2.0995 1.4376 1.85 2.33 GFDL-R30 1.9035 2.0216 -8.38 4.22 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.5109 3.5709 3.9204 3.1552 -14.44 -7.96 -12.96 -10.01 CSIRO 2.2140 2.3171 2.7896* 2.0391 -0.43 -2.03 -0.55* 0.51 ECHAM4 2.8420 3.0704 3.6662* 2.6099* -9.60 -10.51 -12.39* -8.93* HADCM3 2.2607 2.0620 2.8937* 1.7733* -3.31 -6.74 -4.23* -5.80* NCAR PCM 1.3771 1.3034 1.7764* 1.1079* -0.92 -1.62 -1.18* -1.38* CGCM2 2.5380 2.0930 -11.07 -5.51 GFDL-R30 1.9513 1.8246 -1.66 -0.56 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 5.0187 4.8543 5.3779 4.4972 -40.94 -35.62 -43.50 -39.92 CSIRO 2.9771 2.9951 3.7511* 2.7625 -19.98 -15.36 -25.17* -14.47 ECHAM4 3.7058 3.5180 4.7805* 2.9903* 3.47 8.40 4.48* 7.14* HADCM3 4.0475 3.7188 5.1807* 3.1982* -29.60 -26.22 -37.88* -22.55* NCAR PCM 1.9906 1.9251 2.5679* 1.6363* -10.57 -7.39 -13.63* -6.28* CGCM2 3.6016 2.7762 -20.78 -16.48 GFDL-R30 2.7767 2.2161 20.52 -0.33 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.3536 4.4774 4.7032 3.8075 -28.56 -20.37 -23.22 -25.21 CSIRO 2.7790 2.5797 3.5015* 2.5560 -0.57 -4.63 -0.72* -1.20 ECHAM4 3.1632 2.9684 4.0805* 2.5232* -5.49 1.84 -7.08* 1.56* HADCM3 2.8388 2.6990 3.6336* 2.3211* -8.53 -2.08 -10.92* -1.79* NCAR PCM 1.6363 1.6743 2.1109* 1.4231* -5.99 -3.14 -7.73* -2.67* CGCM2 2.6865 2.1396 -4.72 -1.14 GFDL-R30 2.5064 2.2565 -4.44 8.61 TIME SLICE 2070-2099 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 7.1243 5.6042 7.9094 5.3149 -0.68 6.59 -4.24 2.82 CSIRO 4.1332 3.1885 5.1665* 2.9824 1.25 5.53 1.57* 4.88 ECHAM4 4.6480 4.0850 5.8565* 3.3088* -12.26 -5.76 -15.45* -4.67* HADCM3 3.7315 2.8162 4.6644* 2.2811* 2.49 11.82 3.12* 9.58* NCAR PCM 2.2919 1.7359 2.8648* 1.3887* -2.63 -4.31 -3.28* -3.44* CGCM2 2.9207 2.2119 -3.03 0.17 GFDL-R30 2.8524 2.4654 -4.47 11.86 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 6.7555 4.8487 7.1648 4.5074 -17.15 -8.47 -18.98 -8.95 CSIRO 4.1537 3.2110 5.1921* 2.7306 -9.01 -1.72 -11.26* 0.59 ECHAM4 4.9665 3.6873 6.2578* 2.9868* -23.69 -6.70 -29.85* -5.43* HADCM3 4.5071 3.1611 5.6339* 2.5605* -25.46 -9.82 -31.82* -7.96* NCAR PCM 2.3687 1.8114 2.9609* 1.4491* 4.01 3.64 5.01* 2.91* CGCM2 3.8654 2.7209 -15.41 -8.28 GFDL-R30 3.0287 2.5146 4.66 -0.81 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 8.5526 6.3174 9.2549 5.9749 -52.92 -44.31 -54.97 -42.62 CSIRO 5.3181 4.0620 6.6476* 3.7847 -35.11 -18.85 -43.89* -15.66 ECHAM4 6.4110 4.6915 8.0779* 3.8001* -5.82 3.66 -7.33* 2.97* HADCM3 6.9967 5.2331 8.7459* 4.2388* -49.03 -37.87 -61.28* -30.67* NCAR PCM 3.1449 2.3957 3.9311* 1.9165* -17.52 -11.45 -21.90* -9.16* CGCM2 5.3982 3.6609 -29.06 -16.99 GFDL-R30 3.9372 2.9943 22.67 12.30 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 7.4509 5.8688 7.8994 5.5294 -33.73 -30.58 -28.79 -27.75 CSIRO 4.6268 3.5136 5.7835* 3.3707 -10.73 -4.81 -13.41* -7.82 ECHAM4 5.2798 4.1373 6.6526* 3.3512* -10.37 -5.40 -13.06* -4.37* HADCM3 5.0774 3.7651 6.3468* 3.0497* -19.94 -11.00 -24.93* -8.91* NCAR PCM 2.7515 2.0429 3.4394* 1.6344* -13.89 -9.53 -17.36* -7.62* CGCM2 4.1479 2.8759 -5.87 0.53 GFDL-R30 3.7362 3.0110 -0.85 0.25 REGION 15 ========= TIME SLICE 2010-2039 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.3203 1.4226 1.1355 0.9439 -25.59 -14.55 -27.18 -20.28 CSIRO 1.2484 1.6446 1.3483* 1.3539 5.01 -19.77 5.41* -12.49 ECHAM4 1.2571 1.4547 1.3828* 1.2511* 23.60 -11.37 25.96* -9.77* HADCM3 1.3609 1.3070 1.4834* 1.1371* -13.20 -23.69 -14.39* -20.61* NCAR PCM 0.9543 0.9414 1.0497* 0.8096* -15.12 -16.35 -16.64* -14.06* CGCM2 1.4094 1.3828 9.53 5.59 GFDL-R30 0.6004 0.9745 7.39 5.54 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.6994 2.0707 1.4160 1.4956 -13.79 -15.21 -16.64 -28.24 CSIRO 1.3583 1.7878 1.4670* 1.5699 -12.12 -39.89 -13.09* -27.36 ECHAM4 1.1613 1.3251 1.2775* 1.1396* 29.36 40.33 32.29* 34.69* HADCM3 1.3160 1.3804 1.4345* 1.2009* 5.15 -6.65 5.61* -5.78* NCAR PCM 1.1353 0.9583 1.2488* 0.8241* -43.13 -31.20 -47.44* -26.83* CGCM2 1.6426 1.6183 -2.46 0.76 GFDL-R30 1.1560 0.8862 26.33 9.98 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.3499 1.2748 1.1848 1.0581 55.20 131.77 81.60 59.55 CSIRO 1.3992 1.5922 1.5111* 1.6716 3.62 1.86 3.91* 1.85 ECHAM4 1.2396 1.5100 1.3636* 1.2986* 35.44 30.54 38.98* 26.27* HADCM3 1.4727 1.5595 1.6052* 1.3567* 6.75 -4.61 7.36* -4.01* NCAR PCM 0.8953 1.1610 0.9849* 0.9985* 63.43 83.18 69.77* 71.53* CGCM2 1.6161 1.5662 5.93 3.10 GFDL-R30 1.2682 1.3450 19.42 15.71 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.2978 1.0145 0.8897 0.7516 74.23 169.68 122.03 85.56 CSIRO 1.3533 1.5735 1.4616* 1.6109 -3.58 1.88 -3.87* 6.03 ECHAM4 1.6063 1.5601 1.7670* 1.3417* 15.05 28.03 16.56* 24.10* HADCM3 1.5052 1.4952 1.6407* 1.3009* 6.92 0.50 7.54* 0.43* NCAR PCM 1.0095 1.3655 1.1105* 1.1743* 47.58 44.01 52.34* 37.85* CGCM2 1.8728 1.6494 18.14 5.24 GFDL-R30 1.3815 1.2573 21.07 9.22 TIME SLICE 2040-2069 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.0521 2.7700 3.8079 1.9851 1.92 -3.35 -1.24 -20.38 CSIRO 2.5878 2.6273 3.2607* 2.4895 -17.84 -22.60 -22.48* -32.26 ECHAM4 2.5509 2.4973 3.2907* 2.1227* 7.41 -8.21 9.56* -6.98* HADCM3 2.7210 2.2863 3.4829* 1.9663* -20.84 -36.67 -26.68* -31.54* NCAR PCM 1.7505 1.7109 2.2582* 1.4543* -7.69 -16.16 -9.93* -13.74* CGCM2 2.7963 2.2497 13.40 4.47 GFDL-R30 1.4311 1.8429 45.01 3.87 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.3276 3.4239 3.9998 2.8676 -7.72 -7.08 -28.28 -9.17 CSIRO 2.8103 2.7292 3.5409* 2.5106 -42.31 -45.19 -53.31* -39.69 ECHAM4 2.2580 2.3618 2.9128* 2.0075* 43.30 35.69 55.86* 30.33* HADCM3 2.8222 2.3686 3.6125* 2.0370* 0.20 1.30 0.26* 1.12* NCAR PCM 1.8963 1.7111 2.4462* 1.4544* -30.19 -47.98 -38.95* -40.78* CGCM2 2.8797 2.5806 0.25 5.02 GFDL-R30 1.6996 1.8486 25.15 3.62 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.4842 2.3824 3.2166 1.8035 181.91 170.41 121.56 167.90 CSIRO 2.7569 2.7983 3.4737* 2.6133 -6.86 16.35 -8.65* -1.20 ECHAM4 3.0941 2.7029 3.9914* 2.2975* 25.76 40.69 33.23* 34.58* HADCM3 3.0540 2.5835 3.9092* 2.2218* 1.67 3.13 2.13* 2.69* NCAR PCM 1.7822 1.7448 2.2990* 1.4831* 104.75 101.38 135.13* 86.17* CGCM2 3.0361 2.4052 12.84 7.97 GFDL-R30 2.4969 2.2460 25.12 12.56 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.3725 2.2168 3.1142 1.5651 255.67 229.30 186.01 240.68 CSIRO 2.9020 2.6280 3.6566* 2.5269 -8.90 12.43 -11.21* 31.51 ECHAM4 3.1112 2.8704 4.0134* 2.4399* 54.33 39.61 70.08* 33.67* HADCM3 2.8362 2.4140 3.6303* 2.0760* -9.19 -13.89 -11.76* -11.95* NCAR PCM 1.9315 2.0090 2.4916* 1.7077* 78.83 83.17 101.69* 70.70* CGCM2 3.3646 2.6758 13.54 11.52 GFDL-R30 2.7313 2.5891 22.68 14.55 TIME SLICE 2070-2099 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 5.7552 4.4631 6.1144 3.6923 0.22 0.66 -20.39 -5.35 CSIRO 4.5082 3.4722 5.6353* 3.3180 -17.77 -14.33 -22.21* -29.71 ECHAM4 4.6322 3.6284 5.8366* 2.9390* 6.88 4.94 8.66* 4.00* HADCM3 4.3225 3.2322 5.4031* 2.6181* -41.34 -30.66 -51.67* -24.84* NCAR PCM 3.0588 2.3341 3.8235* 1.8673* -26.03 -13.87 -32.53* -11.10* CGCM2 4.6591 3.0771 14.07 12.11 GFDL-R30 2.7284 2.7137 66.41 17.92 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 6.8505 4.8481 7.4668 4.3158 -43.82 -41.40 -44.60 -26.54 CSIRO 4.7997 3.7570 5.9997* 3.4380 -54.92 -57.18 -68.65* -44.13 ECHAM4 4.2532 3.3402 5.3590* 2.7056* 25.91 51.05 32.65* 41.35* HADCM3 4.6253 3.3784 5.7816* 2.7365* -20.91 -15.76 -26.14* -12.77* NCAR PCM 3.1201 2.3225 3.9001* 1.8580* -60.68 -45.25 -75.86* -36.20* CGCM2 4.7422 3.1064 -2.45 7.21 GFDL-R30 3.0016 2.3669 42.19 13.54 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 5.2253 4.1282 5.0527 3.4587 256.59 100.93 411.00 112.65 CSIRO 4.9429 3.7981 6.1786* 3.6302 -25.58 -16.89 -31.97* -17.28 ECHAM4 5.3356 3.8742 6.7228* 3.1381* 25.29 28.92 31.87* 23.42* HADCM3 5.1912 3.8336 6.4890* 3.1053* -9.48 -6.15 -11.85* -4.98* NCAR PCM 2.9056 2.2351 3.6320* 1.7881* 145.05 144.02 181.31* 115.22* CGCM2 4.8893 3.4189 4.53 6.49 GFDL-R30 3.9381 2.9812 29.45 13.93 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.7021 4.2541 4.1884 3.5174 346.83 141.14 528.70 169.47 CSIRO 4.8150 3.8549 6.0188* 3.5744 -7.13 -6.92 -8.92* 20.26 ECHAM4 5.4891 4.2238 6.9163* 3.4213* 28.96 8.86 36.50* 7.17* HADCM3 4.8984 3.5139 6.1230* 2.8463* -27.30 -16.29 -34.13* -13.19* NCAR PCM 3.2708 2.4362 4.0886* 1.9490* 96.39 124.15 120.49* 99.32* CGCM2 5.3550 3.7437 15.42 19.25 GFDL-R30 4.4060 3.2300 30.14 4.10 REGION 16 ========= TIME SLICE 2010-2039 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.9031 0.6905 0.7660 0.9831 6.80 11.15 3.27 0.31 CSIRO 1.0514 1.2309 1.1355* 1.0395 0.99 1.79 1.07* -1.99 ECHAM4 1.0406 1.2983 1.1447* 1.1165* -4.76 -1.00 -5.24* -0.86* HADCM3 1.2978 1.1518 1.4146* 1.0020* 0.18 3.69 0.19* 3.21* NCAR PCM 0.9350 0.9191 1.0285* 0.7904* 6.82 5.25 7.50* 4.52* CGCM2 1.1520 1.1614 13.96 18.46 GFDL-R30 0.8552 0.8211 5.45 -3.25 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.9553 0.9715 1.0869 0.8605 -0.06 -0.74 -3.15 -2.84 CSIRO 1.0491 1.2526 1.1330* 1.0580 -2.25 -5.41 -2.43* -1.82 ECHAM4 1.0284 1.2168 1.1312* 1.0465* 6.01 8.15 6.61* 7.01* HADCM3 1.1940 1.1102 1.3014* 0.9658* 1.22 2.74 1.33* 2.38* NCAR PCM 0.7485 0.8224 0.8234* 0.7073* 1.45 0.95 1.60* 0.82* CGCM2 1.0658 1.0047 -1.07 -2.59 GFDL-R30 0.9798 0.9283 8.60 0.82 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.8972 0.5882 0.7987 0.6717 1.40 4.51 1.82 1.26 CSIRO 1.0074 1.0881 1.0880* 0.9936 -0.98 -1.98 -1.06* -1.25 ECHAM4 0.6154 0.9395 0.6770* 0.8079* 5.53 6.33 6.08* 5.44* HADCM3 1.1214 1.1599 1.2223* 1.0092* 1.46 2.03 1.59* 1.77* NCAR PCM 0.5384 0.6862 0.5922* 0.5902* 1.61 1.68 1.77* 1.44* CGCM2 0.7199 0.7629 3.72 2.14 GFDL-R30 1.0874 1.1267 0.76 1.73 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 0.7183 0.2006 0.7336 0.4009 10.38 19.06 9.51 9.13 CSIRO 1.0844 1.1859 1.1711* 1.0261 -2.63 -1.77 -2.84* 0.97 ECHAM4 1.0457 1.0613 1.1503* 0.9127* 3.36 3.24 3.70* 2.79* HADCM3 1.1185 1.1176 1.2192* 0.9723* 2.71 4.70 2.96* 4.09* NCAR PCM 0.6779 0.8087 0.7456* 0.6955* 3.66 4.10 4.03* 3.53* CGCM2 0.9974 1.0004 10.63 7.93 GFDL-R30 1.1006 1.0298 4.56 3.18 TIME SLICE 2040-2069 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.6905 1.8120 2.5686 1.3748 24.29 24.80 22.96 11.05 CSIRO 1.8651 2.0014 2.3501* 1.8606 1.89 3.43 2.39* 3.11 ECHAM4 2.2986 2.3086 2.9652* 1.9623* -13.14 -6.20 -16.94* -5.27* HADCM3 2.8477 2.1004 3.6451* 1.8064* 1.72 0.38 2.20* 0.33* NCAR PCM 1.6095 1.4612 2.0763* 1.2420* 9.98 6.60 12.87* 5.61* CGCM2 2.5274 2.2606 12.05 10.31 GFDL-R30 1.7058 1.4559 9.88 8.18 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 2.0376 1.7893 2.7944 1.4718 -2.82 -0.48 -7.58 -0.90 CSIRO 2.0049 1.9706 2.5262* 1.7964 -4.47 -5.59 -5.63* -5.12 ECHAM4 2.3304 2.1948 3.0063* 1.8655* 9.88 9.02 12.74* 7.67* HADCM3 2.4209 2.0017 3.0987* 1.7215* 7.01 3.97 8.97* 3.42* NCAR PCM 1.2982 1.2142 1.6747* 1.0321* 1.70 3.60 2.20* 3.06* CGCM2 2.0027 1.7939 -3.36 1.72 GFDL-R30 1.7547 1.8873 7.34 -0.62 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.6869 1.6018 2.7548 1.1068 2.07 2.62 -3.39 4.72 CSIRO 2.0248 1.8864 2.5513* 1.8098 -6.52 -4.75 -8.22* -5.71 ECHAM4 1.9126 1.7715 2.4673* 1.5058* 5.80 9.27 7.48* 7.88* HADCM3 2.5016 1.9315 3.2021* 1.6611* 2.97 6.37 3.80* 5.48* NCAR PCM 1.1544 1.0805 1.4892* 0.9184* 0.78 0.80 1.01* 0.68* CGCM2 1.5871 1.3912 3.30 -0.90 GFDL-R30 2.0912 2.0124 0.89 1.59 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 1.1872 0.6966 1.9999 0.4511 21.58 26.98 15.78 23.29 CSIRO 2.0816 1.9527 2.6228* 1.8729 -0.56 -1.92 -0.71* -0.89 ECHAM4 2.0315 2.1061 2.6207* 1.7902* 6.41 6.21 8.27* 5.28* HADCM3 2.5370 1.9091 3.2473* 1.6418* 0.51 3.15 0.65* 2.71* NCAR PCM 1.3596 1.2466 1.7539* 1.0596* 4.35 5.33 5.61* 4.53* CGCM2 1.9696 1.7823 6.46 0.56 GFDL-R30 2.2134 2.0062 6.97 8.66 TIME SLICE 2070-2099 ____________________ DEC-FEB T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.0210 2.9734 4.8013 2.4970 35.28 33.28 30.26 34.35 CSIRO 3.4294 2.7069 4.2868* 2.4839 7.52 8.30 9.40* 2.24 ECHAM4 4.6230 3.3729 5.8249* 2.7321* -6.33 -0.25 -7.97* -0.21* HADCM3 4.6173 3.2453 5.7716* 2.6287* 0.74 3.62 0.92* 2.94* NCAR PCM 2.6404 1.9677 3.3005* 1.5742* 13.60 12.22 17.00* 9.77* CGCM2 4.9146 2.8071 9.44 9.77 GFDL-R30 3.0311 2.2694 17.88 10.72 MAR-MAY T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.7859 3.3221 5.7072 2.8487 -8.01 -9.14 -8.11 -6.71 CSIRO 3.5036 2.7903 4.3795* 2.4951 -9.03 -9.31 -11.28* -6.20 ECHAM4 4.1357 3.0706 5.2110* 2.4872* 11.83 15.25 14.91* 12.36* HADCM3 4.3164 3.1315 5.3955* 2.5365* 3.48 2.72 4.34* 2.21* NCAR PCM 2.1996 1.6418 2.7495* 1.3135* 1.76 3.10 2.20* 2.48* CGCM2 3.7597 2.4113 0.18 1.50 GFDL-R30 3.1331 2.4582 7.08 0.09 JUN-AUG T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 4.6807 3.3523 5.3388 2.7583 -1.01 -2.68 -1.12 -0.90 CSIRO 3.5405 2.7633 4.4257* 2.5286 -14.54 -10.36 -18.18* -7.40 ECHAM4 3.6456 2.5283 4.5934* 2.0479* 10.08 8.36 12.71* 6.77* HADCM3 4.2868 3.0836 5.3585* 2.4977* 2.60 3.49 3.25* 2.83* NCAR PCM 1.8901 1.4104 2.3627* 1.1283* 1.60 0.06 1.99* 0.04* CGCM2 3.4350 2.0072 -7.18 0.73 GFDL-R30 3.4441 2.6583 3.30 1.20 SEP-NOV T E M P E R A T U R E C H A N G E P R E C I P I T. C H A N G E MODEL A2 B2 A1FI B1 A2 B2 A1FI B1 CCSRNIES 3.8846 2.3482 4.5736 1.6895 23.10 19.00 22.40 20.62 CSIRO 3.5955 2.8946 4.4944* 2.4849 -7.80 -6.18 -9.75* -1.73 ECHAM4 4.1462 2.9714 5.2242* 2.4068* 7.59 6.32 9.56* 5.12* HADCM3 4.3470 2.9819 5.4337* 2.4153* -3.89 -0.88 -4.86* -0.71* N